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Watch Newcastle Greyhounds On TRP Stakes
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Fabulous Forceb 3y 15 | J T Edgar — 17% R470 W79 P269 Trainer form — last 3 months | 49 | 28 | 34 (4) | 34 (3) | 36 (6) | 49 (4) | 24 (6) | 29 (4) | 56 (3) | 40 (3) | 33 (3) | 33 (5) | 28 | 22 | 15 | 23 | 37 | 33 | 2 | 14/1 | ||
| 2 | ▶ Power Stationd 5y 36 | J T Edgar — 17% R470 W79 P269 Trainer form — last 3 months | 69 | 52 | 30 (5) | 41 (4) | 40 (3) | 42 (2) | 24 (6) | 50 (3) | 31 (6) | 53 (2) | 46 (4) | 46 (4) | 34 | 33 | 11 | 33 | 38 | 36 | 5 | 6/4JF | ||
| 3 | ▶ Killeacle Peckerd 2y 56 | D Blackbird — 17% R1081 W181 P579 Trainer form — last 3 months | 44 | 50 | 31 (5) | 40 (3) | 7 (6) | 19 (5) | 31 (4) | - | - | - | - | - | 22 | - | - | 11 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 9/2 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Alnwick Wizard b 2y 12 | A Harrison — 20% R497 W97 P297 Trainer form — last 3 months | 52 | 50 | 56 (1) | 41 (4) | 39 (5) | 44 (3) | 39 (3) | 38 (2) | 37 (4) | 37 (3) | 35 (4) | 44 (2) | 36 | 29 | 20 | 22 | 41 | 37 | 1 | 6/4JF | ||
| 5 | ▶ Mount Ruby Aceb 1y 26 | P Rutherford — 19% R333 W63 P181 Trainer form — last 3 months | 54 | 54 | 68 (1) | 32 (5) | 35 (5) | 54 (2) | 46 (4) | 42 (1) | 40 (4) | - | - | - | 2 | - | - | - | - | 1 | 4 | 9/2 | ||
Alnwick Wizard gets the Pred1 nod with a marginal perf advantage at 41 in a field averaging around 30. In a LOW SEPARATION race where composite barely predicts the winner, this advantage is slim — but it's real, and it's supported by the structural position. T4 at 20.54% from 224 runs is in the dominant trap cluster (T3-T5 all above 20%). As a Closer (EP 50, CS 57, pCon 81), he has moderate closing ability with balanced early pace — not an extreme Closer like Fabulous Force, but positioned to sit mid-field and pick off the leaders. His form reads P35→P44→P28→P29→P46→P68, with the P68 HP win five starts back showing genuine ability when things click, though recent A8/A9 form (P35→P44→P28→P29) has been disappointing. Suitability scores are moderate (track 29, distance 22, trap 36, class 20). Trainer Harrison at 16% is average. The pick is based on having the least-worst profile in a weak field — best perf from a structurally sound trap — rather than any overwhelming evidence.
Outstanding closing speed (CS 95) on a track built for closers. In a low-separation field where ratings don't separate runners, the pace profile becomes decisive. If Power Station sets honest early fractions, Fabulous Force will be closing rapidly. The main danger to the pick.
Field-best speed (69) and a Front Runner profile that wins 30.08% at A8, but the dead T2 draw at 15.35% from 241 runs is a clear structural headwind. Declining form (P30 last) compounds the problem. Will set the pace but likely benefits others more than himself.
Near-debutant with one competitive 480m run (P31 at A9) and trial form otherwise. Zero track and class suitability confirm he's unproven. The dominant T3 draw is meaningless when the dog's perf averages 25. Too raw to be competitive.
Near-debutant from the best structural trap but with zero competitive form to evaluate. The T5 draw would be significant for a proven dog but is wasted on an unknown quantity. Too much uncertainty to assess as anything other than a wild card.
LOW SEPARATION: R1 wins 19.73% vs R3 at 18.95% — just 0.78pp gap. Ratings offer virtually no predictive value at A8 Newcastle. Front Runners win 30.08% — by far the dominant pace profile. T3-T5 are the structural sweet spots. T2 is dead at 15.35%. Lead with pace profile and trap position, not performance ratings.
T1:19.23% T2:15.35% T3:21.3% T4:20.54% T5:21.5% T6:15.49%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Fabulous Force | 34 | 95 | Closer |
2Power Station | 58 | 50 | Front Runner |
3Killeacle Pecker | 48 | 36 | All-Rounder |
4Alnwick Wizard | 50 | 57 | Closer |
5Mount Ruby Ace | 57 | 27 | Fader |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.