Loading...
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Manx Saskiab 4y 15 | S J L Lapidge — 18% R320 W56 P187 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 25 (4) | 22 (5) | 29 (4) | 27 (4) | 27 (4) | 33 (3) | 27 (4) | 31 (4) | 25 (5) | 28 (4) | 40 | 37 | 41 | 37 | 34 | 35 | 5 | 7/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Grouchos Davyd 1y 5 | J M Windrass — 18% R28 W5 P23 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | - | 36 (3) | 70 (3) | 42 (1) | 75 (2) | 36 (2) | 40 (1) | 34 (2) | 33 (2) | 36 (1) | 35 (1) | 64 | 74 | 18 | 74 | 33 | 46 | 4 | 6/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Luminous Dreamb 2y 18 | S Watson — 31% R414 W128 P292 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 60 | - | 40 (2) | 32 (4) | 30 (4) | 42 (1) | 34 (3) | 37 (2) | 37 (2) | 32 (2) | 30 (4) | 34 (3) | 67 | 55 | 50 | 55 | 34 | 43 | 3 | 11/10F | |
| 4 | ▶ Vinegarhill Cashd 2y 18 | S Watson — 31% R414 W128 P292 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | 41 | 35 (4) | 25 (5) | 28 (5) | 41 (1) | 33 (3) | 38 (2) | 38 (2) | 33 (2) | 33 (4) | 40 (1) | 55 | 62 | 40 | 63 | 35 | 44 | 1 | 11/8 | |
| 6 | ▶ Jazza Rooneyb 4y 24 | D Calvert — 17% R545 W93 P315 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 59 | 32 (3) | 42 (1) | 42 (1) | 40 (1) | 27 (5) | 29 (5) | 29 (4) | 37 (2) | 33 (3) | 28 (5) | 57 | 47 | 31 | 59 | 31 | 39 | 2 | 7/1 | |
Vinegarhill Cash is the Pred1 projected winner as a confirmed Closer (EP 41, CS 100, pace consistency 78) with the best avgPerformance in the field at 35 and good speed of 57. His closing ability is the defining characteristic — he'll be near the rear through bend 1 but his CS of 100 means he finishes every race strongly. The question at 275m is whether there's enough distance to close, and at Doncaster's fair layout with a reasonable home straight, history suggests there can be. His suitability profile is strong: track 62, distance 63, trap 55, class 40 — a mean of 55 that confirms proven form at these conditions. Recent form reads 40,26,36,30,33 with positions of 1,4,2,3,2 — that win two starts back at D2 275m followed by a 4th (26 perf) and then a return to 40 shows he can win here but is inconsistent. Trained by S Watson at 30% — strong tier. The structural headwind is T4 winning just 17.06% from 252 runs — the DEAD trap at D2 275m. But the class edge (best avgPerf, strong suitability) and proven winning form at these conditions support the selection.
The best suitability profile in the race by a wide margin — track 74 and distance 74 are outstanding. Two recent D3 wins confirm ability. Structural headwind from T2 is the main concern. Genuine danger to the pick.
The most complete profile in the race — best speed, dominant trap with confirmed trap suitability, top trainer, consistent form. Should be right there at the finish. Key danger to Vinegarhill Cash.
Strong structural draw at T1 but inconsistent form (two wins mixed with two poor runs) and the weakest trainer in the field limit confidence. Place prospect from the dominant draw.
Pace-setter who leads early but fades. Two 5th-place finishes from last five and the lowest avgPerf in the field (31) make her hard to support. Will contribute to the race shape but unlikely to be there at the finish.
T4 is the dead trap from 252 runs and the pick is drawn there — structural headwind. But suitability scores are the differentiator in this race with multiple dogs carrying 55+ individual suit scores.
T1:26.64% T2:18.77% T3:23.29% T4:17.06% T5:25.25% T6:21.47%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 275m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.