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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Lightfoot Tessieb 3y 25 | - | - | 61 | - | 33 (6) | 52 (3) | 43 (4) | 51 (4) | 56 (3) | 45 (5) | 49 (3) | 48 (4) | 51 (4) | 45 (5) | 44 | 26 | 23 | 11 | 46 | 37 | 1 | 13/8 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Icecool Dollb 3y 13 | - | - | 59 | - | 45 (4) | 43 (5) | 67 (1) | 37 (5) | 41 (5) | 33 (6) | 34 (6) | 63 (6) | 41 (2) | - | 26 | 29 | 25 | 23 | 46 | 47 | 2 | 10/3 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Glenndubhd 3y 4 | - | - | 41 | - | 36 (5) | 43 (5) | 36 (5) | 47 (4) | 46 (3) | 47 (5) | 42 (5) | 36 (6) | 32 (6) | 53 (2) | 24 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 41 | 34 | 5 | 7/2 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Bully Boy Jetd 3y 14 | - | - | 58 | - | 66 (1) | 49 (5) | 37 (6) | 52 (2) | 47 (2) | 37 (6) | 29 (6) | 48 (3) | 36 (5) | 48 (2) | 24 | 21 | 22 | 27 | 48 | 39 | 3 | 9/4 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Knockwilliamlassb 3y 46 | - | - | 42 | - | 35 (6) | 46 (4) | 39 (4) | 59 (2) | 50 (4) | 42 (6) | 52 (3) | 63 (1) | 47 (5) | 43 (5) | 16 | 16 | 13 | 12 | 46 | 15 | 4 | 9/2 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lightfoot Tessie | 30.04 | 30.39 | 30.68 | 60 | +0.64 | 0 from 8 C&D | |
| 2 | Da Madcat Hero | 30.15 | 30.79 | 31.00 | 46 | +0.85 | worst trap, 3 wins/10 C&D | |
| 3 | Iveagh Crescent | 29.86 | 30.20 | 30.54 | 69 | +0.68 | sphere change, no C&D | |
| 4 | Glenndubh | 30.48 | 30.87 | 30.92 | 40 | +0.44 | 0 wins/10 C&D | |
| 5 | Bully Boy Jet | 30.11 | 30.71 | 30.36 | 57 | +0.25 | Model pick, LTO winner | |
| 6 | Knockwilliamlass | 30.39 | 30.75 | 31.08 | 42 | +0.69 | best trap, long layoff |
The weakest field of the card by rating, back at A7 where trap 6 is the standout box at 23% and trap 2 the graveyard at under 11.5%. None of these six have shown much lately, so this is more about finding the least exposed runner than backing a standout. Bully Boy Jet won last time out at this same grade with a career-best effort and lands a good trap. Lightfoot Tessie has the second-best rating and decent raw speed but has drawn a blank in eight attempts at this exact course and distance. Iveagh Crescent is fastest on the clock but that comes from sprint racing over a shorter trip and shouldn't be trusted here.
Won last time out at this same grade with a career-best 66-rated performance, the standout recent form line in a modest field. Sits top of the composite rating, albeit by a thin margin over the second-best. Course and distance form is reasonable at one win and four top-two finishes from ten runs at this venue and trip. Drawn in the second-best trap at this grade. Not a standout on paper, but the most rounded case in a field short on obvious quality.
Second-best rating in the field and shares a decent raw speed figure, but the course and distance record is a real concern — no wins or places from eight runs at this exact venue and trip despite plenty of opportunities. Finished sixth last time out and the recent form of 33-52-43-51-56-45 hasn't shown much sparkle. The speed is there on paper but hasn't converted into results here.
Finished sixth last time out and the raw performance figure is among the weaker ones in the field. Does have a reasonable course and distance record though, three wins and three top-two finishes from ten runs at this venue and trip. Drawn in the weakest trap at this grade, which works firmly against those chances.
Shows the fastest raw time in the field by a distance, but every run on record has been over 335m in sprint company, a completely different trip, and there is zero course and distance experience at this venue and trip. Recent sprint form hasn't been strong either, finishing sixth last time out. The speed figure looks impressive on paper but isn't earned in comparable conditions and shouldn't be trusted at face value.
The weakest raw speed figure in the field and the form has been consistently modest, reading 36-43-36-47-46-47 without ever threatening. No wins from ten course and distance runs, just a single place. Nothing here suggests a change in fortunes against this field.
Hasn't raced since April, a lengthy layoff that raises obvious fitness questions. The lowest composite rating in the field despite landing the best trap at this grade. Course and distance form is fair at one win and two places from ten runs, but the time off makes this one hard to trust regardless of the good draw.
Key insight: Trap 6 is by far the best box at Lifford's A7 525m grade (23.0% from 1,422 runs) while trap 2 is the weakest (11.5%). The fastest dog in the field wins more often (26.4%) than the top-rated dog on the model (20.1%).
T1:16.4% T2:11.5% T3:14.5% T4:16.5% T5:19.7% T6:23.0%
1,422 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 525m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 525m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (525m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 325m | 525m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lightfoot Tessie | — | 0.579 |
| 2 | Icecool Doll | 0.563 | 0.585 |
| 4 | Glenndubh | — | 0.588 |
| 5 | Bully Boy Jet | — | 0.585 |
| 6 | Knockwilliamlass | — | 0.586 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.