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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Savana Kayceb 2y 13 | T J Nevin — 21% R485 W100 P253 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | 25 (3) | 28 (2) | 27 (2) | 26 (3) | 26 (3) | 26 (3) | 28 (2) | 29 (2) | 20 (3) | 13 (5) | 35 | 24 | 18 | - | 17 | 42 | 6 | 9/2 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Cabriol Maggieb 3y 23 | R J Leeks — 40% R5 W2 P5 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 32 | 59 (3) | 66 (1) | 55 (3) | 56 (2) | 45 (5) | 57 (5) | 58 (2) | 65 (2) | 68 (2) | 88 (1) | 25 | 22 | 28 | 34 | 60 | 39 | 5 | 9/2 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Savana Heavenb 3y 15 | T J Nevin — 21% R485 W100 P253 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 51 | 48 (2) | 59 (3) | 63 (1) | 62 (2) | 59 (2) | 56 (2) | 72 (1) | 15 (4) | 17 (2) | 22 (1) | 37 | 55 | 51 | 55 | 52 | 48 | 2 | 5/2 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Luminous Cutieb 2y 36 | D R E Ellerker — 18% R722 W129 P384 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 54 | 53 (2) | 23 (5) | 25 (5) | 30 (3) | 24 (5) | 58 (3) | 72 (1) | 31 (3) | 32 (3) | 33 (2) | 25 | 34 | 30 | 23 | 64 | 42 | 1 | 6/4F | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Hi Tontod 3y 16 | D R Jinks — 16% R524 W85 P286 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 40 | 42 (5) | 48 (3) | 45 (6) | 46 (5) | 50 (5) | 60 (2) | 44 (4) | 48 (5) | 46 (5) | 64 (2) | 26 | 29 | 8 | 12 | 49 | 38 | 4 | 5/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Up Northb 2y 14 | P S Rea — 17% R492 W83 P267 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | 72 | 41 (4) | 56 (3) | 18 (6) | 21 (5) | 25 (3) | 43 (4) | 61 (2) | 71 (1) | 65 (1) | 47 (3) | 23 | 35 | 21 | 39 | 54 | 40 | 3 | 6/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Savana Kayce | No recorded times at this distance - all recent form has been over the shorter 238m sprint. A big step up in trip today. | — | no 415m form | ||||
| 2 | Cabriol Maggie | 27.19 | 27.38 | 27.19 | 54 | 0.00 | won last time, stepping up | |
| 3 | Savana Heaven | 27.07 | 27.24 | 27.58 | 53 | +0.51 | deep C&D sample | |
| 4 | Luminous Cutie | 27.07 | 27.26 | 27.44 | 55 | +0.37 | small C&D sample | |
| 5 | Hi Tonto | 26.97 | 27.42 | 27.82 | 47 | +0.85 | well off best | |
| 6 | Up North | 27.07 | 27.48 | 27.82 | 44 | +0.75 | best trap, Model pick | |
An A6 race over Harlow's tight 415m trip, where trap 6 has been the strongest box in this grade at over 21%. Up North draws that box and backs it up with the strongest genuine course and distance record in the field, built on a proper sample of seven runs, plus the sharpest first-bend figures of anyone here. Savana Heaven, with an even bigger course and distance sample and a runner-up finish last time out, is the clearest danger. Luminous Cutie shows the highest average rating on paper, but it's built largely on form from a shorter sprint distance and a much smaller sample at this exact trip, so it needs treating with some caution.
Owns the sharpest first-bend figures of anyone in this field and a strong course and distance record of three wins and four places from seven runs. Jumps well and gets to the bend quickest, though he does tend to lose ground in the closing stages - a trait to watch, but on this tight circuit getting there first is a real asset in itself. Drawn in trap 6, comfortably the strongest box in this grade. Third last time out.
Runner-up last time out and owns the deepest course and distance record in this field on a genuine sample - three wins and eight places from ten runs at this exact combination. A balanced runner who races handy throughout, and the recent form has been consistently in the fifties and sixties. The most proven, reliable case in the field outside the selection.
Steps up sharply from the shorter 238m sprint after a third-place finish, and has no recorded times at all at this longer distance - a genuine unknown today. The average performance rating from her sprint form is modest, well below the rest of this field. A big step into the unknown with little to suggest she's ready for it.
Won last time out, matching her own best recorded time in doing it, but steps up from the easier A7 grade today. Finishes strongly from off the pace. A modest course and distance record of one win and two places from just three runs - too small a sample to lean on heavily. The fresh win is real, but the step up in company adds a question mark.
Carries the highest average performance rating in this field on paper, but a good chunk of that comes from racing at a shorter sprint distance, and her course and distance sample at this exact trip is small at just two runs. Jumps well with sharp early pace but tends to lose ground late. Fifth last time out. The raw rating looks eye-catching, but it needs treating with some caution given how it was built.
Third last time out and finishes strongly from off the pace, though his most recent recorded time was well off his best. No course and distance win from ten attempts - two places is the best return. Consistent without threatening to break through at this course and distance.
Key insight: Trap 6 remains the strongest box in this grade, and today's runner with the deepest genuine course and distance record draws it.
T1:17.5% T2:18.9% T3:19.5% T4:17.8% T5:17.0% T6:21.4%
2,790 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 415m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Savana Kayce | — | — | No data |
2Cabriol Maggie | 0 | 100 | Closer |
3Savana Heaven | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
4Luminous Cutie | 61 | 42 | Fader |
5Hi Tonto | 41 | 64 | Closer |
6Up North | 74 | 0 | Fader |
Only runs at exactly 415m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (415m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 238m | 388m | 415m | 548m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Savana Kayce | 0.665 | — | — | — |
| 2 | Cabriol Maggie | — | 0.635 | 0.658 | 0.640 |
| 3 | Savana Heaven | — | — | 0.658 | — |
| 4 | Luminous Cutie | 0.662 | — | 0.657 | — |
| 5 | Hi Tonto | — | — | 0.662 | — |
| 6 | Up North | 0.673 | — | 0.663 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.