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JENNINGSBET BEST ODDS GUARANTEED STAKES
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Holeinmybucketb 3y 6 | D T Smith — 15% R383 W58 P183 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 30 | 43 (3) | 48 (4) | 54 (2) | 70 (4) | 39 (5) | 56 (2) | 35 (5) | 67 (4) | 61 (1) | 55 (1) | 26 | 23 | 27 | 26 | 51 | 45 | 3 | 7/2 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Taffy Wrexhamb 1y 7 | M T Field — 20% R229 W46 P119 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 56 | 45 (4) | 29 (3) | 51 (3) | 50 (3) | 56 (1) | 40 (3) | 19 (4) | 28 (2) | 23 (3) | 24 (2) | 20 | 22 | 3 | 14 | 48 | 42 | 1 | 2/1F | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Brosna Pined 2y 6 | R Williams — 15% R296 W43 P133 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 43 | 47 (3) | 60 (1) | 42 (5) | 55 (1) | 31 (5) | 43 (3) | 57 (1) | 30 (5) | 46 (3) | 41 (3) | 20 | 19 | 17 | 29 | 47 | 41 | 5 | 6/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Rude Elsieb 1y 15 | P Meek — 19% R83 W16 P38 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | 38 | 56 (1) | 30 (6) | 31 (5) | 43 (2) | 27 (2) | 25 (3) | - | - | - | - | 38 | 21 | 16 | 29 | 41 | 37 | 6 | 10/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Ballymac Arbacd 2y 8 | D T Smith — 15% R383 W58 P183 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 57 | 56 (1) | 40 (2) | 40 (4) | 42 (3) | 34 (5) | 46 (3) | 40 (3) | 42 (3) | 47 (2) | 44 (2) | 36 | 26 | - | 31 | 44 | 46 | 4 | 4/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Knock Voodoob 4y 16 | K S Harrison — 18% R345 W62 P184 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 63 | 54 (2) | 40 (3) | 54 (2) | 41 (3) | 43 (4) | 64 (1) | 57 (2) | 51 (2) | 42 (4) | 54 (3) | 36 | 37 | 23 | 35 | 49 | 48 | 2 | 5/2 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Holeinmybucket | 29.39 | 29.62 | 29.90 | 52 | +0.51 | Model pick | |
| 2 | Taffy Wrexham | 29.50 | 29.67 | — | 50 | — | Model pick | |
| 3 | Brosna Pine | 29.42 | 29.79 | — | 49 | — | Best trap | |
| 4 | Rude Elsie | 29.55 | 30.06 | — | 43 | — | 0 wins from 6 | |
| 5 | Ballymac Arbac | 29.50 | 29.74 | — | 51 | — | ||
| 6 | Knock Voodoo | 29.46 | 29.70 | — | 51 | — | Worst trap |
Dunstall Park's 480 metres has a short run to the first bend and, at A7 level, the trap draw has been decisive — the red jacket has produced almost three in ten winners while the black jacket has managed barely one in ten. That gap is too big to ignore, but the clock tells its own story here too: Holeinmybucket is comfortably the quickest in the field on recorded times and carries the highest average performance figure of anyone in the race. Taffy Wrexham and Knock Voodoo both show plenty of early pace and should be involved from the boxes, but neither reproduces it late. If Holeinmybucket, a patient closer, can track the pace and pick up the pieces late, the numbers say he's hard to beat, even from a moderate draw.
Finished 3rd last time out and is the quickest in this field on the clock, with the highest average performance figure too, so there's a genuine case on the raw numbers. A closer who does his best work from off the pace, which suits a race where several rivals will be doing the early running and fading late. The red jacket next door has been the standout draw at this trip, and while trap 1 itself is only a moderate performer, he's drawn close enough to have a route through if the pace collapses in front of him. Consistent without being spectacular over his last six starts, and on speed alone he's the one to beat.
The strongest model case in the race on raw scoring — second-highest average performance and among the quickest on the clock, with sharp early pace that should see her involved from the off. She placed second last time out and her form of finishing in the top half in five of her last six runs is solid without being spectacular. The problem is the draw: the black jacket has been comfortably the worst performer at this course, trip and grade, winning barely one in ten compared to almost three in ten from the red box. She tends to fade once headed, which at a track where nearly a third of runs feature wide running could compound the issue if she drifts off a true line. The most dangerous runner in the race if the trap doesn't cost her.
Form has been mixed lately, finishing 3rd last time out with nothing better than 5th in her last six starts, but there's a peak run of a 60-rated performance three starts back showing more in the tank than recent placings suggest. The trap is the real appeal here — the red jacket has won almost three times in ten at this course, trip and grade, comfortably the best of any box, and she gets the run of that draw today. Not the fastest in the field on the clock, but close enough that the draw advantage can make a difference. A closer by nature, she'll want a strong pace up front to run at.
Fast away and shows plenty of early pace, but tends to lose ground in the closing stages and her closing figures back that up — she rarely finishes off a race strongly. Form has been mixed, finishing 4th last time out with a best of 56-rated form five starts back. The blue jacket is a fair draw here, not among the best or worst performers at this trip. Her class suitability figures are notably weak, suggesting this level may be stretching her more than the raw form suggests. Others in this field carry stronger claims on both the draw and the clock.
Won last time out but that was at the grade below, and this represents a step up in company. Fast early but tends to lose ground late, and her closing figures confirm she rarely sustains a challenge to the line. The orange jacket has been one of the weaker draws at this trip, sitting only just ahead of the very worst box. Her suitability figures for this class are essentially nil, a mark against her taking to the step up smoothly. There are stronger claims elsewhere in this race both on the draw and on recent competitive form.
Won last time out but, like the trap 5 dog, that was at the grade below and this is tougher. The slowest in the field on the clock and carries the lowest average performance figure too, which is hard to overlook. She does have a strong trainer in her corner with a very healthy strike rate, and there is a little encouragement in her draw, which has produced a reasonable share of winners at this trip. But on raw pace and figures she is up against it stepping up in grade against this opposition.
Key insight: The trap draw is the single biggest factor at this grade and trip — trap 3 wins almost three times as often as trap 6, a gap too large to ignore even against a strong model fancy.
Trap 3 strongest at 29.9%, traps 5 and 6 weakest at 13.1% and 10.6%
616 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Holeinmybucket | 0 | 100 | Closer |
2Taffy Wrexham | 60 | 7 | Fader |
3Brosna Pine | 37 | 100 | Closer |
4Rude Elsie | 44 | 67 | Closer |
5Ballymac Arbac | 56 | 33 | Fader |
6Knock Voodoo | 64 | 0 | Fader |
Only runs at exactly 480m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (480m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 270m | 480m | 645m | 660m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Holeinmybucket | — | 0.617 | 0.655 | 0.628 |
| 2 | Taffy Wrexham | 0.623 | 0.618 | — | — |
| 3 | Brosna Pine | — | 0.621 | — | — |
| 4 | Rude Elsie | 0.627 | 0.626 | — | — |
| 5 | Ballymac Arbac | — | 0.620 | — | — |
| 6 | Knock Voodoo | — | 0.619 | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.