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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Drumdoit Fernb 1y 24 | J Andrews — 20% R245 W48 P135 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | - | 68 (2) | 59 (3) | 78 (1) | 66 (2) | 30 (3) | 29 (2) | 28 (5) | - | - | - | 60 | 53 | - | 53 | 28 | 38 | 5 | 4/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Spatter The Dewd 4y 32 | D T Gomersall — 15% R137 W20 P69 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | - | 34 (3) | 36 (2) | 33 (3) | 41 (1) | 31 (3) | 37 (2) | 40 (4) | 29 (1) | 41 (4) | - | 50 | 41 | 31 | 41 | 35 | 38 | 1 | 6/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Kemosabed 2y 7 | E T Parker — 20% R208 W41 P118 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 29 (3) | 23 (5) | 26 (6) | 31 (4) | 27 (3) | 37 (5) | 32 (1) | 23 (1) | 25 (3) | - | 60 | 54 | - | 54 | 29 | 38 | 2 | 3/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Wasted Chanced 4yN/R 45 | M A P O'donnell — 19% R293 W55 P167 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 36 | - | 38 (4) | 46 (5) | 50 (3) | 63 (2) | 48 (3) | 54 (2) | 36 (5) | 49 (5) | 24 (2) | 26 (3) | 37 | 46 | - | 40 | 40 | 40 | - | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Drumdoit Onanad 2y 6 | L J Stephenson — 20% R257 W51 P154 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | - | 42 (1) | 26 (5) | 30 (5) | 31 (3) | 38 (2) | 34 (3) | 31 (5) | 32 (2) | 37 (1) | 36 (2) | 40 | 43 | 28 | 43 | 33 | 36 | 3 | 10/11F | |
| 6 | ▶ Swift Stepd 2y 25 | T Bedford — 19% R99 W19 P53 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 43 (6) | 90 (2) | 35 (3) | 45 (1) | 33 (4) | 42 (1) | 33 (3) | 40 (1) | 30 (4) | 34 (3) | 46 | 40 | 23 | 47 | 33 | 37 | 4 | 8/1 | |
The predicted winner from the DOMINANT T2 position (20.8% from 207 runs). The standout factor is exceptional CD form: 1,4,1,4,1 — three wins from the last five at Sheffield 280m, and 1,4,1,4,1,1,2,2,4,2 from the extended record showing five wins from ten runs. That's a 50% win rate at course and distance, which in a LOW SEPARATION grade is arguably the strongest predictive signal available. Average performance 35 is the best in the field, and the trajectory 37->32->33->25->30 is relatively steady. Suitability is solid: trap 50, track 41, distance 41 — trap suit 50 from T2 confirms individual alignment with the dominant structural position. Speed 56 is field-best. Trainer Gomersall at 18% is below average — the weak point. No pace data but the five CD wins suggest she gets into winning positions regardless of measured pace. H3 47.4 leads the field. In a LOW SEPARATION race where ratings offer no edge, CD specialist form from a dominant trap is the best bet available.
DANGER — three consecutive wins and 40% CD win rate. Strong suitability profile (trap 60, track 54, distance 54). Only held back by the one neutral draw in the field (T3 at 17.3%).
Structural positives (DOMINANT T1, trap suit 61, Andrews 50% at conditions) vs tiny sample and low ratings. In a LOW SEPARATION race, the structural factors carry more weight. Live outsider.
Best trap position (DOMINANT T4) with elite EP guaranteeing the lead, but CS 0 and field-worst speed suggest she'll be caught. Declining form adds to the worry. Pace maker more than winner.
Solid all-round profile from DOMINANT T5 — improving form, CD wins, and consistent placing. Not the strongest individual signal but the structural advantage and form combine for a minor place chance.
Three CD wins show Sheffield 280m ability but declining form (36 to 26 over last 5) and weak T6 draw limit confidence. Better suited on a different card.
LOW SEPARATION (0.0pp R1 vs R3) — ratings are essentially random at D2 280m. Four traps are DOMINANT (T1, T2, T4, T5). T4 leads at 23.1%. Strong trainers: Andrews 50%(10), Draper 43%(14), Coote 40%(10) at these conditions.
T1:21.0% T2:20.8% T3:17.3% T4:23.1% T5:21.9% T6:15.9%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 280m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.