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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Fabulous Showb 2y 16 | L G Tuffin — 26% R279 W72 P150 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 31 | 76 (2) | 86 (1) | 73 (1) | 60 (3) | 55 (6) | 89 (1) | 82 (1) | 71 (1) | 65 (1) | 45 (3) | 37 | 37 | 25 | 37 | 55 | 49 | 1 | 15/8F | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Greencroft Jengad 2y 18 | S J Rayner — 19% R175 W33 P99 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | 51 | 47 (4) | 53 (4) | 49 (4) | 52 (4) | 78 (1) | 71 (1) | 69 (1) | 59 (2) | 38 (5) | 66 (1) | 42 | 53 | 13 | 29 | 54 | 50 | 3 | 9/2 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ High Chanced 2y 24 | K J Crocker — 15% R141 W21 P75 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | 41 | 37 (4) | 43 (2) | 41 (3) | 35 (6) | 50 (2) | 49 (3) | 60 (1) | 37 (6) | 31 (6) | 41 (5) | 39 | 22 | 25 | 17 | 46 | 39 | 6 | 9/2 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Vinegarhill Deeb 3y 16 | A Ioannou — 12% R91 W11 P53 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 58 | 51 | 33 (6) | 40 (6) | 47 (5) | 51 (4) | 58 (3) | 68 (1) | 50 (4) | 56 (2) | 37 (6) | 40 (5) | 39 | 39 | 52 | 35 | 51 | 46 | 4 | 4/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Fifis Ladd 3y 18 | D D Porter — 17% R526 W92 P286 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 62 | 54 | 49 (4) | 71 (1) | 70 (3) | 59 (2) | 56 (2) | 52 (4) | 68 (5) | 52 (4) | 50 (4) | 72 (1) | 28 | 5 | 12 | 5 | 52 | 38 | 2 | 11/4 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Trapstyle Teeb 3y 15 | J M Liles — 18% R422 W77 P219 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 64 | 21 (5) | 25 (4) | 20 (5) | 17 (6) | 43 (4) | 38 (6) | 53 (3) | 36 (6) | 67 (1) | 50 (3) | 28 | 26 | 23 | 23 | 52 | 43 | 5 | 9/1 | - | |
The pick on the combination of best performance, ideal pace profile, and inside draw at Towcester 500m. P55 is the field's best by a clear point, and the latest perf of 69 is a significant improvement from the previous four (49, 48, 46, 50), suggesting she may be returning to a higher level. An extreme Closer (CS 100, pC 82) from T1 — the track profile confirms Closers from T1-T3 can win at Towcester 500m, and T1 gives her the rail advantage that compounds through every bend. Trainer L G Tuffin at 24% is the joint-best trainer signal in this field. Suitability is balanced at 37 across track, distance, and trap — not dominant but solid. T1 wins 20.59% from 170 runs at A6 500m. The race shape suits her perfectly — with a lean-Fader (Greencroft Jenga) likely to set the pace and weaken, the closing stages will reward her CS 100 finishing power from the rail.
DANGER: Best speed (62) and most consistent form (47-57 range, five runs) in a weak field where small advantages matter. The All-Rounder profile suits 500m. But track suit 5 and distance suit 5 are severe concerns — he has almost no proven form at this venue. The danger is if the raw speed translates despite the venue inexperience.
Best early pace and track suitability but lean-Fader profile (CS 28) at 500m and wildly erratic form (34 latest) undermine the positives. Will lead early but likely to be caught by the Closers in the closing stages.
CS 98 Closer from inside draw is the right profile for Towcester 500m but P46 and declining form (39 latest) mean she lacks the raw ability to capitalize. The closing kick is real but the starting position is too far back.
Best trap (24.15%), best class suit (52), and best pace consistency (87) but overwhelmingly sub-50 form. The 60 latest is a positive sign but one good run doesn't override four poor ones. The trap advantage keeps her involved but the form is against her.
Best bend rating (64) from T6 and a 71 peak shows the ceiling, but pace consistency of 50 and three sub-50 perfs in five runs make her a lottery. Not reliable enough to back in a race where other runners offer more predictability.
T4 leads at 24.15% from 207 runs — unusual for Towcester 500m where T1 typically dominates. T1 at 20.59% from 170 runs is still respectable. A Ioannou wins 25% from 12 runs, A Welch 30% from 10 runs (small samples). R1 composite at 22.87% — moderate favourite advantage.
T1:20.59% T2:19.59% T3:16.74% T4:24.15% T5:16.67% T6:20.47%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Fabulous Show | 35 | 100 | Closer |
2Greencroft Jenga | 54 | 28 | All-Rounder |
3High Chance | 46 | 98 | Closer |
4Vinegarhill Dee | 51 | 47 | All-Rounder |
5Fifis Lad | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
6Trapstyle Tee | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
Only runs at exactly 500m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (500m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 270m | 460m | 480m | 500m | 712m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fabulous Show | — | — | 0.611 | 0.605 | — |
| 2 | Greencroft Jenga | — | — | — | 0.601 | — |
| 3 | High Chance | — | 0.598 | — | 0.614 | — |
| 4 | Vinegarhill Dee | — | — | — | 0.606 | — |
| 5 | Fifis Lad | — | — | — | 0.602 | 0.628 |
| 6 | Trapstyle Tee | 0.616 | — | — | 0.608 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.