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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Drumdoit Dotb 2y 17 | J Andrews — 20% R245 W48 P135 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 52 | 24 (5) | 21 (6) | 32 (6) | 39 (5) | 45 (4) | 69 (1) | 48 (3) | 40 (5) | 54 (2) | 45 (5) | 26 | 39 | 30 | 40 | 53 | 47 | 5 | 9/2 | |
| 2 | ▶ Frantic Fridayb 2y 14 | T Bedford — 19% R99 W19 P53 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 46 | 52 (3) | 72 (1) | 55 (4) | 66 (1) | 48 (4) | 53 (3) | 51 (4) | 55 (2) | 45 (5) | 50 (4) | 45 | 32 | - | 40 | 51 | 47 | 2 | 25/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Savana Loab 2y 25 | D Henry — 25% R104 W26 P64 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | 46 | 68 (2) | 47 (4) | 55 (4) | 72 (1) | 68 (1) | 54 (3) | 45 (5) | 48 (5) | 50 (3) | 68 (1) | 31 | 29 | 6 | 25 | 52 | 44 | 3 | 11/4 | |
| 4 | ▶ Jolly Arlod 3y 7 | J Andrews — 20% R245 W48 P135 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 56 | 72 (1) | 37 (5) | 46 (6) | 66 (2) | 46 (4) | 67 (1) | 53 (3) | 40 (5) | 38 (6) | 42 (5) | 38 | 39 | 17 | 31 | 54 | 48 | 1 | 4/6F | |
| 6 | ▶ Sandwood Chloeb 2y 8 | L J Stephenson — 20% R257 W51 P154 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 47 | 63 (2) | 74 (1) | 59 (2) | 62 (1) | 52 (3) | 37 (5) | 43 (5) | 47 (4) | 44 (6) | 38 (5) | 40 | 37 | 33 | 34 | 49 | 45 | 4 | 6/1 | |
The predicted winner with H3 73.9 and the best early pace in the field (EP 59, bend 56). A Fader (CS 28) who will lead through the first bend from T4 and set the pace. Average performance 54 is the joint-best in the field. Form is mixed: 31->60->67->51->46, with two strong runs (60, 67) interspersed with weaker ones (31, 46). The Fader profile at 500m is a genuine concern — CS 28 means significant late weakening. But the H3 model values the early pace advantage at Sheffield where front-runners have a sizeable advantage at 480m (and to a lesser extent at 500m). CD form 5,3,2,4,1,5,3,1,4,5 includes two wins from Sheffield 500m. Track suit 39, distance suit 31 are modest. Trap suit 38 is neutral. Trainer Andrews at 20%. In a 5-runner field with only 2 Closers threatening from behind, the Fader has fewer dogs to hold off. This is a pick based on tactical advantage in a reduced field rather than class dominance.
DANGER — Closer profile is right for Sheffield 500m when Fader Jolly Arlo weakens. CD form includes 2 wins. Speed 45 limits closing power but the tactical setup favours her.
DOMINANT T1 draw in a 5-runner field is a strong structural edge. CD form includes 2 wins. But form dip to 47 and low trap suitability suggest she hasn't consistently capitalised on this position. Place contender.
Structural T3 advantage with best speed and strong trainer. Last run of 70 is impressive. But class suit 6 and generally poor CD form suggest she's at her grade ceiling. Closer who needs pace collapse.
Best suitability profile but extreme form volatility (16 to 70) makes her a lottery. Last run of 16 is dire. Cannot be trusted despite showing she has the ability somewhere.
LOW SEPARATION (3.9pp) — ratings offer minimal edge. T1 dominant at 23.7% and T3 at 21.1% but neither has a strong contender drawn there (T5 vacant too). T4 is neutral at 16.0% — the pick has no structural advantage. Only 5 runners reduce the field dynamics.
T1:23.7% T2:16.3% T3:21.1% T4:16.0% T5:14.7% T6:19.3%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Drumdoit Dot | 54 | 37 | All-Rounder |
2Frantic Friday | 42 | 68 | Closer |
3Savana Loa | 45 | 62 | Closer |
4Jolly Arlo | 59 | 28 | Fader |
6Sandwood Chloe | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.