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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Stormy Lisamarieb 3y 28 | A Harrison — 20% R517 W101 P312 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 44 | 64 (2) | 69 (2) | 76 (4) | 51 (5) | 61 (3) | 76 (1) | 57 (3) | 56 (3) | 72 (4) | - | 34 | 23 | 7 | 19 | 61 | 49 | 5 | 9/4 | |
| 3 | ▶ Millview Daked 2y 6 | P Singlewood — 20% R124 W25 P70 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 50 | 61 (2) | 72 (1) | 55 (4) | 61 (2) | 41 (6) | 62 (3) | 52 (5) | 77 (1) | 59 (3) | 57 (4) | 48 | 53 | 27 | 30 | 60 | 54 | 2 | 11/4 | |
| 4 | ▶ Slipalong Blockd 3y 23 | J J Fenwick — 19% R498 W96 P285 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 40 | 35 (6) | 60 (3) | 53 (5) | 62 (4) | 61 (4) | 75 (1) | 46 (4) | 54 (4) | 47 (5) | 63 (2) | 50 | 41 | 34 | 27 | 58 | 51 | 4 | 4/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Romeo Migd 3y 7 | J T Edgar — 16% R482 W78 P272 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 59 | 65 | 77 (1) | 63 (3) | 73 (1) | 64 (2) | 43 (5) | 42 (5) | 60 (4) | 44 (5) | 46 (5) | 49 (5) | 37 | 45 | 25 | 42 | 58 | 52 | 1 | 13/8F | |
| 6 | ▶ A Bit Of Paigeb 2y 16 | S Ray — 15% R413 W60 P221 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 53 | 50 (4) | 46 (4) | 63 (4) | 45 (2) | 53 (5) | 55 (3) | 73 (3) | 44 (1) | 50 (6) | - | 37 | 39 | 16 | 33 | 54 | 48 | 3 | 11/1 | |
Millview Dake gets the Pred1 nod and the structural case supports it. Drawn in T3 — the best trap at Newcastle A4 at 21.22% from 377 runs — with an All-Rounder profile (EP 50, CS 50, pCon 86) that gives him the tactical versatility to sit behind Romeo Mig's early pace and strike as the Fader weakens. His form is volatile but has peaks — P57 last time at A3 (fourth, stepping up in class), then a brilliant P78 A4 win two starts back. The trajectory of P57→P78→P57→P51→P47→P65 shows a dog capable of big performances but not always delivering them. Average perf of 60 is competitive with Stormy Lisamarie's 61. His suitability scores are strong — track 53 is field-best, distance 30 is moderate, trap 48 is good — and trainer Singlewood at 36% is the strongest handler in this race, a genuine strong-tier signal. Speed 48 is below Romeo Mig and Stormy Lisamarie, but the combination of dominant trap, strong trainer, proven track form, and balanced pace profile makes the case compelling.
Best performance average in the field from the structurally dominant T1, with a Closer profile that A4 Newcastle conditions actively reward. Low suitability scores are a concern — she hasn't proven herself at Newcastle specifically — but the raw ability and rail draw make her the main threat to Millview Dake.
Capable Closer with a P75 last time but returning from a 27-day break into competitive A4 company. Trap 50 suitability confirms T4 affinity but the structural position is neutral. Needs a strong pace up front to close into — possible with Romeo Mig leading — but the break dulls confidence.
Sets the pace with outstanding early speed but CS 22 means he will fade dramatically through Newcastle's long home straight. Dead T5 draw compounds the problem. His job in this race is to lead the field around — but others will benefit more than he will.
Mid-division All-Rounder in declining form from T6 — the wrong profile from the wrong trap at Newcastle A4 where closers thrive from inside draws. Needs significant form reversal to be competitive here.
Inside traps dominate at A4 with T1-T3 all above 20%. R1 vs R3 gap is 7.08pp — normal separation, composite rankings carry genuine predictive value. Pace Tier 3 (closers) wins 24.59% — closers thrive at A4 level at Newcastle.
T1:20.55% T2:20.11% T3:21.22% T4:18.44% T5:16.24% T6:16.43%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Stormy Lisamarie | 41 | 84 | Closer |
3Millview Dake | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
4Slipalong Block | 41 | 77 | Closer |
5Romeo Mig | 65 | 22 | Fader |
6A Bit Of Paige | 52 | 34 | All-Rounder |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.