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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Aero Callieb 3y 7 | D R Jinks — 16% R524 W85 P286 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 33 (1) | 20 (5) | 72 (3) | 23 (4) | 25 (3) | 19 (6) | 21 (6) | 26 (5) | 25 (5) | 27 (5) | 31 | 30 | 11 | 4 | 23 | 25 | 3 | 6/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Deelish Mackd 3y 16 | P S Rea — 17% R492 W83 P267 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | - | 51 (4) | 45 (5) | 33 (1) | 51 (3) | 51 (3) | 53 (4) | 28 (2) | 55 (2) | 62 (2) | 72 (1) | 52 | 34 | 16 | 41 | 31 | 25 | 4 | 11/10F | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Drumdoit Dorgud 2y 27 | K J D Lundie — 44% R9 W4 P5 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 75 (1) | 31 (5) | 24 (4) | 23 (6) | 49 (2) | 47 (5) | 30 (5) | 41 (4) | 58 (1) | 54 (3) | 2 | - | - | - | 35 | 16 | 1 | 6/4 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Mabels Ribbonsd 2y 5 | D R E Ellerker — 18% R722 W129 P384 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | - | 22 (5) | 31 (1) | 26 (3) | 26 (3) | 21 (5) | 26 (4) | 20 (6) | 32 (1) | 19 (5) | 22 (4) | 21 | 18 | 12 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 6 | 8/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Battle Dotb 2y 26 | D R E Ellerker — 18% R722 W129 P384 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | - | 28 (2) | 39 (3) | 37 (5) | 26 (3) | 45 (4) | 18 (6) | 27 (3) | 44 (5) | 31 (1) | 21 (4) | 21 | 15 | 7 | 30 | 25 | 19 | 5 | 14/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Signet Toofyd 3y 5 | D R Jinks — 16% R524 W85 P286 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 19 (5) | 30 (2) | 32 (1) | 26 (4) | 30 (1) | 24 (2) | 52 (6) | 48 (2) | 51 (4) | - | 43 | 40 | 36 | 54 | 29 | 30 | 2 | 9/2 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aero Callie | 15.54 | 15.90 | 16.05 | 49 | +0.51 | well off best | |
| 2 | Deelish Mack | 15.72 | 15.73 | 15.72 | 54 | 0.00 | big class drop | |
| 3 | Drumdoit Dorgu | 15.79 | 15.79 | 15.79 | 51 | 0.00 | tiny C&D sample | |
| 4 | Mabels Ribbons | 15.78 | 15.98 | 15.79 | 48 | +0.01 | won last time | |
| 5 | Battle Dot | 15.78 | 15.96 | 15.78 | 48 | 0.00 | worst trap | |
| 6 | Signet Toofy | 15.75 | 15.85 | 15.75 | 51 | 0.00 | best trap, Model pick |
A D4 sprint over 238m where trap 6 has been the dominant box in this grade at over 23% - one of the clearer trap edges on today's card - and trap 5 the weakest at under 16%. A couple of these runners step down sharply from the longer 415m trip at A6 grade, which adds a layer of uncertainty since their course and distance sample here is tiny. Signet Toofy avoids that question mark entirely, having raced consistently at this trip and grade, and draws the standout box to boot. Deelish Mack, dropping down in grade and distance, posted eye-catching recent times and is the clearest danger if the step down suits.
Runner-up last time out and matched her recent best time in the process, with a solid course and distance record of two wins and four places from five runs - the strongest strike rate among the runners with a genuine sample size at this exact combination. Jumps well with decent early pace, though tends to lose a little ground late. Drawn in trap 6, comfortably the best-performing box in this grade. Unlike a couple of these rivals, there's no question mark over a grade or distance switch - she's simply been racing well at this level already.
Drops down sharply from A6 grade over the longer 415m trip, and the recorded times at this shorter sprint have been remarkably tight - best, average and most recent all within a whisker of each other. Finishes strongly from off the pace, which can work well at a sprint if the pace up front is genuine. The course and distance sample here is small at just two runs, so the headline strike rate shouldn't be taken too literally, but the raw pace and the scale of the class drop make her worth respecting.
Fifth last time out and the recent time was well off her career-best mark, a sign the form has cooled. No course and distance placing from ten attempts, which is a poor return given the number of tries. The underlying best time shows some ability, but nothing in the current form points to it resurfacing today.
Also drops down from the longer 415m trip at A6 grade, and jumps well with very sharp early pace, but fades hard in the closing stages - a real risk at a sprint trip where there's little time to recover lost ground. Only one run recorded at this exact course and distance, too small a sample to draw much from. The fading profile is the bigger concern given how short this race is.
Won last time out and matched her own best recorded time almost exactly in doing it. A reasonable course and distance record of two wins and two places from ten runs. The recent form has been steady in the low-to-mid twenties. A fair, honest performer without an obvious standout factor to lean on today.
Runner-up last time out, matching her recent best time in the process. A modest course and distance record of one win and two places from six runs. Drawn in the weakest box in this grade, which is a genuine knock even with the solid recent effort.
Key insight: Trap 6 remains the standout box in D4 grade at over 23%, and today's most proven runner at this exact trip and grade draws it.
T1:18.1% T2:16.7% T3:18.0% T4:17.8% T5:15.9% T6:23.1%
5,700 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 238m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 238m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (238m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 238m | 415m | 500m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aero Callie | 0.669 | — | — |
| 2 | Deelish Mack | 0.661 | 0.658 | — |
| 3 | Drumdoit Dorgu | 0.663 | 0.662 | 0.612 |
| 4 | Mabels Ribbons | 0.673 | — | — |
| 5 | Battle Dot | 0.671 | 0.672 | — |
| 6 | Signet Toofy | 0.668 | 0.665 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.