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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Skirk Bolgerd 3y 5 | P S Rea — 17% R492 W83 P267 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 62 | 54 (4) | 51 (3) | 36 (6) | 46 (5) | 52 (5) | 66 (4) | 57 (1) | 48 (2) | 56 (3) | - | 31 | 22 | 34 | 21 | 50 | 46 | 1 | 5/4F | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Sober Speedd 5y 14 | P S Rea — 17% R492 W83 P267 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 46 | 43 (3) | 53 (2) | 46 (3) | 44 (4) | 50 (3) | 45 (5) | 29 (6) | 46 (4) | 17 (3) | 49 (4) | 30 | 25 | 17 | 19 | 45 | 39 | 2 | 3/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Tommys Birdyb 3y 6 | C Wilson — 23% R26 W6 P15 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | 45 | 64 (1) | 25 (4) | 45 (4) | 55 (2) | 33 (4) | 48 (2) | 27 (3) | 19 (6) | 26 (3) | 11 (6) | 35 | 25 | 31 | 33 | 46 | 41 | 4 | 5/2 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Savana Buenob 2y 33 | T J Nevin — 21% R485 W100 P253 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 35 | 56 (2) | 66 (3) | 78 (2) | 54 (4) | 59 (4) | 62 (5) | 70 (3) | 57 (4) | 88 (1) | 58 (3) | 19 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 64 | 32 | 3 | 9/2 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Alno Sueb 3yN/R 17 | D R E Ellerker — 18% R722 W129 P384 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 67 | 34 (1) | 47 (4) | 49 (2) | 34 (2) | 46 (4) | 33 (1) | 65 (1) | 26 (3) | 15 (4) | 27 (4) | 36 | 42 | 26 | 27 | 43 | 45 | - | - | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Good Rexd 4y 28 | P S Rea — 17% R492 W83 P267 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 42 | 61 | 50 (3) | 41 (4) | 28 (6) | 50 (2) | 52 (2) | 50 (3) | 50 (3) | 22 (1) | 48 (3) | 65 (1) | 24 | 37 | 27 | 32 | 44 | 38 | 5 | 7/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Skirk Bolger | 27.14 | 27.42 | 27.45 | 55 | +0.31 | best trap | |
| 2 | Sober Speed | 27.26 | 27.66 | 27.55 | 47 | +0.29 | no C&D win | |
| 3 | Tommys Birdy | 27.44 | 27.73 | 27.44 | 44 | 0.00 | won last time | |
| 4 | Savana Bueno | 27.41 | 27.41 | 27.41 | 51 | 0.00 | Model pick | |
| 5 | Alno Sue | 27.29 | 27.47 | 27.51 | 50 | +0.22 | worst trap | |
| 6 | Good Rex | 27.30 | 27.56 | 27.96 | 42 | +0.66 | well off best |
An A7 race over Harlow's tight 415m trip, where trap 1 has been the best-performing box in this grade at 23% and trap 5 the weakest at under 16%. A7 remains the hardest grade to call here, but Savana Bueno has been operating well above this level lately, with an average performance rating far clear of anything else declared and a run of recent form that's consistently strong rather than a one-off spike. Skirk Bolger, sharp into the first bend and the fastest on the clock, is the clearest danger. Good Rex has the best course and distance record of the rest but tends to fade in the closing stages.
Comfortably the highest average performance rating in this field, and it's not a one-off spike - her last five runs have all rated in the mid-fifties to high seventies, well clear of what the rest of this race has been showing. Finishes strongly from off the pace, and while the course and distance sample here is small at just one run, the underlying graded form across recent starts is the strongest in the race by some distance. Runner-up last time out. The draw isn't the standout box in this grade, but the scale of the quality gap on show makes that a secondary concern.
Third last time out and jumps well with the best first-bend figures and fastest recorded time in the field. Drawn in the best-performing box in this grade too. A modest course and distance record of one win and four places from ten runs, but the combination of pace, bend ability and the top draw makes him the clearest danger to the selection.
Runner-up last time out and finishes strongly from off the pace, but hasn't managed a course and distance win from ten attempts - two places is the best return. The recent form has been steady without threatening to dominate. A fair performer without a standout edge in this field.
Won last time out but the wider form has been volatile, swinging from the mid-twenties to the mid-sixties with little pattern. A balanced runner who races handy throughout, with a modest course and distance record of one win and three places from six runs. The fresh win is a positive, but the inconsistency is a concern.
Jumps well with sharp early pace but fades in the closing stages, a real risk on this tight circuit. Fourth last time out and drawn in the weakest box in this grade. A modest course and distance record of one win and two places from six runs. The pace is there but the fade and the poor draw both count against her.
Owns the best course and distance record of the remaining runners at three wins and five places from ten runs, but his most recent recorded time was well off his best, and he tends to fade in the closing stages. Fourth last time out. The course and distance history is real, but the current form doesn't back it up strongly.
Key insight: A7 is generally the hardest grade to predict here, but this race has a clear quality outlier on recent form.
T1:23.1% T2:16.7% T3:16.9% T4:17.8% T5:15.8% T6:20.4%
5,676 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 415m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Skirk Bolger | 56 | 53 | Front Runner |
2Sober Speed | 44 | 72 | Closer |
3Tommys Birdy | 44 | 47 | All-Rounder |
4Savana Bueno | 37 | 81 | Closer |
5Alno Sue | 68 | 19 | Fader |
6Good Rex | 67 | 21 | Fader |
Only runs at exactly 415m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (415m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 238m | 415m | 450m | 650m | 847m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Skirk Bolger | — | 0.661 | — | — | — |
| 2 | Sober Speed | — | 0.667 | — | — | — |
| 3 | Tommys Birdy | 0.668 | 0.669 | — | — | — |
| 4 | Savana Bueno | — | 0.660 | 0.615 | 0.622 | 0.634 |
| 6 | Good Rex | — | 0.664 | — | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.