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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Glensheeb 4y 14 | J S Atkins — 15% R279 W42 P143 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | - | 20 (4) | 19 (5) | 26 (2) | 42 (6) | 30 (1) | 23 (2) | 22 (4) | 23 (4) | 30 (1) | 27 (2) | - | 40 | 47 | 39 | 27 | 28 | 3 | 9/2 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Dromana Milod 6y 16 | J G Hurst — 17% R267 W46 P137 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | - | 25 (2) | 21 (4) | 29 (1) | 24 (2) | 19 (6) | 24 (2) | 21 (4) | 29 (1) | 25 (3) | 24 (2) | 36 | 33 | 47 | 42 | 24 | 28 | 6 | 14/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Airlie Isabellab 2y 6 | T D Coote — 19% R521 W97 P280 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 59 (3) | 22 (4) | 26 (3) | 34 (6) | 25 (3) | 25 (3) | 37 (4) | 41 (4) | 37 (5) | 52 (2) | 1 | 5 | - | - | 24 | 15 | 1 | 10/11F | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Ineedabreakb 4y 16 | W M Lyons — 18% R942 W168 P493 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | - | 29 (1) | 25 (2) | 21 (4) | 25 (3) | 27 (2) | 29 (1) | 27 (2) | 23 (4) | 20 (5) | 23 (4) | 32 | 23 | 35 | 32 | 24 | 27 | 2 | 10/3 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Gazes Bobyd 4y 17 | W M Lyons — 18% R942 W168 P493 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | - | 71 (1) | 25 (2) | 24 (3) | 19 (5) | 21 (5) | 21 (4) | 24 (3) | 28 (1) | 26 (3) | 22 (3) | 16 | 23 | 23 | 19 | 23 | 23 | 4 | 7/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Polyphenolsd 2y 17 | I Zivkovic — 13% R588 W79 P277 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | - | 24 (2) | 24 (2) | 27 (6) | 19 (5) | 22 (4) | 20 (5) | 20 (5) | 21 (5) | 24 (4) | 51 (6) | 21 | 20 | 40 | 16 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 6/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Glenshee | 16.83 | 17.02 | 17.42 | 45 | +0.59 | ||
| 2 | Dromana Milo | 16.95 | 17.08 | 17.26 | 45 | +0.31 | ||
| 3 | Airlie Isabella | 16.90 | 17.02 | 17.07 | 49 | +0.17 | ||
| 4 | Ineedabreak | 16.82 | 17.00 | 16.83 | 55 | +0.01 | Model pick, best trap | |
| 5 | Gazes Boby | 16.78 | 17.08 | 16.87 | 53 | +0.09 | ||
| 6 | Polyphenols | 16.96 | 17.11 | 16.96 | 48 | 0.00 | Weakest trap tonight |
A tightly-matched D5 sprint over Kinsley's downhill run to the first bend, where the early pace off that gradient tends to settle things before the home straight. Trap 4 has been the strongest box in this grade tonight at just over one in five, with trap 2 close behind, while trap 6 has been the weakest. Ineedabreak carries that trap 4 advantage and is also the fastest dog in the field on recorded times, giving him the two most important factors at this trip working in his favour. Glenshee and Dromana Milo share the top composite rating and both have found the frame regularly without quite winning enough, so this looks a leading trio with the rest of the field needing things to fall right.
The fastest dog in the field on recorded times and drawn in trap 4, the best-performing box in this grade at Kinsley over 268 metres tonight. Placed last time out and has been knocking on the door without quite getting there — only one win from ten runs at this course and distance, but that's more a case of finding this a competitive grade than a lack of ability, and the pace figures back him up strongly. With the fastest early speed and the best trap combined, he's the one to be following into the first bend.
Shares the top composite rating in this field and sits in trap 2, the second-best box in this grade at Kinsley tonight. Two wins from ten runs at this course and distance is a reasonable return, and she's been competitive without quite matching the pace of the selection. A strong each-way alternative if the selection doesn't break as sharply as hoped.
Also shares the top composite score in the field with two wins from ten runs at this course and distance. Trap 1 has been a modest box in this grade. Her recent time was well off her best, which is a small concern, but the underlying form over her last several runs has been competitive with this field.
The second-fastest dog in the field on recorded times and has been placing consistently without winning, one from ten at this course and distance. Trap 5 is a fair box in this grade. The raw pace keeps him in this conversation even though the composite score rates him below the leading pair.
Limited course and distance experience with no wins from four runs at this trip, and the suitability figures across the board are low for this specific track, trip and class combination. Decent enough on the clock but there's not enough proven form here to fancy her strongly against a field with much deeper course and distance CVs.
Been racing consistently without winning, no wins from nine runs at this course and distance. Trap 6 has been the weakest box in this grade at Kinsley tonight, adding to the challenge. The pace figures are respectable but the combination of the draw and a stubborn maiden run at this trip make her hard to fancy.
Key insight: Trap 4 and trap 2 have been the two best boxes in this grade tonight (20.6% and 20.2%), with trap 6 the weakest (15.7%). Speed rank 1 wins 21.3% at this course, distance and grade, edging out the composite rank 1 dog on 19.6%.
T1:16.2% T2:20.2% T3:17.2% T4:20.6% T5:17.1% T6:15.7%
1,434 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 268m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 268m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (268m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 268m | 462m | 500m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Glenshee | 0.638 | — | — |
| 2 | Dromana Milo | 0.638 | — | — |
| 3 | Airlie Isabella | 0.636 | 0.644 | 0.611 |
| 4 | Ineedabreak | 0.634 | — | — |
| 5 | Gazes Boby | 0.638 | — | — |
| 6 | Polyphenols | 0.638 | 0.652 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.