Loading...
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Velardid 2y 36 | J Robinson — 19% R288 W54 P160 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 40 | 52 | 57 (4) | 42 (6) | 36 (2) | 80 (1) | 25 (5) | 63 (2) | 42 (1) | 42 (5) | 75 (1) | 33 (4) | 29 | 39 | - | 40 | 58 | 34 | 6 | 7/2 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Hazelgrove Dawnb 2y 37 | W M Lyons — 18% R942 W168 P493 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 53 | 52 (5) | 59 (5) | 62 (2) | 27 (4) | 26 (5) | 54 (5) | 69 (6) | 84 (3) | 59 (1) | - | 1 | 39 | 17 | 30 | 65 | 40 | 1 | 9/2 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Ardsallagh Ladyb 2y 16 | T D Coote — 19% R521 W97 P280 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 44 | 27 (5) | 61 (2) | 84 (1) | 66 (2) | 49 (4) | 63 (4) | 81 (1) | 76 (1) | 63 (3) | 56 (4) | 31 | 35 | 18 | 45 | 67 | 48 | 2 | 5/2F | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Grantstown Roadd 2y 210 | T D Coote — 19% R521 W97 P280 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 63 | 79 (1) | 64 (3) | 52 (4) | 80 (1) | 64 (3) | 51 (5) | 58 (3) | 80 (1) | 65 (3) | 42 (6) | 34 | 23 | 10 | 25 | 62 | 42 | 5 | 3/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Deecee Phoenixb 3y 24 | W M Lyons — 18% R942 W168 P493 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 52 | 41 (6) | 81 (1) | 57 (3) | 64 (2) | 62 (2) | 37 (1) | 49 (3) | 76 (1) | 74 (1) | - | 28 | 21 | - | 54 | 67 | 40 | 4 | 8/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Betweenthe Linesb 3y 15 | J Robinson — 19% R288 W54 P160 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 41 | 66 (2) | 64 (3) | 80 (1) | 61 (3) | 81 (1) | 59 (3) | 79 (1) | 57 (4) | 59 (4) | 80 (1) | 30 | 31 | - | 41 | 69 | 44 | 3 | 7/2 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Velardi | 28.37 | 28.78 | 28.82 | 40 | +0.45 | Slowest in field | |
| 2 | Hazelgrove Dawn | 28.17 | 28.39 | 28.50 | 56 | +0.33 | Fastest in field | |
| 3 | Ardsallagh Lady | 27.97 | 28.52 | 28.75 | 53 | +0.78 | Model pick, best trap | |
| 4 | Grantstown Road | 28.34 | 28.64 | 28.51 | 48 | +0.17 | ||
| 5 | Deecee Phoenix | 28.30 | 28.67 | 28.30 | 51 | 0.00 | Weak trap tonight | |
| 6 | Betweenthe Lines | 28.24 | 28.55 | 28.43 | 53 | +0.19 | Worst trap tonight |
Kinsley's downhill run to the first bend still shapes the 462-metre trip, though over four bends the closers get more time to claw their way back than they do in the sprints. At A3 grade tonight trap 3 has been the standout box, winning almost a quarter of the runs recorded at this course, distance and grade, while trap 6 has been little short of a disaster zone at barely one in nine — a complete reversal from what you'd expect on paper. Ardsallagh Lady carries that trap 3 advantage, tops the composite rating, and has a genuinely strong record over this course and distance. Betweenthe Lines has the best recent course and distance form of anyone in the field, but she's drawn in trap 6, the worst box in this grade, which is a real structural knock. Hazelgrove Dawn is the fastest dog in the field on the clock and will look to use that early speed from trap 2 before the closers get going.
Tops the composite rating and is drawn in trap 3, by far the best box in this grade at Kinsley over 462 metres, winning almost a quarter of all runs recorded there. Her course and distance record backs it up too — three wins from nine runs at this exact trip. Her last run over the minimum 268-metre trip was well below her best, but she's a closer by pace profile who needs the room a longer trip gives her, so that blip makes sense and shouldn't be held against her back at her proper distance. This looks the right race, right trap and right trip all at once.
Has the strongest course and distance form of anyone in this field, with four wins from her last ten runs at this exact trip and grade, and finishes powerfully from off the pace as a closer. The problem is the draw — trap 6 has been the worst box in this grade at Kinsley tonight by some distance, a reversal of the usual pattern where wide traps tend to help. If she can overcome the draw her form says she has more claims than most, but the trap is a real structural obstacle.
The fastest dog in the field on recorded times and races in a balanced, all-round style that should keep her involved throughout. Course and distance form is respectable at two wins from seven runs at this trip. Trap 2 is a middling box in this grade, not a positive or a negative. Her raw pace makes her the one most likely to lead into the first bend, which matters even over the longer trip at Kinsley.
Won last time out and has excellent course and distance form, four wins from nine runs at this trip. Races in a balanced style that suits the longer trip well. The concern is trap 5, which has been one of the weakest boxes in this grade at Kinsley tonight, undermining what is otherwise a strong form case.
Placed last time out stepping up from A4 grade and has a modest course and distance record of two wins from ten runs at this trip. Fast away but tends to weaken in the closing stages as a fader, which can be a risk over the full 462 metres at Kinsley. Trap 4 has been an unremarkable box in this grade. Others in this field have stronger claims.
The slowest dog in the field on recorded times, which is a real concern at any trip. Course and distance form shows two wins from six runs, respectable enough, and trap 1 has been a solid box in this grade. Fast away but fades late as the race wears on, and with the pace on the clock behind most of this field, he'll need everything to fall right to figure at the finish.
Key insight: Trap 3 is by far the best box at this course, distance and grade (23.6%), with trap 6 the clear worst (11.5%) — a sharp reversal of the general Kinsley pattern where wide draws usually help. The top-rated dog on the composite score wins 21.9% here, a real edge with a big gap to the second-ranked dog (12.3%).
T1:21.9% T2:18.8% T3:23.6% T4:17.1% T5:12.2% T6:11.5%
780 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 462m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Velardi | 57 | 26 | Fader |
2Hazelgrove Dawn | 53 | 51 | All-Rounder |
3Ardsallagh Lady | 45 | 64 | Closer |
4Grantstown Road | 58 | 26 | Fader |
5Deecee Phoenix | 47 | 49 | All-Rounder |
6Betweenthe Lines | 40 | 73 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 462m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (462m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 268m | 462m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Velardi | 0.618 | 0.622 |
| 2 | Hazelgrove Dawn | 0.629 | 0.619 |
| 3 | Ardsallagh Lady | 0.624 | 0.618 |
| 4 | Grantstown Road | — | 0.620 |
| 5 | Deecee Phoenix | 0.618 | 0.622 |
| 6 | Betweenthe Lines | — | 0.618 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.