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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Salacres Monetb 3y 17 | P H Harnden — 18% R396 W71 P224 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | - | 47 (4) | 83 (2) | 66 (1) | 59 (3) | 68 (4) | 90 (1) | 62 (2) | 43 (4) | 29 (3) | 62 (1) | 27 | 24 | 35 | 29 | 55 | 45 | 1 | 15/8F | |
| 2 | ▶ Choices Bronteb 1y 7 | J M Liles — 19% R425 W79 P223 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | - | 30 (1) | 18 (5) | 30 (1) | 29 (1) | 16 (5) | 20 (4) | 26 (2) | 18 (6) | 17 (6) | 19 (5) | 22 | 44 | 23 | 44 | 51 | 46 | 3 | 9/2 | |
| 3 | ▶ Hitthelids Kileyb 1y 38 | N J Deas — 17% R450 W76 P247 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | - | 45 (2) | 39 (4) | 41 (2) | 18 (6) | 20 (5) | 28 (1) | 17 (5) | - | - | - | 28 | 27 | - | 27 | 55 | 45 | 4 | 7/2 | |
| 4 | ▶ Shake Ya Buttb 4y 18 | N J Deas — 17% R450 W76 P247 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | - | 18 (5) | 23 (3) | 20 (5) | 18 (5) | 20 (3) | 27 (2) | 19 (5) | 18 (5) | 31 (1) | 26 (3) | 30 | 30 | 27 | 30 | 52 | 44 | 2 | 9/4 | |
| 5 | ▶ Tolpuddleduchessb 2y 28 | K J Crocker — 16% R145 W23 P78 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | - | 37 (3) | 30 (4) | 26 (6) | 23 (2) | 32 (5) | 51 (6) | 19 (6) | 16 (6) | 21 (4) | 22 (4) | 27 | 15 | 25 | 15 | 47 | 37 | 6 | 8/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Salacres Trixieb 5y 24 | P H Harnden — 18% R396 W71 P224 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | - | 20 (5) | 39 (4) | 22 (4) | 16 (6) | 18 (5) | 22 (4) | 28 (1) | 16 (6) | 34 (6) | 49 (3) | 28 | 30 | 35 | 30 | 48 | 41 | 5 | 9/1 | |
The form horse in this race. Latest perf of 75 is dramatically above the field standard and represents a 33-point improvement from the previous 42, suggesting a return to her best. P55 is joint-best and speed 55 is the field's best. Trainer P H Harnden at 24% is the strongest trainer signal in this race. Class suitability of 35 is the field's best, confirming D4 is within her comfort zone. Form of 75, 60, 52, 53, 42 shows the older decline (53 to 42) has been emphatically reversed with the 75 latest — this is a bounce-back runner. T1 wins just 17.06% from 340 runs at D4 270m, which is below average and a genuine structural negative. Track suitability of 24 and trap suitability of 27 are both moderate. But at 270m sprint where pace matters more than draw, a dog running to P75 with speed 55 from any trap is dangerous. The latest form is the decisive factor — when a dog produces 75 in a field averaging P51, the draw becomes secondary.
DANGER: The T4 trap dominance at 28.21% is a powerful structural factor that has to be respected regardless of current form. Speed 54 and a 71 peak three runs back show the ability exists. But consecutive 42 and 37 latest perfs are a genuine warning. The danger is trap-driven — if the draw advantage compensates for the form dip.
Best venue suitability (track and distance both 44) but the 32 in recent form destroys confidence. Capable of a 74 on her day but equally capable of a 32. The suitability advantage means she belongs here; the form says she can't be trusted.
Joint-best perf (P55) and second-best trap but slow speed (45) and alternating form (46-74-46-57-48) make her unreliable. The 74 peak shows ability but the 46 latest is below this field's standard.
Consistently sub-50 form, second-weakest perf, weakest trainer, and low venue suitability. The speed of 53 is the only positive but cannot overcome the comprehensive weaknesses elsewhere.
Will lead emphatically with EP 100 but CS 0 means the fade is coming. At 270m she might hold on if nothing else breaks well, but the erratic form (35-62 range) and below-average trap make her a risky proposition. Visually exciting but analytically questionable.
T4 dominates at 28.21% from 358 runs — the headline trap factor. T1 underperforms at 17.06% from 340 runs. However, the T4 runner here has poor current form, creating a rare case where the dominant trap's advantage may not translate. R1 composite at 24.54% gives a decent favourite edge.
T1:17.06% T2:20.35% T3:22.33% T4:28.21% T5:21.18% T6:16.75%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 270m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.