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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Hollywell Gypsyb 2y 7 | I Zivkovic — 13% R588 W79 P277 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 46 | 63 (2) | 61 (3) | 56 (2) | 71 (1) | 45 (5) | 46 (6) | - | - | - | - | 37 | 27 | 18 | 28 | 57 | 46 | 2 | 11/4 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Southwind Twirlb 1y 5 | W M Lyons — 18% R942 W168 P493 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 50 | 54 (4) | 70 (1) | 54 (4) | 27 (6) | 51 (4) | 71 (5) | 64 (1) | 22 (1) | 19 (4) | - | 34 | 35 | 11 | 34 | 56 | 49 | 1 | 3/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Darver Pigeonb 3y 16 | I Zivkovic — 13% R588 W79 P277 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 47 | 60 (3) | 68 (2) | 70 (1) | 30 (6) | 43 (4) | 54 (3) | 42 (6) | 60 (3) | 54 (3) | - | 17 | 15 | 9 | 21 | 54 | 38 | 5 | 4/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Jaguar Dettorid 3y 15 | J S Atkins — 15% R279 W42 P143 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 50 | 37 (5) | 70 (1) | 59 (2) | 53 (2) | 64 (1) | 38 (5) | 37 (5) | 35 (6) | 52 (2) | 57 (2) | 34 | 33 | 25 | 49 | 54 | 45 | 3 | 8/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Drombeg Dollyb 2y 7 | W M Lyons — 18% R942 W168 P493 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 51 | 72 (1) | 29 (2) | 46 (5) | 46 (5) | 60 (3) | 38 (1) | 16 (5) | 56 (3) | 50 (5) | 45 (6) | 19 | 21 | 5 | 3 | 51 | 37 | 4 | 15/8F | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Swift Paddled 2y 8 | I Zivkovic — 13% R588 W79 P277 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 39 | 52 | 30 (6) | 70 (1) | 50 (5) | 69 (1) | 47 (4) | 53 (3) | 54 (2) | 58 (3) | 39 (1) | - | 31 | 29 | 17 | 34 | 52 | 38 | 6 | 9/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hollywell Gypsy | 28.71 | 28.92 | 28.89 | 52 | +0.18 | Worst trap tonight | |
| 2 | Southwind Twirl | 28.61 | 29.00 | 28.69 | 55 | +0.08 | Model pick, best C&D form | |
| 3 | Darver Pigeon | 28.72 | 29.11 | 28.80 | 49 | +0.08 | Best trap | |
| 4 | Jaguar Dettori | 28.75 | 29.19 | 28.75 | 48 | 0.00 | Won LTO | |
| 5 | Drombeg Dolly | 28.61 | 28.90 | 28.98 | 52 | +0.37 | 0 wins from 7 | |
| 6 | Swift Paddle | 28.72 | 29.07 | 29.51 | 39 | +0.79 | Slowest in field |
An A5 contest over Kinsley's 462 metres, where the downhill start to the first bend still plays a part but the trap bias is flatter than at the lower grades — trap 3 remains the best box at this course, distance and grade, while trap 1 has been the weakest. Southwind Twirl tops the composite rating, has the best course and distance record in the field by some distance, and arrives on the back of a win at the grade above — the kind of form that travels well moving up in class. Hollywell Gypsy and Jaguar Dettori both rate well too, with Jaguar Dettori also fresh off a win last time out. This looks a race where the selection's all-round profile — rating, form and course knowledge combined — gives her a genuine edge over a competitive field.
Tops the composite rating in this field and won last time out at the grade above, so she arrives with real momentum stepping up in class today. Her course and distance record is the best of anyone here by a distance — three wins from seven runs at this exact trip. Races in a balanced, all-round style that copes well with whatever shape the race takes. Trap 2 is a solid box in this grade, not the standout but far from a concern.
Also won last time out at the grade above and steps up into this company on the back of that form. Course and distance record is respectable at two wins from ten runs. Trap 4 has been a fair box in this grade. With similar recent momentum to the selection, he's the clearest danger if she doesn't handle the step up as well as hoped.
Rates well on the composite score and finishes strongly from off the pace as a closer, with one win from five runs at this course and distance. Trap 1 has been the weakest box in this grade, which is a genuine concern for a closing-style runner who already needs things to fall right. The rating is there, but the draw works against her.
Placed last time out and is drawn in trap 3, the best-performing box at this course and distance. Course and distance form is modest at one win from ten runs despite the good trap. Finishes strongly from off the pace, which could suit if the pace up front is genuine.
Steps up from the shorter 268-metre trip and shares the fastest recorded best time in the field, but seven runs at this course and distance have yet to produce a win. Trap 5 has been a below-average box in this grade. The raw pace is there but the results haven't followed at this exact trip.
Has the best course and distance record on paper with three wins from ten runs, but her most recent run was well below her best on the clock and she finished last time out down the field. Trap 6 has been a productive box in this grade, which offers some encouragement, but the recent form is a concern.
Key insight: Trap 3 is the best box at this course, distance and grade (20.9%), with trap 1 the weakest (13.8%). The composite score offers a real but modest edge here (18.3% for the top-rated dog), with barely any gap to the second-ranked dog — course and distance form is doing a lot of the work in this grade.
T1:13.8% T2:17.3% T3:20.9% T4:17.2% T5:15.9% T6:18.3%
2,281 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 462m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Hollywell Gypsy | 36 | 83 | Closer |
2Southwind Twirl | 53 | 40 | All-Rounder |
3Darver Pigeon | 46 | 55 | Closer |
4Jaguar Dettori | 47 | 50 | All-Rounder |
5Drombeg Dolly | 54 | 50 | All-Rounder |
6Swift Paddle | 53 | 42 | All-Rounder |
Only runs at exactly 462m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (462m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 268m | 462m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hollywell Gypsy | — | 0.626 |
| 2 | Southwind Twirl | 0.635 | 0.628 |
| 3 | Darver Pigeon | — | 0.629 |
| 4 | Jaguar Dettori | — | 0.633 |
| 5 | Drombeg Dolly | 0.630 | 0.627 |
| 6 | Swift Paddle | — | 0.629 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.