| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Ropewalk Salukb 1y 14 | - | - | 41 | - | 64 (5) | 73 (2) | 77 (1) | 36 (6) | 44 (6) | 47 (6) | 34 (6) | 48 (2) | - | - | 2 | 33 | - | 25 | 57 | 40 | 2 | 10/3 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Bruis Malachid 2y 27 | - | - | 55 | - | 88 (1) | 73 (3) | 66 (5) | 83 (2) | 87 (1) | 65 (4) | 76 (1) | 65 (2) | 54 (4) | 60 (4) | - | 47 | 37 | 45 | 75 | 55 | 3 | 3/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Dreenan Flyerb 2y 6 | - | - | 61 | - | 61 (5) | 69 (4) | 77 (3) | 90 (1) | 71 (2) | 76 (3) | 52 (3) | 84 (1) | 51 (6) | 69 (3) | 19 | 37 | 17 | 27 | 71 | 57 | 1 | 7/4 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Ardnasool Ezmeb 3y 36 | Cathal McGhee — 14% R14 W2 P7 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | - | 69 (3) | 76 (2) | 68 (4) | 63 (5) | 78 (1) | 46 (6) | 45 (6) | 70 (2) | 81 (1) | 76 (1) | 36 | 41 | 12 | 34 | 68 | 44 | 4 | 3/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Lotus Frankd 2y 5 | - | - | 43 | - | 69 (3) | 82 (1) | 48 (5) | 40 (5) | 69 (1) | 50 (4) | 55 (3) | 54 (3) | 68 (1) | 52 (5) | 45 | 54 | - | 37 | 61 | 50 | 5 | 5/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Heavenly Lassb 3y 23 | - | - | 49 | - | 58 (5) | 68 (3) | 56 (6) | 78 (3) | 59 (2) | 50 (3) | 56 (2) | 59 (3) | 54 (2) | 53 (4) | 10 | 15 | - | 13 | 61 | 39 | 6 | 9/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ropewalk Saluk | 29.30 | 29.90 | 30.02 | 41 | +0.72 | 1 win/8 C&D | |
| 2 | Bruis Malachi | 29.17 | 29.61 | 29.59 | 55 | +0.42 | Model pick, LTO winner | |
| 3 | Dreenan Flyer | 29.10 | 29.49 | 29.42 | 61 | +0.32 | worst trap, top speed | |
| 4 | Ardnasool Ezme | 29.29 | 29.72 | 29.51 | 53 | +0.22 | best trap, 3 wins/10 C&D | |
| 5 | Lotus Frank | 29.35 | 29.91 | 29.83 | 43 | +0.48 | 3 wins/10 C&D | |
| 6 | Heavenly Lass | 29.27 | 29.69 | 29.86 | 49 | +0.59 | down 4 grades |
Easily the deepest race on the card so far — every runner drops in from A2 or A3 level, so the raw performance figures here are the highest of the day. Trap 4 remains the best box at A4 (19.2%) while trap 3 is the weakest (15.0%), a real complication given the fastest dog in the field is drawn there. Bruis Malachi won last time out at the tougher A3 grade with a career-best performance and backs it up with an outstanding course and distance record. Dreenan Flyer counters with the fastest raw time and the top rating on the model but sits in the worst trap for this grade and underperformed last time out. Ardnasool Ezme is the model of consistency with the best trap draw in the race.
Won last time out at the tougher A3 grade with a career-best 88-rated performance, and the recent form line of 88-73-66-83-87-65 is the strongest in the race alongside Dreenan Flyer's. Boasts the best course and distance record in this field by some margin — three wins and four top-two finishes from nine runs at this venue and trip, a 33% strike rate. Sits second on both the composite rating and raw time, fractionally behind Dreenan Flyer on each, but the winning form and superior course and distance record tip it in this dog's favour. Trap 2 is a workable box rather than the standout draw.
The fastest dog in the field by some distance and the top-rated on the model too, with a career-best 90-rated performance showing up four runs back. Drops down from A3 after finishing fifth there last time out, which is a slight blot given the otherwise strong form line of 61-69-77-90-71-76. The complication is the draw — trap 3 has been the weakest box at this grade, working directly against a dog whose game is built on speed. If the pace holds up despite the poor draw, this is the biggest threat to Bruis Malachi.
Drops in from A3 level after a fifth-placed finish, and the form has been up and down of late — a strong 77 three runs back but a couple of much weaker efforts either side of it. Course and distance form is reasonable at one win and three top-two finishes from eight runs. The slowest raw speed figure among the leading contenders. Others in this deep field have stronger claims.
Drops in from A3 after finishing third there, and the form has been admirably consistent (69-76-68-63-78-46). Owns the best course and distance record for sheer consistency — three wins and five top-two finishes from ten runs, a 50% place strike rate. Trainer Cathal McGhee has a modest overall record. Lands in the best trap at this grade, which adds to a solid, if unspectacular, profile. A reliable type who could easily figure in the finish.
Drops in from A3 after a third-placed finish and the form has been volatile — a career-best 82 five runs back but a couple of much softer efforts mixed in. Decent course and distance record at three wins and three top-two finishes from ten runs. The raw speed figure is one of the softer ones among the leading group, which is the main query.
Drops all the way down from A2 level, four grades higher than today's race, which significantly inflates the raw performance average — this dog is unlikely to be as strong at this level as the numbers suggest on paper. No wins or places from four course and distance runs at this venue and trip. Hard to trust the figures at face value given the scale of the grade drop.
Key insight: Traps 1 and 4 share the best record at A4 (around 19% each) while trap 3 is the weakest at 15.0%. Speed Rank 1 is dominant at this grade, winning 29.3% versus just 14.5% for Speed Rank 2.
T1:18.9% T2:15.6% T3:15.0% T4:19.2% T5:17.5% T6:15.8%
724 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 525m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 525m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.