Elaines Poppit is the class act in this field, with the highest average performance and composite score. She's drawn in one of the two dominant traps — trap 6 wins 22% of D2 277-metre races here — and has good early pace that should see her break well and hold a prominent position. The concern is her recent form: four consecutive efforts in the low 30s after previously reaching far higher figures. She had a clear run from this exact trap last week and could only manage fourth, which is not encouraging. Her course and distance record of no wins from five starts is also a worry. She's the pick on raw ability and structural position, but the declining form trajectory means confidence is limited.