Loading...
Watch PGR On Sky Sports Racing Stakes
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Princes Legacyb 4y 28 | B Denby — 23% R256 W58 P140 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 52 | 79 (1) | 63 (4) | 76 (2) | 42 (5) | 60 (3) | 66 (2) | 77 (1) | 56 (5) | 67 (3) | 78 (1) | 24 | 26 | 13 | 28 | 64 | 45 | 4 | 5/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Swift Talkb 1y 26 | M T Munslow — 22% R131 W29 P81 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 49 | 56 (3) | 51 (4) | 63 (3) | 56 (5) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 3 | - | - | - | 56 | 40 | 2 | 7/4F | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Glideaway Feverb 2y 26 | J Daly — 20% R184 W37 P98 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 42 | 41 | 48 (5) | 59 (3) | 51 (6) | 83 (1) | 61 (4) | 76 (3) | 66 (4) | 58 (5) | 68 (3) | 83 (1) | 25 | 28 | 32 | 22 | 62 | 40 | 5 | 9/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Ballinabola Monab 2y 25 | F Macklin — 18% R213 W38 P107 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 58 | 65 | 68 (3) | 50 (6) | 47 (6) | 64 (6) | 70 (6) | 66 (2) | 32 (5) | 38 (5) | 42 (3) | - | 1 | 16 | 27 | 9 | 60 | 45 | 1 | 2/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Micks Missiled 2y 35 | J Gray — 21% R203 W42 P128 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 42 | 50 (4) | 72 (2) | 56 (4) | 71 (2) | 45 (3) | 85 (1) | 52 (5) | 68 (2) | 27 (4) | 25 (3) | 36 | 34 | 17 | 38 | 64 | 48 | 3 | 11/4 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Princes Legacy | 30.60 | 30.79 | 30.73 | 50 | +0.13 | Steady C&D form | |
| 2 | Swift Talk | 30.65 | 30.81 | 30.99 | 45 | +0.34 | Unproven, only 3 starts | |
| 3 | Glideaway Fever | 30.44 | 30.83 | 31.38 | 42 | +0.94 | Well off her best | |
| 4 | Ballinabola Mona | 30.30 | 30.71 | 30.64 | 58 | +0.34 | Fastest in field | |
| 5 | Micks Missile | 30.60 | 30.80 | 30.60 | 52 | 0.00 | Model pick |
This A3 500m sees a five-dog field after a late withdrawal from trap 6. Nottingham's first bend has traditionally favoured the inside boxes, trap 1 winning close to a quarter of the time historically and traps 1-3 accounting for the bulk of winners, though in this specific A3 sample trap 4 has actually edged trap 3 as the strongest box and trap 1 has underperformed at just 15.1%. Ballinabola Mona has the sharpest early pace and the best first-bend rating in the field from trap 4, so expect her to lead into the turn, but she's a fader who tends to lose ground late — the question is whether anyone behind her has the pace to reel her back in on the run home. Micks Missile, drawn just outside her in trap 5, has the strongest recent placing form and looks the type to be doing her best work in the closing stages.
Boasts the best trainer strike rate in the race at 34 percent and a genuinely strong course and distance record — six runs at this track and trip have brought a win and four places, a 66 percent place rate. She was second last time out in this exact grade over this trip and her form shows a peak of 85, the highest in the field, proving she has the ability to mix it at the top of this grade. Tagged as a fader with an inconsistent closing profile on paper, but her actual recent results tell a different story — she's been finishing races well, not fading out of them. With the fastest average time in the field and a proven record here, she's the one with the most to bring to this race.
The fastest dog in the field on the clock and carries the best first-bend rating too, so she should be doing the donkey work up front from trap 4, which has also been the strongest box in this A3 sample. She's a fader who tends to lose ground in the closing stages, which is the obvious knock, but her recent form (68, 50, 47, 64, 70, 66) is solid enough and she was third last time out in this exact grade and trip. If she can open up a decent lead she has the tools to hold on, but the runners with more finishing kick will be closing on her late.
Breaks from trap 1, which has actually been the weakest box in this specific A3 sample despite the track's long-run inside bias. Consistently races at this level, with a course and distance record of one win and three places from eight runs here, and her trainer's 28 percent win rate is solid. Form has been up and down (63, 76, 42, 60, 66, 77) but nothing suggests she's out of form — more a case of an honest, established runner in a hot field.
Only three starts on record and every suitability marker reads zero, meaning there's simply very little proven form to go on at this class, track or distance. Form of 51, 63, 56 shows early promise without ever threatening the front two, and she's among the slowest in the field on the clock. Best watched from the sidelines until there's more evidence.
Has shown a big performance in this field before, peaking at 83 back in May with a course and distance win, but the last two starts have been well below that with a 59 and a 48. She's the slowest in the field right now, over three-quarters of a second off her fastest time here, and a weak trainer strike rate of 12 percent doesn't help the case. The talent has been seen before but there's nothing in current shape to suggest it's coming back this week.
Key insight: Trap 4 has been the strongest box in this A3 sample at 21.9%, with trap 1 the weakest at 15.1% — a reversal of Nottingham 500m's usual long-run inside bias.
T1:15.1% T2:18.4% T3:21.1% T4:21.9% T5:16.3% T6:17.8%
2,186 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Princes Legacy | 50 | 51 | All-Rounder |
2Swift Talk | 49 | 50 | All-Rounder |
3Glideaway Fever | 45 | 55 | Closer |
4Ballinabola Mona | 63 | 17 | Fader |
5Micks Missile | 75 | 0 | Fader |
Only runs at exactly 500m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (500m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 277m | 305m | 480m | 500m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Princes Legacy | — | — | — | 0.616 |
| 2 | Swift Talk | — | — | — | 0.617 |
| 3 | Glideaway Fever | — | — | — | 0.617 |
| 4 | Ballinabola Mona | 0.602 | 0.595 | — | 0.614 |
| 5 | Micks Missile | — | 0.615 | 0.619 | 0.617 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.