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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 2 | ▶ Goulane Aceb 4y 26 | S A Birks — 16% R217 W35 P124 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 47 (2) | 60 (1) | 61 (4) | 67 (2) | 61 (2) | 26 (5) | 76 (1) | 29 (5) | 29 (3) | 28 (3) | 46 | 57 | 25 | 45 | 36 | 41 | 1 | 3/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Sensational Sueb 3y 17 | R J Overton — 18% R320 W56 P190 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | - | 32 (1) | 29 (2) | 31 (1) | 22 (3) | 23 (4) | 26 (5) | 30 (2) | 25 (4) | 33 (5) | 36 (3) | 47 | 41 | 24 | 58 | 28 | 35 | 3 | 15/8JF | |
| 4 | ▶ Second Tierd 4y 24 | C A Williams — 15% R362 W53 P183 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 38 (2) | 29 (4) | 35 (2) | 38 (2) | 34 (3) | 37 (1) | 28 (1) | 28 (3) | 26 (2) | - | 45 | 30 | - | 21 | 40 | 37 | 5 | 15/8JF | |
| 5 | ▶ Slaneyside Janb 2y 5 | R J Overton — 18% R320 W56 P190 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | - | 30 (2) | 36 (1) | 29 (3) | 33 (2) | 28 (3) | 30 (2) | 34 (2) | 28 (2) | 25 (5) | 32 (4) | 46 | 40 | 36 | 37 | 33 | 36 | 2 | 8/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Killieford Zoeb 3y 14 | D Calvert — 17% R545 W93 P315 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | - | 27 (2) | 31 (2) | 23 (4) | 27 (4) | 23 (5) | 22 (5) | 27 (4) | 26 (2) | 26 (3) | 28 (4) | 40 | 43 | 45 | 46 | 29 | 34 | 4 | 11/4 | |
Goulane Ace is the Pred1 pick with the most compelling pace profile in the field — EP 96, CS 0, pace consistency 87. At 275m sprint distance, this extreme Fader profile becomes a huge asset because the race ends before any meaningful fade can develop. His pace consistency of 87 means he reliably dominates the first bend — this isn't a dog who sometimes gets away well. He always gets away well. His form reads 57,40,30,23,29 with the standout 57 coming from a 2nd at 483m A2 — that's class several grades above this D3. The form does show a drop from 57→40→30→23→29 which includes two runs at 275m D3, but the variation looks more like distance/grade adjustment than genuine decline. AvgPerformance of 36 is the best in the field by some margin. Suitability mean of 43.2 is also the best (track 57, distance 45, trap 46, class 25). T2 is DOMINANT at 23.64% from 258 runs. Trained by S A Birks at 18%. The convergence of best perf, best suitability, dominant trap, and sprint-optimal pace profile makes this a solid pick in a low-separation race.
Highest ceiling in the race (49 at OR) but also lowest floor. Poor suitability and erratic form (26,49,22,27,24) make him unpredictable. The class edge is there but too inconsistent to rely on. Danger based on talent alone.
D4 winner stepping up to D3 — the class rise is the key variable. Decent speed (52) and distance suitability (58) but avgPerf 28 is below the D3 field average. May find this grade too sharp.
D2 winner dropping in class but declining form (40→40→32→17→25) and the dead T5 draw (17.41% from 201 runs) offset the class advantage. Best speed (54) is a plus but not enough to overcome the structural headwind.
Good suitability profile and class drop from D2 but zero wins from five recent starts and a consistent mid-pack finishing pattern (4,5,3,3,5) suggest she'll be in the mix without threatening the places.
LOW SEPARATION: R1 wins 24.05% vs R3 at 21.62% — just 2.4pp gap. Ratings barely separate at D3. Trap bias and pace profile should lead the analysis. Watson 35.48% at D3 275m from 31 runs is the strongest trainer signal.
T1:26.86% T2:23.64% T3:18.51% T4:21.4% T5:17.41% T6:21.61%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 275m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.