Franco Devon has the best composite in the field and decent early pace that should see him hold a prominent position into the first bend. He was bumped badly last week and trailed home fifth — a run to forgive given the trouble in running. Before that, he'd put together three consecutive efforts in the mid-50s to mid-60s, showing he's capable of better than this grade. The problem is the draw — trap 3 is the worst-performing box in A5 491-metre races at Central Park by a considerable margin, and he's never actually won at course and distance from nine attempts despite three placed efforts. The ability is there but the structural headwind is real.