Droopys Samara is the class act of this field by a considerable margin, with a rating nearly 25 points above her nearest rival. She won nicely from this very trap last week at D2, leading into the first bend, getting headed, and then powering back to regain the lead near the line — showing the tenacity that made her an open-race performer at her peak. Her form line reads inconsistently in recent months, but her last effort was encouraging, and a dog of her calibre dropping back to D1 level should have too much quality for these rivals. Trap 6 is the best-performing box at these conditions, and her outstanding trap suitability confirms she goes well from the stripes.