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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Salems Thord 4y 26 | C A Williams — 15% R367 W54 P187 Trainer form — last 3 months | 46 | - | 26 (4) | 32 (3) | 32 (2) | 32 (2) | 35 (2) | 34 (2) | 34 (2) | 35 (1) | 31 (3) | 31 (4) | 47 | 40 | 29 | 40 | 32 | 36 | 3 | 6/1 | ||
| 2 | ▶ Drive On Trouperd 3y 15 | C A Williams — 15% R367 W54 P187 Trainer form — last 3 months | 53 | - | 33 (5) | 35 (4) | 59 (1) | 59 (1) | 35 (5) | 38 (4) | 63 (3) | 22 (4) | 26 (4) | 32 (2) | 32 | 37 | 14 | 34 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 3/1 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Shots Firedd 2y 8 | S Watson — 30% R427 W130 P301 Trainer form — last 3 months | 53 | - | 42 (1) | 32 (3) | 36 (2) | 31 (4) | 34 (4) | 42 (1) | 36 (2) | 32 (3) | 37 (3) | 35 (2) | 34 | 28 | 24 | 26 | 32 | 31 | 4 | 4/6F | ||
| 5 | ▶ Skirk Miab 4y 24 | D Calvert — 17% R554 W96 P317 Trainer form — last 3 months | 49 | - | 29 (2) | 32 (2) | 23 (5) | 30 (2) | 26 (3) | 25 (4) | 22 (5) | 24 (5) | 30 (3) | 36 (1) | 37 | 40 | 34 | 40 | 31 | 34 | 2 | 7/1 | ||
| 6 | ▶ Kates Bojangleb 5y 24 | D Calvert — 17% R554 W96 P317 Trainer form — last 3 months | 46 | - | 24 (5) | 33 (3) | 32 (4) | 29 (4) | 41 (1) | 26 (5) | 29 (3) | 41 (1) | 29 (5) | 26 (5) | 39 | 32 | 25 | 59 | 31 | 35 | 5 | 9/2 | ||
Drive On Trouper is the Pred1 projected winner with the best avgPerformance in the field at 36 and joint-best speed of 53. His form shows a wide range: 33,30,31,30,71 — that 71 was a strong 3rd-place finish three starts back, suggesting he has a higher ceiling than his recent form of 33,30,31 indicates. All five runs are at Doncaster 275m D2 with positions of 2,5,3,4,3 — inconsistent but the last-start 2nd is encouraging. The concern is T2 which wins just 18.77% from 277 runs — a below-expected-rate draw with a large sample confirming the structural disadvantage. His suitability scores are decent (track 37, distance 34, trap 32, class 14) but nothing stands out, and class suitability of 14 suggests he's been finding D2 competitive. No pace profile data available. Trained by C A Williams at 28% — moderate tier. The pick is based on raw performance superiority but the structural position is unfavourable.
The structural case is strong — dominant trap, excellent suitability, improving form. Slowest speed is the concern but at D2 the composite rank model only separates by 5pp so structure matters more. Genuine danger to the pick.
Consistent mid-pack performer (35,35,33,33,33) but has never won in his last 5 runs and the dead T4 draw (17.06% from 252 runs) makes breaking through even harder. Strong trainer but structural position undermines.
Structurally well-placed in the dominant T5 with the best suitability profile in the field. But declining form (38→27→26→28→30) and lack of recent wins make it hard to back with confidence. Place prospect.
Extreme Fader (EP 100, CS 0) who leads or finishes last. Three 5th-place finishes from last five suggest the fade catches her more often than not, even at 275m. Too inconsistent to rely on despite distance suitability.
T1 and T5 are the strongest structural positions from large samples. Composite rank 1 wins 25.04% — model has moderate predictive power at D2 level. Speed rank 1 wins 26.7% from 633 runs.
T1:26.64% T2:18.77% T3:23.29% T4:17.06% T5:25.25% T6:21.47%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 275m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.