| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Kuma Yallad 2y 23 | - | - | 48 | - | 60 (4) | 61 (5) | 69 (4) | 83 (1) | 81 (1) | 53 (4) | 50 (6) | 39 (4) | 50 (3) | - | 25 | 35 | 20 | 22 | 63 | 44 | 1 | 10/3 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Slippy Ivand 2y 45 | Seamus Boyce — 33% R3 W1 P3 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 58 | - | 71 (2) | 61 (4) | 57 (5) | 66 (4) | 69 (4) | 55 (4) | 66 (5) | 47 (5) | 66 (1) | 46 (4) | - | 10 | 3 | 10 | 62 | 36 | 3 | 3/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Princess Ariab 4y 24 | - | - | 44 | - | 75 (2) | 42 (4) | 80 (1) | 78 (1) | 55 (4) | 50 (6) | 49 (5) | 59 (4) | 89 (1) | 58 (4) | 34 | 49 | 7 | 40 | 64 | 48 | 4 | 8/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Ballycowen Izzyb 3y 33 | - | - | 46 | - | 66 (2) | 57 (3) | 49 (2) | 56 (2) | 51 (3) | 47 (3) | 50 (4) | 37 (5) | 43 (6) | 57 (4) | 16 | 23 | 14 | 20 | 54 | 21 | 6 | 8/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Drumnafern Oreyd 1y 11 | - | - | 46 | - | 46 (6) | 58 (5) | 89 (1) | 66 (1) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 31 | 10 | - | - | 63 | 45 | 2 | 6/4 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Fridays Kobbied 3y 15 | Paul Whyte — 9% R44 W4 P26 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 71 (2) | 84 (1) | 69 (3) | 68 (3) | 69 (3) | 53 (5) | 67 (3) | 59 (4) | 85 (1) | 62 (5) | 13 | 29 | 24 | 32 | 70 | 50 | 5 | 11/4 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kuma Yalla | 29.25 | 29.79 | 30.01 | 48 | +0.76 | down 2 grades from A2 | |
| 2 | Slippy Ivan | 29.32 | 29.56 | 29.60 | 58 | +0.28 | up in grade | |
| 3 | Princess Aria | 29.56 | 30.00 | 29.69 | 44 | +0.13 | 3 wins/10 C&D, worst trap | |
| 4 | Ballycowen Izzy | 29.44 | 30.20 | 29.44 | 46 | 0.00 | best trap, up in grade | |
| 5 | Drumnafern Orey | 29.61 | 29.74 | 29.87 | 46 | +0.26 | limited form | |
| 6 | Fridays Kobbie | 29.35 | 29.79 | 29.79 | 50 | +0.44 | Model pick |
A quality A4 heat where trap 1 and trap 4 share the best record at Lifford (around 19% each) while trap 3 is the weakest at 15%. Speed remains the sharpest tool at this grade, with the fastest dog winning almost 30% of the time compared to under 15% for the second-fastest. Fridays Kobbie sets the standard here with the highest raw performance figure in the race and the strongest course and distance record. Princess Aria drops in from the tougher A3 grade with an outstanding course and distance strike rate but lands in the weakest trap. Kuma Yalla also arrives down two grades from A2 level, which can flatter the averages, so his true form needs treating with a little caution.
Sets the standard in this field on raw ability — the highest performance rating by a clear margin and the top-rated dog on the model too. Form has been excellent, reading 71-84-69-68-69-53, with a career-best 84 turning up two runs back and a strong second-place finish last time out at this same grade. Boasts the best course and distance record in the field at two wins and three top-two finishes from ten runs here. Trainer Paul Whyte's overall strike rate is modest, but the dog's own numbers do the talking. Trap 6 isn't the standout box at this grade but the class gap here should be enough to overcome it.
Drops down from the tougher A3 grade after finishing second there last time out. Owns the best course and distance record in the entire field — three wins and four top-two finishes from ten runs at this venue and trip, a 30% strike rate that stands out. Form has been volatile (75-42-80-78-55-50) but the peaks of 75 and 80 show genuine quality when it clicks. The one query is the draw — trap 3 has been the weakest box at this grade. If she overcomes that, the course and distance form makes her a big threat.
Drops down two grades from a peak set at A2, which tends to flatter the raw performance average — a dog rated this way against tougher opposition isn't quite the same quality at this level. Recent form of 60-61-69-83-81-53 does show real ability with a peak of 83 three runs back. Course and distance form is solid at two wins and two places from seven runs. Drawn in the box that shares the best record at this grade, which helps his cause.
Steps up in grade after finishing second at the easier A5 level with a strong 71-rated run. Shares the second-fastest raw time in the field and the form has been consistently solid in the high 50s to low 70s. Course and distance experience is thin at just two runs with a single place. Trainer Seamus Boyce hasn't found the winner's enclosure yet at this venue. The grade rise is the main query.
Steps up in grade after a second-place finish at the easier A5 level, but that run was back in late May and there's a query over current fitness given the layoff since. The lowest composite rating in the field. Course and distance form is moderate at one place from five runs. Drawn in the box that shares the best record at this grade, which is the main thing in her favour.
Drops down from the higher A3 grade after finishing last there, though earlier form shows a career-best 90-rated effort. Only four races of recent form to go on and course and distance experience is minimal at two runs with no wins or places. Too many unknowns to trust with confidence despite the raw ability on show at times.
Key insight: Traps 1 and 4 share the best record at A4 (around 19% each) while trap 3 is the weakest at 15.0%. Speed Rank 1 is dominant at this grade, winning 29.3% versus just 14.5% for Speed Rank 2 — one of the biggest speed gaps at any Lifford grade.
T1:18.9% T2:15.6% T3:15.0% T4:19.2% T5:17.5% T6:15.8%
724 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 525m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 525m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (525m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 325m | 335m | 400m | 525m | 570m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kuma Yalla | 0.560 | — | — | 0.567 | — |
| 2 | Slippy Ivan | — | — | — | 0.563 | 0.568 |
| 3 | Princess Aria | — | — | — | 0.572 | — |
| 4 | Ballycowen Izzy | 0.555 | 0.557 | — | 0.575 | — |
| 5 | Drumnafern Orey | — | — | 0.540 | 0.566 | — |
| 6 | Fridays Kobbie | — | — | — | 0.567 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.