The Future Of Racing: PGR TV Stakes
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Lemon Shirleyb 2y 16 | J Gray — 21% R203 W42 P128 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | 64 (3) | 75 (1) | 61 (3) | 70 (2) | 76 (1) | 60 (3) | 58 (3) | 51 (4) | 77 (4) | - | 1 | 33 | - | 35 | 66 | 49 | 5 | 14/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Dower Hollyb 2y 28 | L Cook — 22% R122 W27 P74 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 60 | 63 | 71 (2) | 73 (2) | 78 (2) | 79 (1) | 64 (5) | 75 (2) | 58 (4) | 62 (4) | 76 (2) | 46 (6) | 13 | 51 | 24 | 50 | 71 | 55 | 1 | 4/6F | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Invincia Jetd 4y 24 | J Daly — 20% R184 W37 P98 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 52 | 51 (6) | 82 (1) | 79 (2) | 84 (1) | 65 (3) | 72 (2) | 69 (3) | 65 (3) | 83 (1) | 66 (2) | 27 | 34 | 37 | 43 | 71 | 52 | 4 | 9/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Platinum Recordd 2y 24 | J Llewellin — 15% R372 W56 P209 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 42 | 44 | 49 (5) | 52 (4) | 67 (3) | 66 (3) | 70 (2) | 72 (2) | 45 (6) | 72 (2) | 58 (2) | - | 27 | 30 | 28 | 22 | 60 | 40 | 6 | 11/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Bobsleigh Actd 2y 25 | J Daly — 20% R184 W37 P98 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 37 | 47 | 55 (5) | 58 (3) | 67 (4) | 78 (2) | 67 (4) | 76 (2) | 83 (1) | 63 (3) | 51 (3) | 30 (4) | 1 | 33 | 10 | 19 | 64 | 38 | 2 | 7/2 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Roanna Ashb 3y 16 | P M Holland — 16% R51 W8 P24 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 49 | 52 (5) | 68 (2) | 65 (4) | 75 (2) | 58 (5) | 84 (1) | 75 (5) | 65 (4) | 54 (4) | - | 40 | 47 | 44 | 35 | 67 | 55 | 3 | 4/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lemon Shirley | — | — | — | — | — | No comparable HP times | |
| 2 | Dower Holly | 29.98 | 30.27 | 30.50 | 60 | +0.52 | Model pick | |
| 3 | Invincia Jet | 30.27 | 30.54 | 30.60 | 49 | +0.33 | Sharpest lately | |
| 4 | Platinum Record | 30.21 | 30.70 | 30.91 | 42 | +0.70 | Slipping off best | |
| 5 | Bobsleigh Act | 30.46 | 30.74 | 30.97 | 37 | +0.51 | Slowest in field | |
| 6 | Roanna Ash | 29.92 | 30.45 | 30.59 | 56 | +0.67 | Best raw time |
Nottingham's 500m sees a tight first bend that has traditionally rewarded the inside draws, with trap 1 historically the best-performing box at around a quarter of winners and the widest boxes labouring furthest back — traps one to three have accounted for the bulk of winners here down the years. In this specific A3 sample trap 4 and trap 3 have actually been the strongest boxes recently while trap 1 has underperformed, a reminder that recent form can drift from the long-run picture, but the wider principle holds: dogs drawn wide still face the tougher passage through the first bend. Dower Holly breaks from the favoured trap 2 and should get the run of the race, with Invincia Jet also drawn handy in trap 3. The two confirmed closers, Platinum Record and Bobsleigh Act, will need the pace up front to weaken to have any real say, while Roanna Ash's calm, consistent pace profile means she can sit just off the leaders and pounce if they fold.
The fastest dog in the field on the clock and matches that with the best average time too, breaking from trap 2 which sits inside Nottingham's notoriously punishing first bend. Her recent form reads 73, 78, 79, 64, 75, 58 — nothing below a strong level in five of her last six and a second-place finish last time out in this exact grade over this trip. She's tagged as a fader who can lose a length or two in the closing stages, but with the best early speed in the race and a favoured draw she should be well clear before that matters. Three course and distance runs have brought a win and two places — proven form at this specific track and trip.
Drawn in trap 3, one of the two strongest boxes at Nottingham in this A3 sample, and she's the one with the best course and distance record in the race — three wins and six places from ten runs at this track and trip. Form is up and down (51, 82, 79, 84, 65, 72) but the peaks show she can produce a big performance when it clicks, and a 51 last time out looks more like an off night than a loss of ability. The weak point is her trainer, managing only a modest win rate, but on proven course form and a good draw she's the main threat to the top selection.
Boasts the best trainer strike rate in the race at 34 percent and a strong course and distance record — three wins and four places from ten runs at this track and trip — but every one of those runs has come in handicap company, and there's no recent open-grade form to lean on stepping up into this graded A3. No reliable speed figure could be calculated from her recent starts because handicap times aren't directly comparable to open racing. An interesting each-way sort but hard to fully trust on the evidence available.
Been racing consistently at this level with ten runs at the course and distance but has never won there, managing only four places. Recent form has tailed off with a 49 and 52 in her last two starts, well below her earlier peaks, and she's carrying the slowest usable time in the field. A confirmed closer who needs the race up front to be run at a strong gallop, but with little pace of her own from trap 4 she looks held on these terms.
Drops back in class after a run of starts in the stronger A2 grade, which could work in her favour on official ratings, but she's the slowest recorded time in the field and has managed only one win from eight runs at this course and distance. Her trainer's win rate is modest and she needs things to fall right from an all-rounder pace profile. More of an each-way watch than a confident play in this company.
Second-fastest in the field on the clock and remarkably consistent in how she runs her races, but drawn out in trap 6 which has been one of the tougher boxes at Nottingham's tight opening bend. Dropping back from A2 company after a couple of solid placed efforts, and if she can avoid trouble in the early stages she has the pace to be involved. Her course and distance record here is modest at one win from ten, so this is more about untapped upside than proven form.
Key insight: In this specific A3 sample at Nottingham 500m, traps 3 and 4 have actually outperformed the traditional inside draws, while trap 1 has underperformed — worth noting alongside the track's long-run bias toward the first three boxes.
T1:15.1% T2:18.4% T3:21.1% T4:21.9% T5:16.3% T6:17.8%
2,186 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Lemon Shirley | — | — | No data |
2Dower Holly | 66 | 21 | Fader |
3Invincia Jet | 52 | 38 | All-Rounder |
4Platinum Record | 40 | 67 | Closer |
5Bobsleigh Act | 45 | 50 | All-Rounder |
6Roanna Ash | 50 | 53 | All-Rounder |
Only runs at exactly 500m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (500m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 500m | 525m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lemon Shirley | 0.621 | — |
| 2 | Dower Holly | 0.607 | 0.562 |
| 3 | Invincia Jet | 0.611 | — |
| 4 | Platinum Record | 0.614 | — |
| 5 | Bobsleigh Act | 0.615 | 0.582 |
| 6 | Roanna Ash | 0.609 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.