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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Epic Estimated 3y 24 | L A Taylorson — 17% R234 W39 P133 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | - | 22 (3) | 25 (2) | 23 (2) | 21 (4) | 21 (4) | 20 (6) | 25 (4) | 18 (6) | 29 (1) | 25 (2) | 28 | 24 | 21 | 23 | 25 | 25 | 2 | 6/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Soldier Samd 3y 25 | L J Stephenson — 20% R257 W51 P154 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 59 (2) | 60 (2) | 58 (3) | 25 (2) | 26 (2) | 23 (3) | 26 (2) | 19 (5) | 25 (5) | 58 (3) | 35 | 30 | 34 | 30 | 38 | 36 | 1 | 9/2 | |
| 3 | ▶ Avongate Maximusd 2y 18 | M A P O'donnell — 19% R293 W55 P167 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | - | 28 (3) | 23 (5) | 23 (6) | 31 (4) | 36 (1) | 31 (2) | 28 (2) | 26 (4) | 28 (3) | 31 (2) | 32 | 30 | - | 34 | 25 | 27 | 5 | 7/4F | |
| 4 | ▶ Kilgarran Belleb 3yN/R 12 | J Andrews — 20% R245 W48 P135 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | 81 (1) | 67 (2) | 70 (5) | 56 (2) | 58 (4) | 77 (4) | 67 (1) | 45 (2) | 52 (5) | - | 49 | 52 | - | 47 | 57 | 54 | - | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Russanda Machod 2y 7 | E T Parker — 20% R208 W41 P118 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | - | 22 (4) | 21 (5) | 30 (1) | 21 (5) | 23 (4) | 19 (5) | 30 (1) | 25 (3) | 23 (4) | 26 (3) | 32 | 38 | - | 40 | 24 | 28 | 4 | 15/8 | |
| 6 | ▶ Russanda Carlosd 3y 8 | E T Parker — 20% R208 W41 P118 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 24 (3) | 30 (2) | 26 (3) | 25 (3) | 24 (3) | 24 (5) | 28 (4) | 32 (1) | 28 (2) | 20 (5) | 36 | 32 | 35 | 31 | 24 | 27 | 3 | 4/1 | |
The predicted winner with the highest H3 score (56.2) despite modest raw ratings (avgP 24, last perf 19). The H3 model clearly values something in this dog's profile — likely the All-Rounder pace profile (EP 49, CS 22, bend 48) which is better suited to 280m sprints than a Closer. Drawn T5 at 21.5% from 93 runs which is a decent structural position. Form is middling: 3,1,3,6,4 with one win, and the performance trajectory 24->26->29->18->19 shows slight decline recently. Track suit 38, distance suit 40 are adequate, and CD form 3,1,6,4,3,3,1,4,5 includes two wins at Sheffield 280m. The prediction relies on pace profile fit over raw ability — in a LOW SEPARATION grade where ratings barely predict outcomes, the dog with the right tactical profile from a decent draw can win races that pure performance says it shouldn't. This is a Tentative pick at best given Kilgarran Belle's class superiority.
DANGER — enormous class gap (avgP 57 vs field avg 24) with relentless improvement. Closer at 280m is normally a deal-breaker, but the 33-point performance gap may make pace profile irrelevant. The AI Pick for this race.
Reliable plodder with extensive Sheffield 280m experience but avgP 25 limits his ceiling. No pace data and low suitability scores. Will likely finish mid-pack.
Higher avgP than most but declining form and poor CD record undermine the rating advantage. No pace data limits sprint assessment. Hard to fancy.
Best trap draw (DOMINANT T3) but form in clear decline — last two runs of 15 and 19 are dire. Structural advantage wasted on a dog going backwards. The draw alone won't save this.
Dominant T6 draw is the only positive — ratings are flat at 24 avgP with no pace data. Extensive but poor CD form. Structural place chance only.
LOW SEPARATION (0.3pp R1 vs R3) — ratings essentially random at D4 280m. T3 dominant at 25.0%. T5 decent at 21.5%. The big wildcard is Kilgarran Belle with no CD form but avgP 57 — a 33-point class gap over the field average of ~24.
T1:18.2% T2:17.9% T3:25.0% T4:18.3% T5:21.5% T6:20.0%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 280m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.