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GOODNIGHT AND SAFE HOME A7 525
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Kilbobbin Noeld 3y 25 | Jimmy Anderson (NI) — 14% R14 W2 P5 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 43 (4) | 41 (3) | 44 (3) | 66 (1) | 28 (6) | 30 (6) | 42 (4) | 47 (4) | 36 (6) | 25 (6) | 25 | 21 | 21 | 16 | 42 | 35 | 3 | 10/3 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Lightfoot Lunard 3y 35 | - | - | 50 | - | 55 (3) | 35 (6) | 32 (5) | 40 (3) | 51 (4) | 57 (2) | 39 (6) | 50 (2) | 36 (5) | 35 (6) | 16 | 11 | 18 | 14 | 44 | 29 | 5 | 4/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Up The Rebelsd 2y 27 | Stephen Radcliffe (NI) — 19% R16 W3 P6 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | - | 48 (6) | 38 (4) | 41 (6) | 51 (4) | 46 (4) | 53 (3) | 45 (3) | 39 (5) | 52 (4) | - | 10 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 45 | 18 | 4 | 4/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Nonieb 2y 15 | Ray White — 40% R5 W2 P3 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | - | 50 (4) | 56 (2) | 42 (5) | 44 (5) | 48 (3) | 41 (5) | 34 (6) | 30 (5) | 55 (3) | 50 (4) | 1 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 46 | 37 | 1 | 4/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Be Flashyb 3y 23 | - | - | 46 | - | 40 (4) | 50 (4) | 38 (6) | 48 (3) | 53 (2) | 55 (2) | 43 (5) | 42 (3) | 42 (6) | - | 29 | 23 | 18 | 13 | 45 | 22 | 6 | 13/8 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Kenyan Sparkb 3y 22 | - | - | 51 | - | 44 (4) | 33 (6) | 42 (4) | 36 (6) | 49 (4) | 43 (5) | 46 (3) | 32 (5) | 44 (5) | 38 (6) | 17 | 18 | - | - | 41 | 36 | 2 | 11/2 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kilbobbin Noel | 30.35 | 30.82 | 30.55 | 49 | +0.20 | 1 win/10 C&D | |
| 2 | Lightfoot Lunar | 30.46 | 30.74 | 30.47 | 50 | +0.01 | worst trap | |
| 3 | Up The Rebels | 30.40 | 30.84 | 30.70 | 45 | +0.30 | 0 from 10 C&D | |
| 4 | Nonie | 30.16 | 30.70 | 30.62 | 53 | +0.46 | Model pick, best trainer | |
| 5 | Be Flashy | 30.30 | 30.68 | 30.97 | 46 | +0.67 | 0 wins/10 C&D | |
| 6 | Kenyan Spark | 30.29 | 30.67 | 30.62 | 51 | +0.33 | best trap |
The final race and the weakest-rated field of the entire card — six dogs stuck around the same modest level with nothing standing out on class. At this A7 grade trap 6 remains the standout box at 23% and trap 2 the graveyard at under 11.5%. Nonie edges it on the numbers with the highest rating, the fastest raw time and the best trainer strike rate in the race, even though the course and distance record isn't flattering. Kenyan Spark is the one to watch from the best trap at this grade, and Kilbobbin Noel is the only runner with an actual course and distance win to his name. A genuinely competitive, low-confidence heat to finish the card.
Edges this modest field on the numbers — the highest rating on the model, the fastest raw time, and trainer Ray White's 25% strike rate is comfortably the best in the race. Form has been steady in the 40s to mid-50s, finishing fourth last time out. The course and distance record isn't flattering, just one place from nine runs, which is the one query. In a field with few standout claims, leading on rating, speed and trainer form is enough to edge it, even without the course and distance form to back it up fully.
Second-best rating in a modest field and the only runner here with an actual win at this course and distance, albeit from ten attempts. Trainer Jimmy Anderson has a reasonable 17% strike rate. Form has been steady in the low 40s with an occasional spike, including a 66 four runs back. In a field with few standout claims, having actually won here before counts for something.
Finished third last time out and the form has been inconsistent, ranging from the low 30s to the high 50s. No wins from nine course and distance runs, just two places. Drawn in the weakest trap at this grade, adding to the questions. One of the lesser fancied runners in a genuinely open field.
The lowest composite rating in the field and a complete blank at this course and distance — no wins or places from ten runs here despite plenty of chances. Finished sixth last time out and the form has been consistently modest. Trainer Stephen Radcliffe's overall record is unremarkable. Nothing here to suggest a change in fortunes.
Finished fourth last time out and the form has been unremarkable, hovering in the high 30s to low 50s. No wins from ten course and distance runs, just two places. Drawn in a reasonable trap for this grade, which is about the only thing in this dog's favour. One of the weaker contenders in an open field.
Third-best rating in the field and shares the second-fastest raw time. Drawn in trap 6, comfortably the best-performing box at this grade at 23% from over 1,400 runs — a genuine structural edge in an otherwise open race. Course and distance experience is minimal at just one run, so how the track suits remains largely untested. Form has been steady without standing out, finishing fourth last time out.
Key insight: Trap 6 is by far the best box at Lifford's A7 525m grade (23.0% from 1,422 runs) while trap 2 is the weakest (11.5%). The fastest dog in the field wins more often (26.4%) than the top-rated dog on the model (20.1%).
T1:16.4% T2:11.5% T3:14.5% T4:16.5% T5:19.7% T6:23.0%
1,422 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 525m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 525m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (525m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 325m | 525m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kilbobbin Noel | — | 0.587 |
| 2 | Lightfoot Lunar | 0.572 | 0.586 |
| 3 | Up The Rebels | — | 0.588 |
| 4 | Nonie | 0.565 | 0.585 |
| 5 | Be Flashy | — | 0.584 |
| 6 | Kenyan Spark | — | 0.584 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.