Tuesday 31st March 2026
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Patterdale Messid 4y 25 | D Blackbird — 17% R1100 W186 P605 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | 42 | 48 (5) | 62 (3) | 59 (4) | 62 (2) | 58 (5) | 83 (1) | 79 (1) | 64 (2) | 72 (1) | 50 (4) | 35 | 25 | 23 | 25 | 50 | 42 | 5 | 9/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Freedom Laytond 2y 14 | P Rutherford — 18% R343 W61 P183 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 48 | 34 (5) | 68 (6) | 62 (1) | 38 (2) | 53 (5) | 60 (4) | 54 (3) | 42 (4) | 65 (4) | - | 31 | 37 | 22 | 33 | 55 | 48 | 3 | 9/2 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Droopys Reneeb 1y 14 | A Harrison — 19% R524 W102 P312 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 54 | 48 (3) | 73 (1) | 27 (5) | 37 (1) | 54 (4) | 71 (1) | 53 (4) | 70 (1) | 55 (2) | 44 (6) | 53 | 51 | 37 | 41 | 56 | 53 | 1 | 7/2 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Fabulous Requestb 3y 18 | J T Edgar — 17% R484 W84 P270 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 66 | 37 (5) | 73 (1) | 61 (3) | 68 (2) | 68 (2) | 64 (4) | 59 (3) | 38 (6) | 72 (2) | 73 (1) | 29 | 32 | 25 | 31 | 54 | 46 | 2 | 13/8F | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Under The Gund 4y 25 | P Singlewood — 19% R126 W24 P70 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 44 | 53 (4) | 42 (5) | 63 (3) | 64 (3) | 63 (3) | 54 (4) | 58 (3) | 71 (1) | 66 (2) | 53 (4) | 37 | 30 | 43 | 30 | 58 | 49 | 4 | 15/8 | - | |
Fabulous Request gets the nod from the Pred1 model on the back of a stunning P71 last-time win from T5 at A5, where his outstanding bend rating of 66 — comfortably the best in this field — allowed him to lead the field through the first two bends and hold on. That's the upside with this dog: when he gets to the front, the bend ability is elite and he can build a lead that's hard to peg back. The problem is consistency. His form reads P71→P46→P22(trial)→P55→P47→P63, and the non-trial sequence of P71→P46→P55→P47→P63 shows wild swings. He's a Fader (CS 26, pCon 78) with EP 58, meaning he goes hard early but weakens through the closing stages. At Newcastle's 480m with a lengthy home straight that favours late runners, this is a structural concern. T4 at 20.58% from 447 runs is a solid structural position, and trainer Edgar at 26% is a moderate positive. The suitability scores are middling (track 32, distance 31, trap 29) suggesting this isn't a venue he's proven at extensively. He can win by getting to the front and building an unassailable lead, but if Under The Gun or Droopys Renee are within striking distance at the final bend, the fade is likely to cost him.
Dominant trap, field-best suitability, highest composite, consistent form trajectory. The structural case is very strong. Only concern is that Pred1 places her third — the model sees something in Fabulous Request's upside that the condition data doesn't emphasise.
Best raw performer in the field with a strong trainer, but the dead T6 draw is a significant structural headwind. The Closer profile suits Newcastle's home straight, and if Fabulous Request fades (likely given CS 26), Under The Gun will be the main beneficiary. Danger, not pick, because of the structural disadvantage.
Weakest performer in the field with a struggling trajectory. The closing style suits Newcastle in theory, but perf 50 in a field where three dogs rate 54+ means he's simply outclassed. One to oppose.
Consistent mid-division runner with honest form but lacking the tactical edge or raw ability to threaten the principals. T2's below-average structural position compounds a moderate suitability profile. Frame runner at best.
R1 wins 21.63% from 943 runs — moderate composite advantage. T3 and T4 are the structural sweet spots. T6 is structurally disadvantaged at 15.61%. Pace Tier 1 wins 23.14% — slight front-runner edge. Newcastle's fair track with long home straight means closers aren't discriminated against despite this.
T1:19.78% T2:16.67% T3:21.35% T4:20.58% T5:17.65% T6:15.61%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Patterdale Messi | 43 | 60 | Closer |
2Freedom Layton | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
3Droopys Renee | 53 | 39 | All-Rounder |
4Fabulous Request | 58 | 28 | Fader |
6Under The Gun | 40 | 76 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 480m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (480m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 290m | 480m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Patterdale Messi | — | 0.615 |
| 2 | Freedom Layton | — | 0.620 |
| 3 | Droopys Renee | 0.597 | 0.618 |
| 4 | Fabulous Request | — | 0.615 |
| 6 | Under The Gun | — | 0.616 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.