| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Renaes Girlb 3y 15 | N F Carter — 17% R255 W44 P139 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 55 | 22 (3) | 19 (4) | 19 (3) | 24 (3) | 20 (5) | 29 (1) | 19 (4) | 26 (2) | 19 (4) | 43 (5) | 16 | 21 | 21 | 16 | 36 | 28 | 1 | 7/2 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Hollyoak Ronaldd 2y 6 | R W Butler — 17% R224 W38 P111 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | - | 20 (5) | 20 (5) | 17 (6) | 29 (1) | 18 (3) | 17 (5) | 10 (6) | 15 (5) | 16 (5) | 17 (5) | 21 | 20 | - | 7 | 15 | 16 | 6 | 16/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Deelish Millieb 1y 23 | S Mavrias — 17% R239 W40 P127 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 45 | 44 (5) | 45 (6) | 61 (2) | 24 (2) | 16 (6) | 19 (4) | - | - | - | - | 16 | 20 | - | 8 | 17 | 16 | 5 | 5/4F | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Stophers Pumpkinb 1y 13 | G L Davidson — 14% R227 W31 P101 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | - | 23 (4) | 18 (5) | 19 (4) | 31 (1) | 23 (3) | 22 (4) | 29 (1) | 19 (4) | - | - | 11 | 44 | - | 39 | 19 | 22 | 3 | 11/4 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Insane Mistressb 7y 25 | G Andreas — 16% R284 W46 P148 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | - | 17 (5) | 16 (5) | 23 (3) | 19 (4) | 16 (5) | 23 (2) | 19 (3) | 21 (3) | 21 (3) | 20 (4) | 18 | 17 | 15 | 15 | 20 | 19 | 4 | 18/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Run Rachelb 5y 15 | M Mavrias — 17% R317 W53 P159 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 60 | - | 16 (6) | 15 (4) | 29 (1) | 23 (2) | 19 (4) | 25 (2) | 24 (3) | 22 (4) | 18 (5) | 30 (1) | 32 | 27 | 38 | 34 | 22 | 26 | 2 | 10/3 | - | |
Renaes Girl is the clear class act in this field, rated well above her rivals on average performance. She led for most of the race here last week from this very trap before being caught on the line, which tells you all you need to know about her — she has the pace to dominate but fades late. When she hit 43 and 50 two and three starts back, she was operating well above D5 standard. The inconsistency is the concern — a 13 sandwiched between those better efforts shows she can produce the odd poor run. Trap 1 is a fair draw without being dominant, and her limited course and distance form is a slight worry, but she's simply the best dog in the race.
Best draw in the race and showed good early speed last time. The structural favourite — if she leads, she could hold on where the fading pick doesn't.
Well below the required standard. Structural position doesn't help enough to overcome a significant ability deficit.
Wrong running style for this trip and track, and current form offers no encouragement. Hard to see a path to victory.
Good venue record and could pick up the pieces if the front two falter. Not the worst each-way option in a weak field.
Consistent but rarely winning at course and distance. May fill a place frame but hard to see a first win here tonight.
T6 is strongly dominant at 26.4% from 106 runs. Sample sizes are smaller at D5 level but the T6 signal is clear. Normal composite separation — the model can identify the better dogs here.
T1:17.7% T2:16.8% T3:19.6% T4:16.5% T5:19.4% T6:26.4%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 277m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 277m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (277m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 277m | 491m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Renaes Girl | 0.627 | 0.629 |
| 2 | Hollyoak Ronald | 0.633 | — |
| 3 | Deelish Millie | 0.632 | 0.613 |
| 4 | Stophers Pumpkin | 0.623 | — |
| 5 | Insane Mistress | 0.634 | — |
| 6 | Run Rachel | 0.629 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.