| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Bluejig Tankd 5y 35 | E G Samuels — 15% R598 W90 P319 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 38 | 62 (2) | 61 (2) | 58 (4) | 58 (4) | 70 (4) | 78 (2) | 58 (1) | 52 (3) | 73 (5) | - | 36 | 24 | 33 | 31 | 62 | 42 | 4 | 4/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Blackrose Blued 2y 25 | M Lewis — 16% R248 W39 P120 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 67 | 28 (3) | 53 (3) | 72 (2) | 56 (3) | 75 (1) | 73 (2) | 77 (2) | 78 (3) | 38 (4) | - | 1 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 65 | 32 | 1 | 1/1F | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Tommys Missb 1y 8 | I J Barnard — 21% R257 W54 P150 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 55 | 54 (4) | 44 (5) | 38 (6) | 40 (5) | 63 (2) | 83 (1) | 71 (1) | 59 (5) | - | - | 32 | 44 | 30 | 28 | 53 | 42 | 3 | 6/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Murrow Nakatomib 2y 28 | R Fitch — 21% R66 W14 P40 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 40 | 79 (1) | 55 (5) | 79 (1) | 46 (6) | 57 (5) | 61 (4) | 66 (4) | 82 (2) | 48 (1) | - | 45 | 42 | 17 | 36 | 61 | 38 | 5 | 8/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Radical Beard 2y 29 | K L Windebank — 15% R504 W76 P264 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 60 | 59 | 51 (5) | 76 (2) | 68 (2) | 74 (2) | 84 (1) | 61 (3) | 77 (1) | 58 (3) | 75 (1) | 62 (2) | 39 | 52 | 17 | 53 | 71 | 54 | 2 | 5/2 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Digby Girlb 1yN/R 14 | C R Morris — 27% R302 W82 P201 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | 38 | 63 (3) | 55 (4) | 72 (1) | 57 (3) | 63 (2) | 44 (5) | 65 (1) | 45 (3) | 58 (2) | 48 (3) | 37 | 16 | - | 35 | 58 | 45 | - | - | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bluejig Tank | 28.25 | 28.57 | 28.52 | 52 | +0.27 | Steady closer | |
| 2 | Blackrose Blue | 28.23 | 28.53 | 28.83 | 49 | +0.60 | Fades late | |
| 3 | Tommys Miss | 28.17 | 28.70 | 28.82 | 47 | +0.65 | Volatile form | |
| 4 | Murrow Nakatomi | 28.26 | 28.65 | 28.84 | 46 | +0.58 | Below leaders | |
| 5 | Radical Bear | 28.16 | 28.44 | 28.30 | 60 | +0.14 | Model pick | |
| 6 | Digby Girl | 28.18 | 28.63 | 28.18 | 57 | 0.00 | Stepping up sharply |
Yarmouth's 462 metres is one of the fairest circuits in the country - well-cambered and galloping, with no genuine trap or running-style bias and the fewest all-the-way winners of any track in the UK at just one in five. The long home straight regularly reels in early leaders, so the fastest-rated and best-form dogs here win close to a quarter of races, well above what raw trap data alone would suggest. Trap 3 has been the standout box at this grade (24.3%) while trap 6 has struggled (15.2%), but that gap is modest compared to tight tracks elsewhere. Radical Bear is fastest in the field and rates clear of this field on recent form, arriving here on the back of tougher A2 company. Bluejig Tank, a patient finisher, and Blackrose Blue, who likes to lead but tends to fade, look the pace-setters most likely to be swallowed up late on. Digby Girl arrives with a good recent record but it has come at a much weaker grade, so her figures need treating with real caution stepping up here.
The fastest dog in the field on recent times and rates well clear of this field too, with a string of places and a recent win coming largely against tougher A2 opposition before dropping back in today. A settled, versatile racer who can race prominently or come from off the pace depending on how it unfolds, which suits Yarmouth's fair test. Three wins and seven places from his last ten runs at this course and distance is a strong record, even though the draw itself hasn't been the kindest at this grade. The one with the clearest form and pace edge in the race.
A patient finisher who does his best work from off the pace, which plays into his hands over this long home straight where leaders so often get caught. Placed twice in his last six starts and very consistent in how he runs his races, even if the wins haven't quite come. Drawn in a trap that has held up reasonably well at this grade.
Second-best on recent form here but shows an early-pace, fade-late pattern that Yarmouth's long straight tends to punish. Placed in each of her last two starts without getting home in front. A weak trap suitability figure adds to the concern about this specific draw.
Form has been erratic, with a big peak of 83 five starts back followed by a run of moderate efforts against tougher A2 company. Drops back to this grade after struggling at the level above, which could help, but three of her last three finishes have been outside the frame. The best-performing trap in the field is some consolation.
A fairly balanced sort who neither leads emphatically nor closes strongly, and the form has been middling with a fifth-place finish last time out. Nothing in the recent figures marks him out as anything more than a makeweight in this company, and he's the slowest rated dog in the field on the clock.
Won last time out and the recent figures look tidy on the surface, but every one of her last six starts has come at A6 or A7 grade - two to three full steps below today's level. That form is unlikely to translate directly against this much stronger field, and stepping up this sharply in one jump is a real unknown. Speed figures look decent but were earned in weaker company.
Key insight: The fastest dog in the field wins 24.1% of races at this course, distance and grade from 1,686 runs - the strongest single factor - while the top form-rated dog wins 21.2%.
T1:20.4% T2:16.0% T3:24.3% T4:18.1% T5:16.2% T6:15.2%
1,686 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 462m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Bluejig Tank | 33 | 76 | Closer |
2Blackrose Blue | 100 | 0 | Fader |
3Tommys Miss | 46 | 42 | All-Rounder |
4Murrow Nakatomi | 61 | 58 | All-Rounder |
5Radical Bear | 54 | 42 | All-Rounder |
6Digby Girl | 31 | 75 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 462m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (462m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 277m | 300m | 330m | 400m | 462m | 480m | 525m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bluejig Tank | — | — | — | — | 0.617 | — | — |
| 2 | Blackrose Blue | 0.611 | 0.554 | 0.565 | 0.611 | 0.618 | — | 0.553 |
| 3 | Tommys Miss | — | — | — | — | 0.621 | — | — |
| 4 | Murrow Nakatomi | — | — | — | — | 0.619 | — | — |
| 5 | Radical Bear | — | — | — | — | 0.614 | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.