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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Shrewd Amieeb 4y 34 | J Robinson — 19% R288 W54 P160 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 19 | 41 | 42 (5) | 20 (3) | 20 (5) | 29 (1) | 20 (5) | 20 (5) | 40 (6) | 31 (1) | 24 (6) | - | - | 28 | - | 18 | 26 | 19 | 6 | 5/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Swift Viennab 1y 14 | J Robinson — 19% R288 W54 P160 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 15 | 31 | 29 (1) | 18 (4) | 17 (5) | 25 (2) | 20 (4) | 37 (4) | 46 (2) | 32 (5) | 28 (3) | - | 1 | 20 | - | 14 | 25 | 12 | 5 | 9/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Tickets Katieb 2y 18 | I Zivkovic — 13% R588 W79 P277 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | 58 | 30 (2) | 78 (1) | 49 (2) | 60 (1) | 36 (5) | 49 (2) | 41 (3) | 47 (3) | 20 (5) | 19 (5) | 33 | 31 | - | 36 | 50 | 43 | 4 | 5/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Urgent Callb 2y 6 | W M Lyons — 18% R942 W168 P493 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 39 | 75 (6) | 55 (1) | 55 (4) | 71 (3) | 59 (1) | 53 (3) | 44 (3) | 63 (5) | 36 (2) | - | 41 | 31 | - | 36 | 60 | 50 | 1 | 11/4 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Lightfoot Elleb 3y 10 | I Zivkovic — 13% R588 W79 P277 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 78 | 85 | 78 (1) | 78 (1) | 64 (2) | 73 (2) | 64 (3) | 62 (2) | 78 (1) | 51 (5) | 58 (3) | 89 (1) | 52 | 47 | - | 50 | 69 | 72 | 3 | 5/4F | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Deecee Gracieb 2y 5 | W M Lyons — 18% R942 W168 P493 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 72 | 81 | 75 (2) | 60 (4) | 86 (1) | 60 (4) | 54 (6) | 41 (6) | 47 (5) | 84 (1) | 47 (1) | 40 (6) | - | 41 | - | 27 | 60 | 63 | 2 | 7/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shrewd Amiee | 29.38 | 29.57 | 29.67 | 19 | +0.29 | R12 mark | |
| 2 | Swift Vienna | 29.53 | 29.61 | 29.72 | 15 | +0.19 | R12 mark, slowest | |
| 3 | Tickets Katie | 28.88 | 29.22 | 28.95 | 44 | +0.07 | R7 mark, best trap | |
| 4 | Urgent Call | 28.67 | 28.89 | 28.78 | 56 | +0.11 | R5 mark | |
| 5 | Lightfoot Elle | 28.23 | 28.48 | 28.35 | 78 | +0.12 | Scratch mark, fastest | |
| 6 | Deecee Gracie | 28.06 | 28.69 | 28.61 | 72 | +0.55 | Scratch mark |
This is a handicap over Kinsley's 462 metres, where the downhill run to the first bend still rewards a sharp getaway even though the marks even up the class gap. Two dogs race off scratch tonight — running the full advertised trip with no head start — while the other four get forward marks ranging from five to twelve yards. Across the track's full history at this distance trap 3 has been the best box at just over one in five, with trap 5 the weakest at just over one in seven. Lightfoot Elle races from scratch but is comfortably the fastest dog in the field on recorded times and races as a sharp front runner — the kind of pace that could make the head-start marks academic if she gets a clean break, even from the least favoured box. Deecee Gracie, also running off scratch, shares that quick-away style and looks the main threat if Lightfoot Elle doesn't have things her own way.
Runs off scratch tonight, meaning she covers the full 462 metres with no head start, but she's clearly the fastest dog in the field on recorded times and tops the composite rating too. She's a sharp front runner with the earliest pace in the race by some way, and won last time out. Her course and distance form is solid at three wins from ten runs. Trap 5 has been the weakest box at this course and distance historically, which is the one mark against her, but the pace advantage here is big enough to make that a secondary concern.
Also runs off scratch and shares a similar sharp, front-running style to the selection, with the second-fastest recorded time and second-highest composite score in the field. Course and distance form is useful at two wins from eight runs. Trap 6 has been a slightly below-average box historically, but her raw pace makes her the clearest danger if the selection doesn't have things her own way from the break.
Won last time out and gets a forward mark of five yards tonight, which helps close the gap to the faster scratch-mark runners. Finishes strongly from off the pace as a closer, with the best course and distance record in the field at two wins from ten runs. Trap 4 is a fair box here. The head-start mark plus a proven finishing kick make him a runner who could be involved late.
Won last time out and gets a seven-yard forward mark tonight, and she's drawn in trap 3, the best-performing box at this course and distance historically. She's a front runner by pace profile which suits the downhill run to the first bend, but her raw pace figures are well behind the top two in this field even accounting for the mark. Course and distance form is modest at one win from six.
Gets the biggest forward mark in the race at twelve yards, which offers some compensation for modest recent form — no wins from her last three runs at this course and distance. Her raw pace figures are among the weakest in the field even before accounting for the mark. Trap 1 has been a below-average box historically. Needs the mark to do most of the work.
Also gets a twelve-yard forward mark but the slowest recorded time in the field is a serious concern even with that head start. Finishes well from off the pace as a closer, which could suit if the race falls apart late, but there's little in the recent form to suggest she's competitive with this grade of rival.
Key insight: This is the general trap and composite breakdown across all grades at Kinsley over 462 metres — the composite score is historically a weak guide at this course and distance, with barely any separation between the top-rated dog (18.1%) and the next best (17.3%). Trap 3 is the strongest box (20.3%), trap 5 the weakest (14.2%).
T1:15.6% T2:17.5% T3:20.3% T4:17.5% T5:14.2% T6:17.0%
11,683 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 462m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Shrewd Amiee | 46 | 49 | All-Rounder |
2Swift Vienna | 38 | 65 | Closer |
3Tickets Katie | 55 | 51 | Front Runner |
4Urgent Call | 43 | 91 | Closer |
5Lightfoot Elle | 89 | 47 | Front Runner |
6Deecee Gracie | 72 | 49 | Front Runner |
Only runs at exactly 462m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (462m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 268m | 462m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shrewd Amiee | 0.639 | 0.644 |
| 2 | Swift Vienna | 0.642 | 0.641 |
| 3 | Tickets Katie | 0.630 | 0.632 |
| 4 | Urgent Call | — | 0.625 |
| 5 | Lightfoot Elle | — | 0.616 |
| 6 | Deecee Gracie | 0.607 | 0.620 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.