| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Highview Arrowb 3y 28 | W M Lyons — 18% R942 W168 P493 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 40 | 71 (1) | 65 (2) | 50 (2) | 74 (2) | 53 (2) | 54 (3) | 45 (4) | 47 (4) | 42 (4) | - | 16 | 24 | 22 | 28 | 56 | 39 | 4 | 11/4 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Sober Balladd 5y 17 | I Zivkovic — 13% R588 W79 P277 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 37 | 55 | 41 (5) | 37 (6) | 36 (6) | 44 (4) | 34 (6) | 57 (3) | 50 (4) | 37 (5) | 49 (6) | 59 (4) | 34 | 29 | - | 11 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 7/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Step To Lineb 4y 34 | W M Lyons — 18% R942 W168 P493 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 35 | 52 | 37 (4) | 67 (2) | 68 (2) | 36 (6) | 62 (3) | 22 (4) | 19 (6) | 31 (3) | 57 (3) | 63 (3) | 41 | 31 | 27 | 29 | 54 | 34 | 5 | 5/2F | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Droopys Willyad 4y 28 | J S Atkins — 15% R279 W42 P143 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 60 | 71 (1) | 56 (4) | 43 (5) | 64 (2) | 70 (1) | 68 (1) | 65 (1) | 54 (3) | 57 (2) | 59 (2) | 21 | 42 | 32 | 41 | 58 | 47 | 1 | 3/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Hello Ladyb 3y 6 | I Zivkovic — 13% R588 W79 P277 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 46 | 64 (2) | 64 (1) | 24 (3) | 42 (4) | 40 (6) | 33 (6) | 52 (2) | 39 (6) | 61 (2) | 52 (3) | 24 | 21 | 24 | 31 | 49 | 42 | 3 | 9/2 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Hazelgrove Amanib 4y 17 | W M Lyons — 18% R942 W168 P493 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 49 | 53 (3) | 44 (5) | 57 (3) | 40 (5) | 38 (5) | 57 (2) | 59 (2) | 70 (1) | 54 (3) | 47 (3) | 27 | 26 | 24 | 24 | 50 | 47 | 2 | 5/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Highview Arrow | 28.69 | 29.00 | 29.15 | 51 | +0.46 | Best trap, 0 wins from 9 | |
| 2 | Sober Ballad | 28.88 | 29.21 | 29.59 | 37 | +0.71 | Slowest, 0 wins from 10 | |
| 3 | Step To Line | 28.92 | 29.26 | 29.63 | 35 | +0.71 | 0 wins from 7 | |
| 4 | Droopys Willya | 28.68 | 28.93 | 28.88 | 56 | +0.20 | Model pick, fastest, best C&D | |
| 5 | Hello Lady | 28.79 | 29.07 | 28.80 | 53 | +0.01 | Won LTO, worst trap | |
| 6 | Hazelgrove Amani | 28.67 | 28.96 | 29.00 | 54 | +0.33 | 1 win from 10 |
The last of the A6 races on the card over Kinsley's 462 metres, where trap 1 has generally surged as the strongest box at this exact grade and trap 5 has been the weakest, though tonight's leading contenders are drawn elsewhere. Droopys Willya shares the top composite rating, is the fastest dog in the field on recorded times, and has the best course and distance record of anyone here — three wins from ten runs. Hazelgrove Amani matches her on the composite score and isn't far behind on pace, but her course and distance conversion has been much thinner. Highview Arrow occupies the prized trap 1 but hasn't been able to turn his draw into a win at this course and distance in nine attempts.
Shares the top composite rating in this field and is the fastest dog on recorded times to go with it. Her course and distance form is the best of anyone here, three wins from ten runs at this exact trip, and she races in a balanced, all-round style that copes with however the race unfolds. Trap 4 has been a solid, middling box in this grade — not the standout but far from a concern. The combination of rating, raw pace and proven course and distance form makes her the clear pick.
Matches the selection on the composite score and isn't far behind on recorded pace either. Races in a balanced style and is very consistent from run to run. The gap between the two is course and distance form — only one win from ten runs at this exact trip against the selection's three from ten — but on rating alone she's the clearest danger.
Won last time out at the grade below and finishes strongly from off the pace as a closer. The concern is trap 5, which has historically been almost unwinnable at this exact grade — the single worst draw at Kinsley over 462 metres. Course and distance form is useful at one win from nine, but the trap is a serious structural obstacle.
Occupies trap 1, historically the best box at this exact course, distance and grade, but nine attempts here have yet to produce a win. Finishes strongly from off the pace as a closer, which is a slightly awkward fit with a trap that usually rewards a sharp getaway. The draw is a plus but the runner hasn't made it count yet.
The slowest recorded time in the field and no wins from seven runs at this course and distance. Trap 3 is a fair box in this grade, but there's little in the raw pace or the record to suggest he can trouble the leading pair tonight.
Finished well down the field last time out and the pace figures are among the weakest in this race. Ten runs at this course and distance have yet to produce a win. Hard to make much of a case for her against this field.
Key insight: Trap 1 remains the strongest box at this course, distance and grade (20.7%) and trap 5 the weakest (11.2%), though tonight neither extreme trap holds the best form. The composite score is only a modest guide on its own here, so course and distance form is doing much of the heavy lifting.
T1:20.7% T2:16.8% T3:18.7% T4:18.2% T5:11.2% T6:16.6%
2,381 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 462m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Highview Arrow | 43 | 63 | Closer |
2Sober Ballad | 53 | 31 | All-Rounder |
3Step To Line | 49 | 35 | All-Rounder |
4Droopys Willya | 54 | 49 | All-Rounder |
5Hello Lady | 41 | 64 | Closer |
6Hazelgrove Amani | 51 | 51 | All-Rounder |
Only runs at exactly 462m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (462m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 268m | 462m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Highview Arrow | 0.616 | 0.627 |
| 2 | Sober Ballad | — | 0.634 |
| 3 | Step To Line | 0.635 | 0.631 |
| 4 | Droopys Willya | — | 0.625 |
| 5 | Hello Lady | 0.634 | 0.629 |
| 6 | Hazelgrove Amani | — | 0.627 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.