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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 2 | ▶ Lombardyd 3y 6 | C Jackson — 21% R98 W21 P58 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 38 | 22 (5) | 28 (3) | 37 (3) | 32 (5) | 23 (5) | 30 (4) | 41 (1) | 40 (1) | 23 (6) | 41 (2) | 44 | 62 | 25 | 62 | 33 | 41 | 3 | 4/5F | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Tip Top Flashd 2y 6 | D Blackbird — 17% R1100 W186 P605 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 51 | 31 (3) | 27 (6) | 47 (5) | 68 (6) | 34 (2) | 27 (3) | 29 (5) | 40 (4) | 35 (1) | - | 68 | 37 | 21 | 46 | 31 | 38 | 4 | 5/2 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Keefill Ellab 3y 5 | C Mcnicholas — 16% R517 W83 P269 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | - | 26 (5) | 32 (3) | 28 (5) | 26 (5) | 30 (4) | 34 (3) | 17 (5) | 36 (2) | 30 (5) | 37 (1) | 46 | 27 | 5 | 27 | 31 | 32 | 2 | 8/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Glenbervie Wolfd 2y 24 | E Y Bell — 21% R525 W111 P287 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 65 | 51 (5) | 88 (1) | 60 (4) | 67 (3) | 83 (1) | 34 (2) | 41 (6) | 25 (5) | 35 (2) | 55 (5) | 48 | 46 | 18 | 61 | 52 | 52 | 1 | 4/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Walk On Buddyd 4y 25 | C Mcnicholas — 16% R517 W83 P269 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 24 (5) | 29 (3) | 28 (3) | 36 (6) | 31 (1) | 32 (3) | 32 (2) | 30 (2) | 36 (4) | - | 46 | 33 | 13 | 28 | 31 | 33 | 5 | 12/1 | - | |
The only confirmed Front Runner (EP59, Bend65) with the ideal pace profile for a 261m sprint. Average performance 52 is the field's best by a huge margin — 19 points clear of the next runner (Lombardy at 33). That performance gap is the largest in any race on the card. Speed 49 is average but the EP59 and Bend65 are the decisive sprint metrics — he'll be first to the bend and navigate it cleanly. Form of 2-1-1-5-4 with performances of 35→24→24→55→56 needs careful reading: the two latest runs (35 and 24, 24) look poor, but the 55→56 from two runs earlier are strong and at D2 grade the per-race perf numbers can be misleading (they're heavily influenced by the quality of opposition). Two wins and a 2nd from the last five starts is an excellent strike rate. Suitability includes distance suit 61 — the field's best — confirming proven 261m form. Track suit 46 is solid. T5 wins just 11.38% from 123 runs — the second-worst trap, which is the main negative. But at 261m, sprint principles apply: EP and Bend override trap statistics. His EP59/Bend65 combination ensures he's first through the bend regardless of starting position. Trainer Bell at 12% is weak but irrelevant when the dog's pace profile is this dominant.
DANGER: Second-best trap (T3, 19.88%) with the field's best personal trap suit (68). The All-Rounder profile with EP50 is workable at 261m. Two recent 2nd-place finishes show she can contend. If Glenbervie Wolf has an off day, she's the main threat.
Best suitability (62/62) and best trainer (44%) but a Closer in the worst trap at a 261m sprint. The sprint principles are clear: don't pick Closers. The physics of 261m don't allow recovery from a slow start.
Field-best speed (52) is relevant at 261m but no pace profile data and T4's poor trap stats (13.89%) work against her. Declining recent form (37→28→31→25) further limits her case.
Second-best trap (T6, 21.78%) but 21 points behind Glenbervie Wolf on performance. No pace profile data to confirm sprint credentials. The draw alone can't overcome this class gap.
788 runs. Extreme trap bias: T1 dominates at 23.76% (101 runs) and T6 at 21.78% (101 runs) — the extremes win. T2 is disastrous at 9.02% (122 runs). T3 also strong at 19.88% (161 runs). T4 and T5 underperform at 13.89% and 11.38%. Composite R1 wins 18.93% — moderate predictiveness. Speed R1 wins 18.16%.
T1:23.76% T2:9.02% T3:19.88% T4:13.89% T5:11.38% T6:21.78%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 261m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 261m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (261m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 245m | 261m | 435m | 450m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lombardy | — | 0.624 | — | — |
| 3 | Tip Top Flash | — | 0.623 | — | 0.627 |
| 4 | Keefill Ella | — | 0.624 | — | — |
| 5 | Glenbervie Wolf | 0.608 | 0.616 | 0.609 | 0.623 |
| 6 | Walk On Buddy | — | 0.623 | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.