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WELCOME TO LIFFORD STADIUM A7 525
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Camachod 3y 15 | - | - | 46 | - | 41 (5) | 52 (2) | 35 (6) | 53 (2) | 48 (5) | 66 (1) | 57 (2) | 52 (2) | 60 (2) | 39 (4) | 30 | 28 | 36 | 33 | 49 | 39 | 6 | 10/3 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Roanna Dueb 4y 45 | - | - | 52 | - | 46 (4) | 44 (6) | 49 (5) | 57 (2) | 42 (5) | 46 (6) | 73 (1) | 46 (5) | 37 (5) | 46 (6) | 26 | 29 | 29 | 17 | 48 | 27 | 5 | 6/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Harrys Lucyb 5y 14 | - | - | 48 | - | 45 (3) | 38 (6) | 56 (2) | 44 (4) | 56 (2) | 38 (5) | 32 (6) | 31 (5) | 36 (5) | 53 (4) | 15 | 23 | 24 | 16 | 44 | 39 | 1 | 6/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Steeple Rd Razlb 3y 14 | - | - | 53 | - | 67 (1) | 50 (3) | 51 (2) | 55 (3) | 65 (1) | 67 (1) | 53 (2) | 48 (4) | 52 (3) | 48 (4) | 31 | 35 | 49 | 49 | 57 | 52 | 3 | 10/3 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Fridays Mozartd 2y 5 | Paul Whyte — 9% R44 W4 P26 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 42 | - | 35 (5) | 47 (4) | 53 (2) | 53 (2) | 36 (4) | 40 (5) | 68 (1) | 66 (1) | 39 (6) | 45 (4) | 44 | 35 | 32 | 29 | 47 | 43 | 4 | 3/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Longtrain Runnind 3y 6 | - | - | 58 | - | 47 (4) | 54 (4) | 58 (3) | 54 (3) | 51 (2) | 50 (4) | 49 (4) | 55 (2) | 47 (5) | 50 (4) | 30 | 27 | 28 | 15 | 52 | 45 | 2 | 7/4 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Harrys Lucy | 29.71 | 30.60 | 30.59 | 48 | +0.88 | 0 wins/10 C&D | |
| 6 | Longtrain Runnin | 29.97 | 30.18 | 30.23 | 58 | +0.26 | Best trap, top speed | |
| 4 | Steeple Rd Razl | 30.06 | 30.38 | 30.21 | 53 | +0.15 | Model pick | |
| 5 | Fridays Mozart | 29.89 | 30.50 | 30.96 | 42 | +1.07 | grade drop | |
| 1 | Camacho | 30.23 | 30.43 | 30.44 | 46 | +0.21 | 1 win/10 C&D | |
| 2 | Roanna Due | 30.04 | 30.31 | 30.40 | 52 | +0.36 | worst trap |
Lifford's 525m track has a clear grain at A7 level — trap 6, the widest draw, has been by far the best box this year at 23% from over 1,400 runs, while trap 2 has been almost unwinnable at under 12%. Raw pace matters more than the ratings here too — the fastest dog in the field wins over a quarter of the time, well clear of what the top-rated dog manages. Steeple Rd Razl comes into this off the back of a career-best winning run and boasts the strongest course and distance form in the race. Longtrain Runnin has the pure gas to match him and sits in the track's favoured box, so this looks a match race between the two with the rest making up the numbers.
Won last time out here at Lifford over this trip with a career-best performance rating, and the recent form line of 67-50-51-55-65-67 shows three of the last four runs have been the best of his career. Boasts the strongest course and distance record in the race, with three wins and five places from ten runs at this exact venue and distance — a 30% strike rate that stands out against the rest of this field. Rated clear of this opposition on both the model's composite score and raw ability, and the suitability figures back it up across the board, particularly at this trip. Trap 4 isn't the standout box at this grade but it's no liability either. The one they all have to beat.
The fastest dog in this field on the clock and drawn in trap 6, which has been by some distance the best-performing box at this grade — 23% winners from over 1,400 runs, nearly double what the worst trap manages. Form has been admirably consistent in the high 40s to high 50s without a bad run in the last six starts, most recently finishing fourth. Course and distance form is unproven with no wins from ten runs here, which is the one query. If Steeple Rd Razl doesn't back up his career-best effort, this looks the one most likely to beat him.
Placed in six of his last ten runs at this course and distance but has never quite won here, with one win and six places from ten runs at this exact track and trip. Form is up and down — a career-best 66 rating five runs back but nothing near that since. Drawn in a workable trap but needs his better form to reappear to trouble the front two.
Sits in trap 2, historically the weakest box at this grade and distance — under 11.5% winners from over 200 runs here, easily the poorest of the six traps. Form has been steady in the mid-40s to mid-50s without ever threatening to win, and the draw does her no favours. Only one win and two places from ten course and distance runs.
Yet to win at this course and distance despite ten runs here, with two places the best return. Form has bounced between the high 30s and mid 50s without real progression, most recently finishing third. Owns the fastest raw time in the field on paper but hasn't been able to turn that speed into placings lately. Hard to fancy against the pace and form of the two market leaders.
Dropped back in grade after finishing fifth last time out at the higher A6 level, and the drop in class could help. But that last run was one of the weaker efforts of the campaign, and the early pace figures here are the softest in the field. Two wins and four places from ten course and distance runs is a reasonable record, but the recent form doesn't inspire confidence. Trainer Paul Whyte's runners have a modest strike rate overall. More of an each-way sort than a winning threat.
Key insight: Trap 6 is by far the best box at Lifford's A7 525m grade (23.0% from 1,422 runs) while trap 2 is the weakest (11.5%). The fastest dog in the field wins more often (26.4%) than the top-rated dog on the model (20.1%), making this a speed-first track at this grade.
T1:16.4% T2:11.5% T3:14.5% T4:16.5% T5:19.7% T6:23.0%
1,422 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 525m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 525m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.