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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Clongour Duod 3y 15 | D Jeans — 13% R244 W31 P110 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | - | 33 (2) | 24 (4) | 27 (4) | 26 (4) | 35 (1) | 29 (3) | 37 (1) | 31 (2) | 25 (6) | 36 (1) | 43 | 61 | 28 | 65 | 64 | 61 | 3 | 7/2 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Bridgestreet Alib 2y 34 | K J Crocker — 15% R141 W21 P75 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 55 (3) | 60 (3) | 40 (6) | 58 (1) | 24 (5) | 90 (1) | 35 (5) | 52 (3) | - | - | 18 | 61 | - | 61 | 73 | 64 | 1 | 11/4 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ As Happy As Brynd 1y 33 | H J Dimmock — 19% R177 W34 P97 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | - | 46 (5) | 54 (3) | 46 (3) | 34 (4) | 59 (1) | 50 (3) | 22 (5) | - | - | - | 47 | 68 | - | 68 | 66 | 64 | 2 | 2/1F | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Pavilion Miahd 2y 14 | D D Porter — 17% R526 W92 P286 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 27 (4) | 27 (3) | 25 (5) | 28 (3) | 31 (3) | 22 (4) | 35 (3) | 31 (4) | 27 (5) | 28 (5) | - | 46 | 14 | 46 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 11/4 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Greencroft Brunod 4y 25 | S J Rayner — 19% R175 W33 P99 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | - | 17 (6) | 23 (5) | 29 (3) | 34 (2) | 40 (1) | 37 (2) | 37 (1) | 26 (4) | 24 (4) | 31 (2) | 36 | 46 | 37 | 46 | 65 | 57 | 4 | 9/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Cashout Mcilroyd 3y 15 | S J Rayner — 19% R175 W33 P99 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | - | 14 (5) | 19 (6) | 20 (6) | 32 (6) | 36 (4) | 34 (2) | 33 (3) | 28 (2) | 40 (4) | - | 20 | 32 | 19 | 32 | 60 | 49 | 6 | 11/1 | - | |
The class factor in this race. AvgPerf 73 is 7 points clear of the next-best runner (P66), which triggers a clear class override in a field averaging P64.7. Remarkably, this comes from just three career runs: 74, 68, 76 — all strong performances with no sign of a bad race. The consistency across three runs suggests genuine ability rather than a one-off peak. Class suitability of 0 confirms she is new to this grade, likely progressing through the ranks after winning at lower levels. Track suitability 61 and distance suitability 61 are both respectable. The concerns: trap suitability of 18 is low, T2 wins 21.36% from 412 runs (mid-pack), trainer K J Crocker at 12% is weak, and speed 49 is mid-field. No pace data from just three career runs. But at 270m where class and raw ability count heavily, a P73 dog in a P64 field has a significant structural advantage. The small career sample is a risk but every run has been competitive.
DANGER: The complete condition data package — best trap (26.05%), best trainer (Dimmock 26%), best suitability across track, distance, and trap. But the 40 latest after four consecutive 72-80 perfs is a severe warning. If the 40 was a one-off, she wins. If not, the pick takes this.
Second-best speed and solid suitability from a decent T1 draw, but the 45-78 form range makes him unreliable. Needs his best version to feature. Place contender when on song.
Declining form from 76 to consecutive 50s, worst trap suitability (0), and weakest trainer (Porter 10%). The D2 class challenge looks beyond her current form level. Hard to support.
Best speed and best class suitability but the worst trap draw (13.08%) and declining form (75 to 49 over 3 runs). The speed gives him a chance if he breaks well but the structural disadvantage of T5 at this condition is hard to overcome.
Weakest speed (44), weakest suitability profile, outside draw, and declining form. The data comprehensively opposes. Can be confidently left out of calculations.
T3 is the best trap at 26.05% from 380 runs — comfortably ahead. T5 heavily penalised at 13.08% from 260 runs. Top trainer F J Gray wins 33.33% from 27 runs at this condition. Composite R1 wins 23.65% — meaningful favourite advantage at D2 level.
T1:22.07% T2:21.36% T3:26.05% T4:19.22% T5:13.08% T6:16.26%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 270m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 270m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (270m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 270m | 325m | 460m | 500m | 525m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clongour Duo | 0.607 | — | — | — | — |
| 2 | Bridgestreet Ali | 0.617 | 0.572 | 0.598 | 0.603 | 0.553 |
| 3 | As Happy As Bryn | 0.623 | — | 0.600 | 0.603 | — |
| 4 | Pavilion Miah | 0.608 | — | — | — | — |
| 5 | Greencroft Bruno | 0.610 | — | — | — | — |
| 6 | Cashout Mcilroy | 0.612 | — | — | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.