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@owlerton_racing on X Stakes
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Veronicasfantasyb 4y 24 | T Bedford — 19% R99 W19 P53 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 39 | 53 | 37 (5) | 37 (5) | 57 (3) | 48 (2) | 69 (1) | 70 (1) | 28 (1) | 57 (2) | 53 (3) | 44 (4) | 9 | 25 | 19 | 24 | 29 | 26 | 6 | 5/2 | |
| 2 | ▶ Ballyboss Emilyb 3y 15 | D T Gomersall — 15% R137 W20 P69 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 32 | 48 | 42 (4) | 69 (1) | 69 (1) | 40 (4) | 19 (4) | 30 (6) | 68 (1) | 18 (5) | 52 (4) | 32 (4) | 34 | 18 | 26 | 23 | 34 | 31 | 5 | 18/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Gurtnacrehy Rhysd 1y 23 | P Webster — 16% R96 W15 P44 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 36 | 40 | 26 (5) | 65 (2) | 60 (1) | 42 (3) | 37 (3) | 61 (2) | 28 (6) | - | - | - | 26 | 20 | 18 | 20 | 42 | 35 | 3 | 8/11F | |
| 4 | ▶ Coonough Sheilab 2y 13 | L J Stephenson — 20% R257 W51 P154 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 59 | 49 | 53 (2) | 42 (5) | 55 (4) | 36 (6) | 62 (1) | 61 (2) | 61 (3) | 60 (2) | 71 (1) | 43 (4) | 7 | 37 | 47 | 29 | 41 | 35 | 4 | 9/2 | |
| 5 | ▶ Slippy Shaned 3y 16 | M A P O'donnell — 19% R293 W55 P167 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 60 | 55 | 49 (4) | 72 (1) | 28 (3) | 27 (3) | 56 (3) | 57 (2) | 48 (3) | 56 (2) | 49 (3) | 52 (5) | 1 | 37 | 28 | 37 | 50 | 41 | 2 | 12/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Hollywell Oddsoxb 4y 27 | L J Stephenson — 20% R257 W51 P154 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 63 | 48 | 67 (1) | 65 (1) | 53 (4) | 47 (4) | 52 (4) | 50 (3) | 50 (4) | 39 (5) | 49 (4) | 73 (1) | 43 | 42 | 31 | 36 | 53 | 49 | 1 | 9/1 | |
The predicted winner with the highest H3 score on the Sheffield card (78.3) and the clear composite leader (49). In a handicap with NORMAL separation (10.4pp where R1 wins 22.6% vs R3 at 12.3%), the composite ranking carries significant weight. Speed 63 is the best in the race — the fastest raw runner. A Closer (CS 73, EP 51) who will use the handicap stagger to get into a forward position and then close strongly through the final straight. Average performance 53 is the best in the field by a meaningful margin. Form 3,4,5,4,1 includes a win last time, and the trajectory 66->55->47->50->66 shows a strong bounce back to 66 — matching her career high. CD form 3,4,5,4,1,1,2,5,4,1 at Sheffield 500m includes three wins and a second from ten runs — excellent course-and-distance record. Suitability is the best in the field: track 42, distance 36, trap 43, class 31 — mean 38. Trainer Stephenson at 12% is low. Drawn T6 at 18.5% — neutral, but in a handicap the stagger partially neutralises trap positions. The combination of best speed, best ratings, best CD form, and handicap format convergence makes this the strongest pick on the Sheffield card.
DANGER — strong closing credentials (CS 74, speed 59) with proven CD form. Class suit 47 field-best suggests she handles competition. Trap suit 7 is the main negative but handicap stagger mitigates trap issues.
Dominant T1 is partly neutralised by handicap stagger. Five consecutive 5th-place finishes in CD form is a damning record. Low speed and poor suitability. Can be opposed.
Dominant T2 de-weighted by handicap. Field-worst speed (32) means no closing ability regardless of stagger. Recent form crisis (20, 16). High consistency at a low level isn't helpful.
Form in freefall — 12 and 10 from the last two runs. Once capable (61 four starts back) but currently non-competitive. Cannot be supported at any price.
Front Runner with speed 60 and EP 56 but trap suit 1 and form of 5,5,1,5,5 means he only wins when everything goes perfectly — which his Sheffield record says happens once in ten tries.
HANDICAP — trap bias de-weighted, speed/pace profile elevated. NORMAL separation (10.4pp) is the strongest on the card — R1 composite at 22.6% vs R3 at 12.3%. Speed rank is unusually flat (R1:18.4%, R2:19.9%) suggesting speed alone doesn't predict in handicaps — the stagger equalises it. Hollywell Oddsox's H3 78.3 leads by a clear margin.
T1:23.0% T2:21.0% T3:16.1% T4:16.7% T5:15.2% T6:18.5%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Veronicasfantasy | 54 | 31 | All-Rounder |
2Ballyboss Emily | 49 | 34 | All-Rounder |
3Gurtnacrehy Rhys | 44 | 47 | All-Rounder |
4Coonough Sheila | 48 | 74 | Closer |
5Slippy Shane | 56 | 53 | Front Runner |
6Hollywell Oddsox | 51 | 73 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.