| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Makeit Myislab 2y 26 | F J Gray — 20% R351 W70 P186 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 82 | 34 (6) | 28 (5) | 16 (5) | 16 (5) | 32 (5) | 15 (6) | 27 (5) | 19 (5) | 25 (2) | 22 (4) | 14 | 27 | - | 18 | 47 | 37 | 4 | 12/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Freyas Tigerb 2y 6 | D D Porter — 17% R523 W90 P286 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 43 | 47 (4) | 33 (5) | 56 (2) | 50 (3) | 38 (4) | 33 (6) | 44 (2) | 45 (4) | 60 (1) | 55 (1) | 9 | 17 | 11 | 17 | 44 | 34 | 5 | 3/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Petite Etoileb 4y 34 | H J Dimmock — 19% R170 W32 P94 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 61 | 52 | 35 (4) | 39 (4) | 22 (5) | 29 (1) | 18 (4) | 24 (3) | 39 (4) | 60 (1) | 54 (2) | 45 (4) | 34 | 33 | - | 21 | 52 | 44 | 1 | 2/1F | |
| 4 | ▶ Hiya Salahd 3y 3 | D Jeans — 13% R244 W31 P111 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 69 | 44 (2) | 27 (6) | 44 (3) | 36 (4) | 43 (2) | 46 (2) | 36 (5) | 27 (6) | 39 (2) | 45 (2) | 35 | 14 | 27 | 14 | 48 | 39 | 3 | 11/4 | |
| 5 | ▶ Ardera Ellab 3y 15 | K J Crocker — 16% R145 W23 P78 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 48 | 30 (5) | 30 (4) | 40 (4) | 34 (4) | 40 (3) | 45 (2) | 32 (5) | 28 (5) | 43 (3) | 35 (5) | 22 | 7 | - | 7 | 40 | 30 | 6 | 7/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Swift Wallyd 4y 35 | J M Liles — 19% R425 W79 P223 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 47 | 31 (5) | 34 (6) | 30 (6) | 35 (4) | 36 (5) | 29 (6) | 40 (4) | 34 (5) | 59 (1) | 38 (5) | 26 | 15 | - | 25 | 50 | 40 | 2 | 7/2 | |
The highest-rated runner in this field on key metrics — speed 61 is far ahead of the next-best 55, and avgPerf 52 is the field's best. The All-Rounder profile (EP 54, CS 47, pC 82) is the ideal pace configuration for 500m, providing enough early speed to hold position through the first bend and sufficient sustaining power to see out the trip. Trainer H J Dimmock at 24% is a moderate signal — the best trainer in this race. T3 wins 28% from 25 runs at A8 500m, though the small sample requires caution. Form is the concern: 41, 45, 50, 76, 42 shows a spectacular 76 four runs back but mostly sub-50 performances around it. That inconsistency — the ability to produce a 76 but typically running 42-50 — makes her unreliable. Track suitability at 33 and distance suitability at 21 are moderate. In a stronger field she would be difficult to trust, but at A8 level with P52 and speed 61, she has the highest ceiling by some margin.
DANGER: Clearly improving form trajectory from 37 to 57 over five runs, with second-best perf and speed in the field. All-Rounder profile (pC 80) suits 500m. If the improvement continues, he runs to a 60+ level which would be field-best. The danger case is momentum-based rather than condition-based.
Will lead this race emphatically through two bends and then fade equally emphatically. EP 83 / CS 0 at 500m is the textbook Fader collapse profile. Her role is pace-maker, not contender. Oppose for the win.
Closer who will pick up late ground but P44 and weak suitability across all dimensions limit her ceiling. The field's All-Rounders are too far ahead on raw ability for her closing speed to bridge the gap.
Good bend rating (69) will keep him involved early but low venue suitability (track 14, distance 14) and trainer Jeans at 0% at this condition work strongly against him. A mid-race presence who may struggle to finish the job.
Lowest perf (40), lowest speed (45), worst suitability across track and distance (both 7), and declining form. Even at A8 level, the structural weaknesses are too severe. Can be confidently opposed.
Small sample (142 runs) produces unusual trap bias — T6 and T3 dominate instead of the usual T1 advantage at Towcester 500m. T1's normal dominance is reversed at A8 with just 4.55% from 22 runs. R1 composite wins 26.67% — meaningful favourite advantage. D D Porter 12.5% from 16 runs is the only trainer with significant volume.
T1:4.55% T2:9.09% T3:28% T4:17.39% T5:14.29% T6:31.82%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Makeit Myisla | 83 | 0 | Fader |
2Freyas Tiger | 43 | 80 | Closer |
3Petite Etoile | 54 | 47 | All-Rounder |
4Hiya Salah | 49 | 45 | All-Rounder |
5Ardera Ella | 42 | 73 | Closer |
6Swift Wally | 51 | 53 | All-Rounder |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.