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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Markstreet Miab 2y 6 | T D Coote — 19% R521 W97 P280 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 62 | 53 (4) | 63 (1) | 49 (3) | 32 (6) | 52 (2) | 62 (1) | 39 (4) | 50 (3) | 40 (5) | 46 (4) | 13 | 23 | 10 | 30 | 50 | 44 | 1 | 7/2 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Metric Marib 2y 17 | I Zivkovic — 13% R588 W79 P277 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 52 | 52 (4) | 57 (2) | 32 (6) | 55 (2) | 56 (2) | 58 (2) | 33 (1) | 25 (4) | 51 (3) | 30 (6) | 42 | 36 | 14 | 35 | 48 | 48 | 4 | 4/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Zaconey Venusb 3y 14 | W M Lyons — 18% R942 W168 P493 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 50 | 26 (3) | 26 (6) | 70 (2) | 55 (3) | 64 (2) | 27 (4) | 35 (1) | 46 (2) | - | - | 32 | 31 | 22 | 26 | 54 | 44 | 2 | 5/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Norden Girlb 3y 18 | W M Lyons — 18% R942 W168 P493 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 51 | 70 (1) | 29 (2) | 17 (6) | 43 (6) | 43 (5) | 58 (6) | 47 (2) | 48 (4) | - | - | 30 | 27 | 28 | 19 | 48 | 43 | 3 | 10/3 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Individual Mand 4y 16 | J S Atkins — 15% R279 W42 P143 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 47 | 56 (2) | 49 (4) | 51 (3) | 44 (4) | 35 (5) | 48 (4) | 55 (3) | 56 (2) | 46 (5) | 50 (3) | 24 | 17 | 11 | 11 | 48 | 44 | 5 | 11/4F | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Da Maureens Starb 3y 4 | J S Atkins — 15% R279 W42 P143 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 27 | 57 (3) | 54 (4) | 64 (1) | 60 (1) | 35 (4) | 49 (2) | 43 (4) | 51 (2) | 44 (4) | 38 (6) | 23 | 23 | 12 | 39 | 51 | 39 | 6 | 9/2 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Markstreet Mia | 28.94 | 29.16 | 28.94 | 50 | 0.00 | Model pick, best trap | |
| 2 | Metric Mari | 28.74 | 29.22 | 28.96 | 51 | +0.22 | 0 wins from 8 | |
| 3 | Zaconey Venus | 28.91 | 29.24 | 28.91 | 49 | 0.00 | ||
| 4 | Norden Girl | 28.82 | 29.02 | 29.05 | 53 | +0.23 | 0 wins from 8 | |
| 5 | Individual Man | 28.83 | 29.09 | 28.95 | 53 | +0.12 | Worst trap, 0 wins from 10 | |
| 6 | Da Maureens Star | 28.91 | 29.23 | 29.15 | 46 | +0.24 | Slowest in field |
An A6 race over the full 462 metres at Kinsley, where the downhill run to the first bend still has an outsized influence even over four bends. This is the grade where the inside draw matters most anywhere on the card — trap 1 has surged to just over one in five winners at this course, distance and grade, while trap 5 has collapsed to little more than one in nine. Markstreet Mia carries that prized trap 1 draw, is one of the highest-rated dogs on the composite score, and won last time out stepping up a grade — about as complete a case as this race offers. Metric Mari rates even higher on the raw composite number but comes from a much less favourable box, while Individual Man, despite a decent rating, is drawn in the trap that has been almost unwinnable at this exact grade.
Won last time out stepping up a grade and is drawn in trap 1, by far the best box at this course, distance and grade — the strongest inside trap bias anywhere on the Kinsley card. She's a sharp early leaver by pace profile, which suits both the trap and the track's downhill run to the first bend. Course and distance form backs it up with two wins from nine runs. Everything about the trap, the pace profile and the recent form points the same way.
Rates the highest of anyone in this field on the composite score and was placed last time out. The problem is the draw — trap 2 has been a middling box at this course and distance, and she's yet to win in eight attempts here despite the strong rating. If the rating translates into performance regardless of trap, she's the biggest threat to the selection.
Placed last time out over the shorter 268-metre trip and shares the fastest recorded time in this field. Races as a front runner, which should suit the downhill start, but hasn't yet won in eight runs at this exact course and distance. Trap 4 has been a reasonable box in this grade.
A balanced, all-round runner with one win from eight at this course and distance. Trap 3 has been a fair box in this grade. Her last run was well below her better efforts, which is a small concern, but there's enough underlying ability here to keep her in the frame.
Rates competitively on the composite score and shares the fastest recorded time in the field, but he's drawn in trap 5, which has been almost unwinnable at this exact grade — barely one in nine. Ten course and distance runs have yet to produce a win, which fits the pattern. The draw is a serious structural obstacle regardless of the raw numbers.
Finishes strongly from off the pace and has the best course and distance record of anyone in this field on paper, three wins from ten runs. The slowest recorded time in the field is a concern though, and trap 6 has been a below-average box in this grade. The finishing kick could see her pick up places if the pace up front is too hot.
Key insight: Trap 1 is the standout box at this course, distance and grade (20.7%) — the strongest inside bias of any grade at Kinsley over 462 metres — while trap 5 has been almost unwinnable (11.2%). The composite score alone is a weak guide here, with barely any gap between the top two ranks.
T1:20.7% T2:16.8% T3:18.7% T4:18.2% T5:11.2% T6:16.6%
2,381 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 462m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Markstreet Mia | 61 | 32 | Fader |
2Metric Mari | 51 | 47 | All-Rounder |
3Zaconey Venus | 49 | 53 | All-Rounder |
4Norden Girl | 56 | 45 | Front Runner |
5Individual Man | 47 | 65 | Closer |
6Da Maureens Star | 27 | 95 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 462m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (462m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 268m | 462m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Markstreet Mia | — | 0.631 |
| 2 | Metric Mari | 0.625 | 0.632 |
| 3 | Zaconey Venus | 0.625 | 0.629 |
| 4 | Norden Girl | 0.637 | 0.627 |
| 5 | Individual Man | — | 0.630 |
| 6 | Da Maureens Star | — | 0.633 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.