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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Mineola Bam Bamb 3y 15 | W M Lyons — 18% R942 W168 P493 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 42 | - | 52 (4) | 13 (2) | 19 (5) | 18 (4) | 34 (5) | 16 (5) | 51 (6) | 20 (4) | - | - | 23 | 22 | - | 10 | 27 | 26 | 5 | 5/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Tommys Clodaghb 2y 6 | J S Atkins — 15% R279 W42 P143 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | - | 32 (4) | 18 (5) | 19 (5) | 23 (4) | 32 (5) | 43 (3) | 26 (5) | 37 (3) | 37 (5) | 37 (5) | 32 | 9 | - | - | 20 | 18 | 1 | 2/1F | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Hazelgrove Parisb 3y 15 | W M Lyons — 18% R942 W168 P493 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | - | 24 (2) | 45 (5) | 35 (5) | 26 (2) | 23 (2) | 18 (5) | 19 (5) | 22 (3) | 17 (6) | 18 (6) | 11 | 19 | 7 | 13 | 26 | 21 | 4 | 5/2 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Clay Kimeyd 3y 17 | T D Coote — 19% R521 W97 P280 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | - | 27 (1) | 31 (5) | 44 (3) | 57 (1) | 57 (1) | 40 (3) | 52 (2) | 56 (1) | 21 (3) | 19 (5) | 26 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 2 | 9/2 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Bens Nellieb 4y 25 | J S Atkins — 15% R279 W42 P143 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 61 | - | 21 (4) | 24 (2) | 19 (4) | 21 (4) | 21 (3) | 23 (2) | 16 (5) | 21 (3) | 20 (5) | 29 (1) | 28 | 24 | 22 | 25 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 7/2 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Darver Is Homeb 4y 26 | M N May — 23% R222 W50 P107 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 16 (6) | 21 (4) | 17 (5) | 19 (5) | 19 (5) | 20 (5) | 20 (4) | 16 (6) | 22 (3) | 23 (3) | 29 | 29 | 8 | 2 | 19 | 19 | 3 | 11/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mineola Bam Bam | 17.12 | 17.39 | 17.80 | 42 | +0.68 | Model pick, 0 wins from 9 | |
| 2 | Tommys Clodagh | 17.12 | 17.32 | 17.55 | 47 | +0.43 | ||
| 3 | Hazelgrove Paris | 17.15 | 17.28 | 17.15 | 54 | 0.00 | 0 wins from 9 | |
| 4 | Clay Kimey | 17.13 | 17.22 | 17.30 | 53 | +0.17 | Best trap, layoff since March | |
| 5 | Bens Nellie | 16.96 | 17.21 | 16.96 | 61 | 0.00 | Fastest, layoff since June | |
| 6 | Darver Is Home | 17.06 | 17.29 | 17.56 | 49 | +0.50 | Weakest trap tonight |
A weak, wide-open D5 sprint over Kinsley's downhill run to the first bend, where none of this field has shown much beyond modest form. Trap 4 has generally been the strongest box in this grade here, with trap 6 the weakest. Bens Nellie stands out on raw pace, clocking comfortably the fastest recorded time in the field, but she hasn't raced since the start of June and the model doesn't rate her especially highly on the composite score — a genuine conflict between the two main signals. Mineola Bam Bam tops the composite rating without matching that pace on the clock. With little to separate this field on proven ability, this looks a race where the fastest dog gets the nod on pace alone.
By some distance the fastest dog in the field on recorded times, close to half a second quicker than several rivals at this trip. Hasn't raced since the start of June, which is a real question mark, and the composite model doesn't rate her highly despite the raw pace — a genuine conflict in the data. With the most course and distance experience of anyone here, ten runs at this exact trip, there's at least a base of proven ability to fall back on even with the layoff.
The second-fastest dog in the field on recorded times and has been racing consistently, if without much luck — no wins from nine runs at this course and distance. Trap 3 is a fair box in this grade. In a weak race like this, her pace figures alone make her the clearest danger to the selection.
Tops the composite rating in this field and placed last time out, but the raw pace figures are among the slowest here and nine runs at this course and distance have yet to produce a win. The model likes her more than the clock does.
Drawn in trap 4, generally the best box in this grade, and has a reasonable turn of foot on the clock. Hasn't raced since late March though, a significant gap, and has yet to win in three attempts at this course and distance. The trap is a plus but the layoff is a concern.
Modest form with little to recommend her above the rest of this field, and limited course and distance experience with no wins from three runs. Trap 2 has been a productive box in this grade, which is the main thing in her favour.
No wins from ten runs at this course and distance despite plenty of opportunities, and drawn in trap 6, the weakest box in this grade tonight. The weakest composite rating in the field to go with it. Hard to find much of a case for her.
Key insight: Trap 4 and trap 2 have been the best boxes in this grade, with trap 6 the weakest. This is a genuinely weak field on raw ability with no standout course and distance record, so the pick leans on the biggest gap in the data — recorded pace.
T1:16.2% T2:20.2% T3:17.2% T4:20.6% T5:17.1% T6:15.7%
1,434 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 268m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 268m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (268m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 268m | 462m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mineola Bam Bam | 0.648 | 0.652 |
| 2 | Tommys Clodagh | 0.646 | 0.641 |
| 3 | Hazelgrove Paris | 0.646 | 0.649 |
| 4 | Clay Kimey | 0.646 | 0.637 |
| 5 | Bens Nellie | 0.643 | — |
| 6 | Darver Is Home | 0.645 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.