Loading...
@owlerton_racing on X Stakes
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Droopys Paradigmb 4y 24 | J Andrews — 20% R245 W48 P135 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 38 | 36 | 70 (1) | 45 (5) | 66 (1) | 49 (3) | 58 (2) | 48 (3) | 41 (5) | 34 (6) | 60 (1) | 40 (5) | 32 | 29 | 20 | 26 | 50 | 43 | 6 | 20/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Mucky Signetd 2y 10 | P Webster — 16% R96 W15 P44 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 47 | 77 (1) | 55 (4) | 61 (3) | 50 (5) | 46 (5) | 72 (1) | 68 (1) | 61 (2) | 50 (5) | 54 (2) | 36 | 41 | 26 | 33 | 52 | 47 | 4 | 10/3 | |
| 3 | ▶ Slippy Olegd 3y 27 | M A P O'donnell — 19% R293 W55 P167 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 46 | 51 (3) | 51 (4) | 68 (1) | 56 (2) | 54 (3) | 59 (2) | 60 (1) | 41 (4) | 42 (4) | 41 (5) | 44 | 36 | 14 | 35 | 50 | 46 | 2 | 9/4 | |
| 4 | ▶ Drumdoit Minnieb 1y 25 | J Andrews — 20% R245 W48 P135 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 68 | 48 (4) | 58 (2) | 42 (5) | 59 (2) | 50 (3) | 58 (3) | 66 (1) | 36 (6) | 24 (5) | 32 (1) | 37 | 51 | 30 | 31 | 52 | 48 | 1 | 6/4F | |
| 5 | ▶ Russanda Millyb 2y 27 | E T Parker — 20% R208 W41 P118 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | 53 | 53 (4) | 43 (4) | 61 (3) | 29 (6) | 26 (5) | 27 (4) | 34 (2) | 35 (2) | 38 (2) | 32 (3) | 48 | 49 | - | 18 | 38 | 38 | 5 | 5/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Caremone Ladyb 5y 14 | P D Sanderson — 11% R141 W15 P57 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 48 | 53 (4) | 57 (2) | 61 (2) | 49 (5) | 54 (3) | 52 (3) | 44 (4) | 43 (5) | 48 (4) | 54 (2) | 31 | 31 | 32 | 29 | 55 | 46 | 3 | 7/1 | |
The predicted winner from the most DOMINANT trap position on the entire Sheffield card today — T4 at 25.3% from 253 runs at A6 500m. This is a clear structural standout. EP 69 and bend 68 are both the best in the field by significant margins, meaning she'll lead through the first bend unchallenged. Average performance 52 is competitive and the earlier trajectory included strong runs (50->58->66). However, the recent form has crashed: 66->36->18 over the last three, with 18 the last run being extremely poor. CD form 4,2,5,2,3,3,1,6,1 at Sheffield 500m includes two wins and two seconds — proven ability at these conditions. The Fader profile (CS 7) at 500m is the primary concern — she'll weaken through bends 3 and 4. But the DOMINANT T4 at 25.3% is the strongest single-trap signal on the card, and trap suitability 37 confirms some individual T4 success. Trainer Andrews at 20%. The question is whether the 18 last run is a form crisis or a blip. The structural convergence (dominant T4, best EP, best bend, CD wins) is compelling enough to support the prediction, but the recent form decline demands caution.
DANGER — best speed (56) with Closer profile (CS 66) at Sheffield 500m is the right tactical setup. CD form includes win + 3 seconds. But extreme form volatility (12 to 51) makes reliability questionable.
Dominant T1 draw but field-worst speed (38) and declining form undermine the structural advantage. A closer who can't close. Place chance from the draw only.
Dominant T2 with decent EP but low pace consistency (76) makes the front-running style unreliable. CD placing record is good (win + 4 seconds) but can't be trusted to lead from the front.
DEAD T5 at 13.4% is a structural death sentence for a mid-rated dog. AvgP 38 is below the field average. Can be confidently opposed despite decent track suitability.
Best form (avgP 55, consistent 55-67), best CD record (3 wins, 3 seconds), but structurally weak T6 at 14.9% limits her. In any other trap she'd be the pick. A genuine contender despite the draw.
NORMAL separation (6.2pp). T4 is the standout trap at 25.3% from 253 runs — the highest single-trap win% at any Sheffield 500m grade today. T5 is clearly DEAD at 13.4%. R1 and R2 composites are tied at 22.5% — the top two dogs are close in predictive value. Speed rank R1 wins 25.4% — speed matters here.
T1:22.1% T2:22.9% T3:19.9% T4:25.3% T5:13.4% T6:14.9%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Droopys Paradigm | 44 | 60 | Closer |
2Mucky Signet | 60 | 30 | Fader |
3Slippy Oleg | 47 | 66 | Closer |
4Drumdoit Minnie | 69 | 7 | Fader |
5Russanda Milly | 52 | 40 | All-Rounder |
6Caremone Lady | 48 | 71 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.