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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ De Bonds Bendb 1y 13 | - | - | 44 | - | 46 (6) | 38 (6) | 54 (2) | 54 (2) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2 | - | - | - | 47 | 36 | 5 | 15/2 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Monroe Maxd 2y 34 | Stephen Radcliffe (NI) — 19% R16 W3 P6 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | - | 58 (4) | 61 (2) | 65 (3) | 54 (5) | 59 (4) | 68 (3) | 62 (2) | 55 (4) | 61 (4) | 52 (5) | 11 | 20 | 20 | 18 | 60 | 35 | 1 | 6/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Chancer Jimd 3y 7 | - | - | 51 | - | 70 (2) | 49 (5) | 58 (4) | 56 (4) | 75 (1) | 59 (2) | 48 (3) | 44 (4) | 45 (4) | 57 (3) | 9 | 12 | 9 | 22 | 58 | 45 | 3 | 11/2 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Moyola Sastad 2y 5 | - | - | 52 | - | 61 (3) | 61 (3) | 80 (1) | 53 (4) | 70 (2) | 48 (5) | 66 (4) | 69 (3) | 51 (5) | 60 (2) | 52 | 36 | 19 | 25 | 63 | 51 | 2 | 10/3 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Highview Lucasd 3y 26 | - | - | 50 | - | 54 (4) | 68 (3) | 63 (5) | 66 (2) | 72 (2) | 49 (6) | 53 (5) | 64 (3) | 65 (2) | 60 (4) | 15 | 19 | 13 | 15 | 62 | 43 | 4 | 7/4 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Kenyan Cruiseb 3y 32 | - | - | 41 | - | 51 (6) | 68 (3) | 49 (4) | 82 (1) | 62 (2) | 41 (6) | 68 (1) | 37 (6) | 60 (2) | 31 (5) | 12 | 26 | 30 | 25 | 57 | 38 | 6 | 7/4 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | De Bonds Bend | 29.83 | 30.08 | 29.83 | 44 | 0.00 | 0 wins/2 C&D | |
| 2 | Kansas City Lady | No recent form at this distance — last six runs were all 335-400m sprints, most recently 8 months ago. Speed figure not directly comparable. | — | no 525m form, 8mo layoff | ||||
| 3 | Chancer Jim | 29.59 | 30.09 | 29.59 | 51 | 0.00 | Best trap, drops in grade | |
| 4 | Moyola Sasta | 29.64 | 29.93 | 29.69 | 52 | +0.05 | Model pick | |
| 5 | Highview Lucas | 29.46 | 29.78 | 30.16 | 51 | +0.70 | 0 wins/10 C&D | |
| 6 | Kenyan Cruise | 29.33 | 30.20 | 30.35 | 42 | +1.02 | worst trap | |
At A5 the trap picture softens compared to lower grades — trap 3 and trap 5 share the best record at around 21.4%, while traps 2 and 6 lag behind at under 12%. Speed is an especially strong signal at this grade, with the fastest dog in the field winning over 28% of the time, way clear of the second-fastest. Moyola Sasta carries the strongest all-round form into this and sits just off the best trap. Chancer Jim drops in from the tougher A6 grade on the back of a career-best effort and is drawn in the best box, making him the obvious danger. Kansas City Lady looks flashy on the clock but that speed comes from sprint racing at a completely different trip eight months ago — treat it with real caution.
The highest-rated dog in the field on both the model's composite score and raw performance figure, and the form has been rock solid — 61-61-80-53-70-48 shows a career-best 80 three runs back and two matching 61s in the last two starts. Course and distance form is solid too, one win and three top-two finishes from ten runs at this venue and trip. Trap 4 isn't the standout box at this grade but it's far from a liability. Consistency and class edge this one ahead of a genuinely competitive field.
Drops back down from the tougher A6 grade after finishing second there last time out with a career-best 70-rated performance — a promising sign of a dog who might be better than his grade suggests. Drawn in trap 3, the best-performing box at this grade at nearly 21.5%. Has a reasonable course and distance record too, one win and three top-two finishes from ten runs at this venue and trip. The obvious threat to the selection if the step down in company and the good draw combine the way they look on paper.
Finished last last time out and the recent form of 46-38-54-54 doesn't stand out in this company. No wins or places from two course and distance runs at this venue and trip. The weakest of the established runners in the field on both rating and raw ability. Others have much stronger claims.
Shows the fastest raw time and speed figure in the field by some distance, but that number needs a serious health warning — every one of her last six runs was over 335 or 400 metres, nothing close to this 525m trip, and the most recent of those was eight months ago. There is zero course and distance experience here and the suitability figures for this track, trip and class all read as a blank slate. The speed looks eye-catching on paper but it simply isn't comparable form for this specific test, and stepping up this much in trip after a long layoff is a real unknown.
Drops down after finishing fourth at the tougher A4 grade last time out, and the recent form of 54-68-63-66-72-49 shows plenty of ability with a peak of 72 four runs back. Owns the fastest single time in the field but hasn't been able to convert that into course and distance wins — three places from ten runs but no victories here. Drawn in a box that shares the best record at this grade, which is a point in her favour. A big danger if the top two don't fire.
Drops in grade after finishing sixth at A4 last time out, though the form before that includes a strong 82-rated effort three runs back. Course and distance experience is limited to two runs but returned a win and a place, an encouraging small sample. The raw speed figure is the softest in the field, and trap 6 has been one of the weaker boxes at this grade. An interesting outsider on the small sample of course and distance form but hard to trust fully.
Key insight: Traps 3 and 5 share the best record at A5 (around 21.4% each) while traps 2 and 6 are both weak at under 12%. Speed Rank 1 is a standout signal at this grade, winning 28.2% versus just 15.4% for Speed Rank 2 — the biggest speed gap of any grade at Lifford 525m.
T1:17.8% T2:11.8% T3:21.5% T4:16.5% T5:21.3% T6:11.9%
906 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 525m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 525m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.