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Arena Racing Company Maiden Standard Trophy
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Crystal Cashd 1y 11 | D K Hurlock — 19% R893 W174 P493 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 0 | 100 | 49 (5) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | - | - | - | 49 | 14 | 2 | 9/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Mongys Tigerd 2y 16 | J Daly — 20% R184 W37 P98 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 31 | 61 (4) | 66 (4) | 62 (5) | 97 (1) | 67 (6) | 69 (3) | 84 (2) | 68 (3) | 91 (1) | 49 (6) | 37 | 19 | - | 31 | 70 | 51 | 5 | 7/2 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Leo The Yankd 2y 18 | J Gray — 21% R203 W42 P128 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 30 | 88 (1) | 81 (2) | 85 (1) | 66 (3) | 83 (1) | 67 (2) | 68 (4) | 69 (3) | 85 (4) | - | 1 | 33 | 18 | 55 | 79 | 55 | 3 | 5/4F | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Stellas Inchargeb 1y 24 | E O Driver — 22% R301 W66 P181 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 50 | 73 (2) | 49 (4) | 83 (1) | 70 (2) | 80 (1) | 47 (6) | 73 (2) | 54 (4) | 75 (1) | 66 (1) | 31 | 43 | - | 56 | 67 | 47 | 1 | 4/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Jacktavern Ringod 1y 27 | A W Sear — 25% R4 W1 P2 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 100 | 82 (1) | 73 (5) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 73 | 45 | 4 | 3/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crystal Cash | 31.87 | 31.87 | 31.87 | 0 | 0.00 | Unproven, single data point | |
| 2 | Mongys Tiger | 29.71 | 30.46 | 30.78 | 51 | +1.07 | Fastest raw time but slipping | |
| 3 | Leo The Yank | 30.06 | 30.49 | 30.39 | 52 | +0.33 | Model pick — won last time | |
| 4 | Stellas Incharge | 30.02 | 30.65 | 30.49 | 47 | +0.47 | Best trap in this sample | |
| 6 | Jacktavern Ringo | 30.46 | 30.46 | 30.46 | 45 | 0.00 | Dead trap history, unproven |
This Open Race is the top grade on tonight's card and only five go to post over Nottingham's 500m, where the tight first bend usually rewards the inside boxes — in this specific Open Race sample trap 4 leads at 22% and trap 1 close behind at 21.4%, while trap 6 has been an outright dead draw, unplaced from 34 runs. Crystal Cash and Jacktavern Ringo both flash big early-pace figures but those come from single-run samples and can't be trusted with real conviction. The bigger picture is a battle between two proven course specialists — Leo The Yank and Stellas Incharge both boast outstanding course and distance records — with Leo fresh off a career-best win last time out and the strongest trainer in the field behind him.
Won last time out at A2 with a career-best-looking 88 rating and now steps up to face the top grade off the back of it — a booking that looks anything but accidental from trainer J Gray, who leads the field at a 34 percent strike rate. His course and distance record is outstanding, four wins and six places from ten runs at this exact track and trip, and his recent form has barely dipped below a strong level (88, 81, 85, 66, 83, 67). He's a closer who does his best work late, and while trap 3 hasn't been the standout box in this Open Race sample, his sheer weight of course form and current level of form make him hard to leave out.
Drawn in trap 4, the strongest box in this Open Race sample at 22 percent, and she brings an equally outstanding course and distance record to go with it — four wins and seven places from ten runs at this track and trip, a 70 percent place rate. She was runner-up last time out stepping up from A2 and has been a picture of consistency, rarely straying far from a strong level. This is her first crack at the top grade based on recent grades, so there's a small element of the unknown, but the draw and course form are both firmly in her favour.
Only one recent run on record, a fifth-place finish at Open Race level over 450m, so there's next to nothing to go on. That single run showed big early speed and a strong first-bend figure, but with no course or distance experience at all and no reliable speed rating to lean on, this is pure guesswork dressed up as analysis. Trap 1 has been a productive box in this Open Race sample, which is the one thing working in her favour.
Steps up from a run of races in the tougher A1 and S1 stakes company, which is a demanding schedule, and has the fastest raw time in the field even though her most recent outing was well off that mark. Course and distance form is decent at two wins and three places from nine runs, and trap 2 has been a strong box in this Open Race sample. She's a highly inconsistent closer by pace profile though, and a weak 12 percent trainer strike rate tempers the appeal.
Only one recent run to assess, a fifth-place finish in an Open Race here, so the evidence is thin. What makes this particularly tough for her is trap 6, which has been an outright dead draw in this Open Race sample — not a single winner or placer from 34 runs. Big early pace was shown in her lone recent run, but with no course or distance experience recorded and the worst possible draw, this looks a night to swerve.
Key insight: Trap 6 has been an outright dead draw in this Open Race sample — unplaced from 34 runs — while traps 1, 2 and 4 have all performed well above the field average.
T1:21.4% T2:21.2% T3:15.7% T4:22.0% T5:5.0% T6:0.0%
283 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Crystal Cash | 100 | 0 | Fader |
2Mongys Tiger | 0 | 100 | Closer |
3Leo The Yank | 34 | 100 | Closer |
4Stellas Incharge | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
6Jacktavern Ringo | 100 | 0 | Fader |
Only runs at exactly 500m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (500m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 450m | 480m | 500m | 680m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crystal Cash | 0.637 | — | — | — |
| 2 | Mongys Tiger | — | — | 0.609 | 0.634 |
| 3 | Leo The Yank | — | — | 0.610 | — |
| 4 | Stellas Incharge | — | — | 0.613 | — |
| 6 | Jacktavern Ringo | — | 0.610 | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.