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Friday Night Executive Boxes @ Sunderland Dogs Stakes
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Finnery Julieb 2y 5 | D Blackbird — 17% R1087 W183 P588 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 45 | 37 (5) | 49 (5) | 40 (2) | 48 (4) | 43 (3) | 45 (5) | 50 (2) | 56 (3) | 36 (1) | - | 42 | 39 | 15 | 39 | 48 | 45 | 2 | 15/8F | |
| 2 | ▶ Stackemup Rickyd 1y 9 | C Mcnicholas — 17% R516 W88 P265 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 39 | 23 | 58 (1) | 51 (2) | 33 (5) | 37 (4) | 34 (4) | 45 (2) | 35 (5) | 32 (5) | 34 (5) | - | 46 | 40 | - | 40 | - | 15 | 6 | 9/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Slip Jig Emb 2y 6 | E Y Bell — 22% R520 W113 P293 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | 39 | 47 (3) | 53 (1) | 42 (3) | 39 (3) | 37 (5) | 35 (4) | 30 (6) | 41 (5) | 54 (4) | 39 (4) | 42 | 38 | - | 32 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 8/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Dellser Cassieb 2y 11 | P Miller — 17% R501 W87 P263 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 61 | 51 (1) | 28 (6) | 22 (6) | 46 (3) | 40 (3) | 39 (4) | 34 (4) | 41 (6) | 50 (4) | - | 27 | 33 | 23 | 35 | 48 | 42 | 1 | 9/4 | |
| 5 | ▶ Mascot Delilahb 1y 16 | D Blackbird — 17% R1087 W183 P588 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 55 | 27 (2) | 24 (3) | 17 (6) | 56 (1) | 34 (4) | 25 (6) | 36 (4) | 52 (1) | 51 (4) | 42 (2) | 38 | 45 | - | 45 | 41 | 42 | 4 | 6/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Bangersandsmashd 2y 8 | D Blackbird — 17% R1087 W183 P588 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 57 | 53 (4) | 55 (4) | 64 (3) | 65 (2) | 71 (1) | 53 (3) | 47 (4) | 64 (1) | 57 (1) | 54 (2) | 22 | 18 | - | 18 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 11/4 | |
Fader (EP58, CS37, PC88) with the best early pace and best bend rating (61) in the field — she'll lead through Sunderland's difficult first bend from T4 and do so cleanly. Average performance 48 is joint-best in the field. Form of 2-3-1-2-2 with performances of 50→50→58→51→49 is the most consistent sequence of any runner: the floor is 49 and the ceiling is 58, with no extreme dips. That 58 performance (a win) was just two runs ago and the 50→50 since are still competitive at A7. Speed rating 56 is the field's best, and the combination of speed, bend, and early pace gives her every chance of building a race-winning advantage through the first two bends. The Fader concern (CS37) is real at Sunderland 450m, but at A7 where the closers behind her are weak (the best closer, Slip Jig Em, has an average of 46) the quality gap may sustain her lead. T4 wins just 14.50% from 131 runs — the second-worst trap — which is the main negative. But her personal numbers override the trap stats: she doesn't need the trap to help her because her EP58 and Bend61 will get her to the front regardless. Suitability is moderate: track 33, distance 35, trap 27, class 23. Trainer Miller at 16% is mid-range.
DANGER: Won her last race emphatically (70 perf) and the upward trajectory from 30→70 over five runs suggests real improvement. T3 is the second-best trap, and the Closer profile suits the track. The risk is the 70 was a one-off, but the 54→39→70 pattern of flashes between lower runs is typical of a dog finding her level.
Joint-best performance and solid Closer profile, but T1's 8.96% win rate at A7 is a structural barrier. Declining recent form (36→38) further undermines her case. Hard to back from this draw.
Best trap in the race by far (T2, 24.04%) but only two career runs with sub-20 performances. The draw is excellent but the dog is an unproven maiden. Too much unknown to pick or danger.
Best suitability scores and a decent trap, but the extreme boom-or-bust form (1-4-6-4-1) and low average perf (41) make her impossible to trust. If the pattern holds, she's due a bad run after the latest win.
Can be confidently opposed. Worst trap (T6, 8.08%), worst performance (33), worst suitability, novice with four runs. The structural mismatch between a Fader from T6 at Sunderland is severe.
622 runs. Extreme trap bias: T2 dominates at 24.04% (104 runs) and T3 at 21.70% (106 runs). T1 (8.96%) and T6 (8.08%) are terrible — the extremes are punished hard at A7. Composite R3 outperforms R1 and R2 at 22.58% — this is a chaotic grade where the third-rated dog wins more often than the favourite. Ratings are almost meaningless at A7.
T1:8.96% T2:24.04% T3:21.70% T4:14.50% T5:20.00% T6:8.08%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 450m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Finnery Julie | 47 | 60 | Closer |
2Stackemup Ricky | 26 | 70 | Closer |
3Slip Jig Em | 42 | 68 | Closer |
4Dellser Cassie | 58 | 37 | Fader |
5Mascot Delilah | 53 | 40 | All-Rounder |
6Bangersandsmash | 56 | 34 | Fader |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.