Arena Racing Company Sprint Trophy
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Rebel Elizabethb 2y 33 | D K Hurlock — 19% R893 W174 P493 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 35 | 100 | 91 (3) | 77 (3) | 71 (4) | 85 (3) | 42 (6) | 94 (2) | 23 (5) | 64 (4) | 91 (2) | 83 (1) | 40 | - | 14 | - | 78 | 36 | 4 | 25/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Emers Summerb 2y 24 | F Macklin — 18% R213 W38 P107 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 100 | 57 (3) | 72 (4) | 47 (1) | 47 (1) | 56 (5) | 79 (3) | 25 (5) | 36 (3) | 82 (3) | 44 (6) | 25 | 28 | 35 | 41 | 69 | 42 | 5 | 9/2 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Scooby Matildab 2y 24 | C Weatherall — 17% R98 W17 P53 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | - | 81 (4) | 100 (1) | 64 (4) | 85 (2) | 70 (1) | 100 (1) | 82 (3) | 47 (1) | 42 (2) | - | 22 | 40 | 37 | 41 | 83 | 49 | 1 | 2/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Brickhill Tamikad 2y 37 | S G Tighe — 24% R46 W11 P29 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 59 | 0 | 99 (1) | 78 (3) | 78 (3) | 100 (1) | 66 (5) | 100 (1) | 82 (2) | 100 (1) | 44 (1) | - | 41 | 30 | 33 | 15 | 83 | 31 | 2 | 7/2 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Moaning Hearnsd 2y 27 | D B Whitton — 25% R293 W72 P179 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 14 | 0 | 100 (1) | 89 (2) | 30 (5) | 40 (1) | 86 (3) | 82 (3) | 100 (1) | 99 (1) | 100 (1) | 100 (1) | 78 | - | 66 | - | 94 | 46 | 3 | 5/4F | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rebel Elizabeth | 17.85 | 18.44 | 18.81 | 35 | +0.96 | Fastest away, best bend | |
| 2 | Emers Summer | 18.09 | 18.09 | 18.09 | 49 | 0.00 | Limited comparable data | |
| 3 | Scooby Matilda | 18.03 | 18.03 | 18.03 | 52 | 0.00 | Limited comparable data | |
| 4 | Brickhill Tamika | 17.90 | 17.90 | 17.90 | 59 | 0.00 | Model pick | |
| 5 | Moaning Hearns | 18.60 | 18.81 | 18.99 | 14 | +0.39 | Closer, no track/distance form |
Nottingham's 305m sprint is a race where early pace and the first bend settle matters long before the runners reach the line — historically trap 2 has been the best-performing box here and the model's top pick converts well over this trip. In this specific top-grade Open Race sample, though, trap 4 has been the standout at over 30% and trap 1 has struggled badly at just 9%, a reversal worth noting. Five go to post after a trap 6 withdrawal. Rebel Elizabeth is the fastest away and quickest to the opening bend, so she'll dictate matters early from trap 1, but that's also the poorest-performing box in this sample. Brickhill Tamika, drawn in the strongest box, has the type of form and speed figure to go with her and looks best placed to pounce if the leader is reeled in.
Drawn in trap 4, comfortably the strongest box in this Open Race sample at just over 30 percent, and she brings the fastest recorded time in the field to go with it. Her recent form includes two 100-rated performances (78, 78, 100, 66, 100, 82), showing she's capable of a big run when conditions suit, and her sole course and distance run here produced a win. Trainer S G Tighe has a healthy 26 percent strike rate. With the best draw and the strongest recent figures in the field, she's the one to beat.
The fastest dog in the field on her best time and carries the top first-bend rating, a genuine front runner who should lead this into the turn. Her recent form reads 91, 77, 71, 85, 42, 94 — mostly strong figures with a third-place finish in an Open Race last time out. The concern is trap 1, which has been the poorest box in this specific Open Race sample at Nottingham's 305m, and she has no prior course or distance experience to fall back on. If she gets the run of the race from the front she's very hard to catch at this trip, but the draw isn't doing her any favours.
Tagged as a fader who is fast early but loses ground late, which is a risky profile at a sprint trip where closing ability rarely gets a chance to matter. Recent form has been modest — 72, 47, 47, 56, 79, 25 — well below the pace of the leading fancies tonight, though she does have a fair course and distance record with two wins and two places from five runs here. Trap 2 has been one of the weaker boxes in this specific sample, adding to the challenge.
Boasts a high average performance rating and has produced two 100-rated runs in her last six starts, showing genuine top-level ability when everything clicks. Trap 3 has been a solid box in this sample at 25 percent, and her small course and distance sample reads a win and two places from two runs. Form is volatile (81, 100, 64, 85, 70, 100) which makes her hard to predict on a given night, but the peaks are as good as anyone's in this field.
The highest average performance rating in the field by some distance and won last time out with a perfect 100 rating, but that win came over a much shorter 238 metres and she's tagged as a closer with the slowest recorded time here — a difficult combination at a sprint trip where there's little time to make up ground. She also has no recorded form at this track or distance to lean on. The ability is obvious but the profile and lack of proven form at this trip are real question marks.
Key insight: Trap 4 has been the standout box in this OR-grade sample at 305m, winning nearly a third of the time, while trap 1 has struggled to just 9% despite usually being a strong early-pace box at this trip.
T1:9.1% T2:12.9% T3:25.0% T4:30.6% T5:16.2% T6:18.5%
204 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 305m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 305m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (305m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 220m | 225m | 238m | 245m | 255m | 261m | 270m | 275m | 277m | 280m | 305m | 388m | 400m | 435m | 491m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rebel Elizabeth | — | 0.647 | 0.669 | — | — | — | — | 0.619 | 0.601 | 0.585 | — | — | 0.610 | — | — |
| 2 | Emers Summer | — | — | — | — | 0.597 | — | — | — | 0.606 | 0.578 | 0.595 | — | — | — | 0.614 |
| 3 | Scooby Matilda | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.591 | — | — | 0.580 | 0.591 | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | Brickhill Tamika | — | — | — | 0.589 | — | 0.609 | 0.591 | — | — | — | 0.587 | — | — | — | — |
| 5 | Moaning Hearns | 0.616 | — | 0.644 | — | — | — | — | 0.617 | — | — | — | 0.605 | — | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.