The Future of Racing: PGR TV Stakes
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Maes Starb 2y 16 | D Blackbird — 17% R1084 W182 P585 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | - | 31 (1) | 16 (5) | 22 (6) | 23 (5) | 28 (3) | 28 (3) | 26 (4) | 29 (3) | 29 (2) | 28 (2) | 31 | 35 | 19 | 29 | 24 | 27 | 6 | 9/2 | |
| 2 | ▶ Las Vegasd 1y 7 | P Miller — 17% R501 W87 P263 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 40 | 39 (1) | 36 (1) | 37 (5) | 45 (5) | 24 (4) | 32 (1) | 25 (6) | 63 (1) | 45 (3) | 68 (1) | 29 | 40 | - | 30 | 49 | 43 | 3 | 6/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Malibu Jotad 5y 41 | R Thompson — 11% R118 W13 P52 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | - | 21 (5) | 20 (4) | 20 (6) | 27 (3) | 92 (1) | 33 (1) | 23 (3) | 25 (5) | 31 (1) | 23 (3) | 56 | 31 | 33 | 29 | 26 | 30 | 1 | 11/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Blue Planetb 3y 16 | P Miller — 17% R501 W87 P263 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 60 | 73 (2) | 47 (5) | 65 (2) | 50 (3) | 69 (2) | 27 (5) | 32 (3) | 33 (3) | 37 (2) | 30 (4) | 49 | 41 | - | 34 | 53 | 49 | 2 | 1/2F | |
| 5 | ▶ Malibu Harryd 6y 23 | R Thompson — 11% R118 W13 P52 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 27 (4) | 20 (5) | 23 (5) | 30 (2) | 17 (6) | 17 (6) | 19 (6) | 23 (5) | 32 (4) | 26 (5) | 33 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 27 | 28 | 5 | 6/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Alternative Pickd 5y 33 | C Mcnicholas — 17% R516 W88 P265 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 42 | - | 24 (3) | 26 (4) | 24 (5) | 35 (1) | 26 (4) | 24 (4) | 32 (1) | 30 (1) | 22 (3) | 23 (4) | 38 | 31 | 8 | 33 | 27 | 29 | 4 | 16/1 | |
The only runner with a confirmed pace profile, and it's the ideal one for 261m: Front Runner (EP61, Bend60). At sprint distance, a Front Runner with the field's best early pace AND best bend rating is exactly what you want — he'll blast out, navigate the bend cleanly, and try to hold on through the short run-in. Average performance 53 is the field's best alongside Las Vegas at 49 (actually 53 is clearly best). Speed rating 54 is the field's highest. Form of 3-3-1-1-1 with performances of 29→33→24→21→24 looks contradictory — three wins but with low perf numbers. This suggests he's winning at D3 through sheer speed and early pace rather than sustained form, which is exactly what sprints demand. The wins came at various distances with the last three all at D3, showing consistent winning at this grade. Track suit 41 and trap suit 49 are both strong — he has proven Sunderland sprint form. T4 wins just 13.41% from 179 runs — the second-worst trap, which is the main negative. But at a sprint where EP and Bend override draw stats, his 61/60 combination gets him to the front regardless of trap position. Trainer Miller at 16% is the same as Las Vegas. Class suit 0 is irrelevant as the form speaks for itself (3 consecutive wins).
DANGER: Best performance (49) and a stunning improvement trajectory (22→25→63→45→68). Three wins in five starts. The EP39 is a genuine concern at 261m but the class gap may be large enough to overcome it — she's been winning despite the slow starts.
Break-dependent sprinter with no pace profile data and poor T1 stats at 261m D3. The alternating form pattern (places and lasts) makes her a pure lottery.
Second-best speed (52) in the second-best trap (T3) with the best trap suit (56) — but no pace profile data and flat form (23→19→25→27) after a lone win. Structurally placed but form doesn't inspire.
Worst trap, worst form (6-5-4-5-5), no pace profile data. Can be opposed with confidence — there's nothing in the form or conditions to suggest a competitive chance.
Best trap (T6, 21.24%) and best trainer (McNicholas 22%), but the lowest speed in the field (42) is a structural barrier at 261m. The draw helps but can't overcome a 12-point speed deficit in a sprint.
867 runs. T6 is the dominant trap at 21.24% from 113 runs — well ahead of the field. T3 second at 17.68%. T4 and T5 are the weakest at ~13%. Remarkably, composite R2 (18.39%) outperforms R1 (14.01%) — the top-rated dog is NOT favoured at this grade. Speed R1 wins 18.41% — slightly more predictive. This is a chaotic sprint grade where draw matters more than ratings.
T1:13.85% T2:15.57% T3:17.68% T4:13.41% T5:13.21% T6:21.24%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 261m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.