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#Lovethedogs Stakes
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 2 | ▶ Szoboszlaib 1y 7 | J T Edgar — 17% R486 W81 P279 Trainer form — last 3 months | 49 | 47 | 53 (4) | 75 (1) | 56 (3) | 72 (1) | 55 (2) | 42 (5) | 68 (1) | 45 (5) | 45 (5) | 59 (2) | 26 | 34 | 28 | 34 | 49 | 43 | 5 | 10/11F | ||
| 3 | ▶ Alnwick Martynd 3y 14 | A Harrison — 19% R515 W100 P306 Trainer form — last 3 months | 52 | 46 | 41 (6) | 55 (3) | 53 (2) | 53 (2) | 55 (2) | 46 (4) | 39 (3) | 48 (5) | 56 (2) | 50 (5) | 44 | 37 | 34 | 34 | 51 | 47 | 3 | 7/1 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Blackhouseharperb 3y 18 | S Ray — 15% R420 W61 P220 Trainer form — last 3 months | 55 | 52 | 73 (1) | 62 (2) | 49 (6) | 46 (6) | 58 (2) | 55 (4) | 60 (3) | 74 (1) | 62 (2) | 62 (2) | 33 | 34 | 23 | 32 | 53 | 46 | 4 | 6/4 | ||
| 5 | ▶ Highclere Cougard 2y 17 | S Roberts — 19% R177 W33 P79 Trainer form — last 3 months | 50 | 41 | 23 (6) | 63 (1) | 57 (2) | 53 (3) | 60 (1) | 53 (2) | 51 (3) | 41 (4) | 46 (4) | 43 (4) | 18 | 27 | 10 | 31 | 55 | 45 | 1 | 16/1 | ||
| 6 | ▶ Coppice Uteb 2y 16 | J J Fenwick — 19% R501 W96 P288 Trainer form — last 3 months | 41 | 71 | 51 (4) | 35 (6) | 34 (2) | 36 (1) | 34 (2) | 26 (6) | 35 (5) | 56 (2) | 63 (1) | 45 (2) | 43 | 40 | 31 | 38 | 51 | 47 | 2 | 7/1 | ||
Highclere Cougar gets the Pred1 nod and has the most consistent form trajectory in the field — P63→P57→P53→P60→P53→P51, all at A7 level, with two wins (P63, P60), two seconds (P57, P53), and two thirds (P53, P51). That's six consecutive placed finishes at A7 — a model of consistency. She now steps up to A6 with average perf of 55, the field's best. As a Closer (EP 42, CS 68, pCon 78), she'll sit towards the rear and close through Newcastle's long home straight — and with Coppice Ute (CS 0) guaranteed to fade dramatically, there will be ground to make up through the closing stages. T5 at 18% is neutral for A6 — not disadvantaged. Suitability scores are modest (track 27, distance 31, trap 18, class 10) — the class 10 flags that she's untested at A6. Trainer Roberts at 16% is average. The pick is based on the combination of field-best perf, outstanding A7 consistency, and Closer profile that suits Newcastle. The grade step-up is the risk — A6 is a step beyond anything she's proven at.
Dominant T3 draw with All-Rounder profile (the best pace type at A6) and a P56 second last time showing genuine A6 form. The structural and tactical case is strong. Main danger to the pick — may be better placed to exploit the pace profile advantage.
Consistent but limited — field-lowest perf from a below-average draw. The P59 and P55 seconds show he can place at A6 but the P45 last time and structural position suggest minor honours at best.
Dominant T4 draw with decent early pace but Fader profile and field-worst pace consistency (74) make him a lottery. The P62 last time was strong but the P38 before it was poor. Too inconsistent to trust despite the structural advantage.
Extreme Fader (CS 0) with sensational early pace (EP 76, bend 71) from the dead T6 draw. She will lead for 350m and then stop completely. Her role is pace-setter — she creates the race shape for the closers to exploit. The P62 and P57 seconds show she occasionally holds on when the fade isn't severe, but CS 0 at Newcastle 480m says she won't today.
R1 wins 22.52% — normal separation at A6. No T1 runner so T3 (20.33%) and T4 (21.74%) are the best structural positions. T6 is dead at 15.9% — bad news for the extreme pace setter Coppice Ute. T5 is neutral at 18%. Pace Tier 2 (All-Rounders) win most at 23.9% at A6.
T1:20.72% T2:17.65% T3:20.33% T4:21.74% T5:18% T6:15.9%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
2Szoboszlai | 47 | 56 | Closer |
3Alnwick Martyn | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
4Blackhouseharper | 55 | 37 | Fader |
5Highclere Cougar | 42 | 68 | Closer |
6Coppice Ute | 76 | 0 | Fader |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.