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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Mustang Razord 3y 14 | J M Liles — 19% R423 W79 P222 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 32 | 38 | 57 (3) | 36 (4) | 42 (2) | 42 (4) | 63 (1) | 70 (2) | 86 (1) | 74 (1) | 75 (2) | 66 (3) | 47 | 41 | 37 | 42 | 61 | 55 | 2 | 11/4 | |
| 2 | ▶ Fabulous Sorab 2y 24 | L G Tuffin — 25% R275 W69 P144 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 51 | 41 (6) | 52 (3) | 41 (6) | 41 (6) | 67 (2) | 48 (4) | 52 (3) | 46 (5) | 53 (5) | 80 (1) | - | 40 | 12 | 28 | 52 | 46 | 4 | 7/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Identity Crisisb 2y 19 | H J Dimmock — 19% R169 W32 P94 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 62 | 35 | 57 (5) | 83 (1) | 58 (4) | 64 (3) | 81 (1) | 76 (1) | 67 (2) | 54 (3) | 72 (1) | 68 (2) | 48 | 47 | 47 | 37 | 64 | 57 | 1 | 15/8F | |
| 4 | ▶ Salacres Prodigyd 3y 5 | P H Harnden — 18% R396 W71 P224 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | 64 | 60 (2) | 69 (2) | 52 (3) | 49 (5) | 56 (3) | 57 (3) | 51 (4) | 63 (4) | 65 (3) | 82 (1) | 37 | 38 | 40 | 41 | 62 | 54 | 3 | 5/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Romeo Tomatind 2yN/R 5 | L G Tuffin — 25% R275 W69 P144 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 53 | 69 (4) | 86 (1) | 87 (1) | 63 (4) | 88 (1) | 74 (3) | 82 (1) | 54 (4) | 66 (3) | 66 (2) | 31 | 62 | 14 | 49 | 60 | 56 | - | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Be More Ruthlessd 2y 16 | H J Dimmock — 19% R169 W32 P94 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 55 | 56 (5) | 60 (4) | 78 (1) | 49 (5) | 73 (2) | 65 (2) | 64 (4) | 77 (1) | 62 (4) | 50 (5) | 22 | 27 | 17 | 23 | 56 | 45 | 5 | 2/1 | |
The standout on raw numbers in this field. AvgPerf 64 is the best by 2 points, speed rating 62 is dramatically ahead of the field (next best is 57), and closing speed of 100 makes her the most devastating finisher here. An extreme Closer (CS 100, pC 86) drawn in T3 — and at Towcester 500m, the track profile confirms Closers CAN win from inside draws (T1-T3). Trap suitability of 48 is the field's best, track suitability of 47 is joint-best, and class suitability of 47 is comfortably the highest. Trainer H J Dimmock at 26% is a moderate signal and is the top trainer at this condition with 16.67% from 12 runs. Form shows 52, 76, 55, 59, 75 — the two high peaks at 76 and 75 demonstrate she can produce at an elite level, while the 52 latest is a concern but only brings her down to field-average rather than below it. The race shape favours her — Be More Ruthless will set strong pace and fade, creating the catch-up scenario that Closers thrive on.
DANGER: The T1 draw at Towcester 500m is a primary analytical factor. P61 with a 79 ceiling and All-Rounder profile from the rail makes him a persistent threat. Inconsistency prevents Strong confidence but the structural advantage cannot be ignored.
Has the profile to win at this track (Closer from T2) but consecutive 40-rated perfs and trap suit of 0 mean the form is against her. The 82 three runs back is a memory, not current form.
Best first-bend rating and second-best perf/speed but declining form from 67 to 50 and the weakest trap percentage at this condition limit his win prospects. Place contender who will hold a prominent position but may not finish the job.
Outstanding venue form (track suit 62) trapped in the worst draw (T5 at 13.07%). The lean-Fader profile (CS 34) is wrong for 500m. Suitability says he belongs here; the draw says he'll be disadvantaged through every bend.
Will lead and fade — the classic 500m Fader pattern. EP 100 gets him to the front but CS 0 means he has nothing left from bend 3 onwards. His role is pace-setter for the race, which benefits the Closers. Oppose for the win.
T1 dominates at 28.05% from 164 runs — classic Towcester 500m trap bias. T5 heavily penalised at 13.07% from 153 runs. Top trainer H J Dimmock wins 16.67% from 12 runs, L G Tuffin 12.9% from 31 runs. Composite R1 wins 22.83% — moderate favourite advantage.
T1:28.05% T2:19.41% T3:19.9% T4:18.13% T5:13.07% T6:21.43%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Mustang Razor | 46 | 51 | All-Rounder |
2Fabulous Sora | 36 | 86 | Closer |
3Identity Crisis | 40 | 100 | Closer |
4Salacres Prodigy | 54 | 49 | All-Rounder |
5Romeo Tomatin | 54 | 34 | All-Rounder |
6Be More Ruthless | 100 | 0 | Fader |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.