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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Sayonara Adiosd 3y 4 | N J Deas — 17% R448 W77 P242 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | - | 15 (6) | 18 (5) | 20 (3) | 17 (4) | 15 (6) | 22 (2) | 23 (3) | 16 (5) | 22 (4) | 24 (3) | 32 | 43 | 21 | 43 | 59 | 52 | 2 | 10/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Midian Mollyb 2y 27 | N J Deas — 17% R448 W77 P242 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | - | 13 (5) | 19 (5) | 25 (4) | 26 (2) | 19 (5) | 29 (1) | 19 (4) | 19 (3) | 18 (5) | - | 28 | 15 | 10 | 15 | 54 | 42 | 6 | 7/2 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Forest Leannb 5y 16 | A Ioannou — 12% R91 W11 P53 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 26 (3) | 25 (2) | 30 (1) | 29 (3) | 25 (5) | 32 (1) | 26 (2) | 26 (3) | 21 (5) | 21 (3) | 28 | 35 | 32 | 37 | 57 | 49 | 3 | 4/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Magical Nellyb 5y 16 | D Jeans — 13% R244 W31 P110 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 19 (6) | 24 (3) | 16 (6) | 19 (5) | 19 (6) | 20 (5) | 25 (2) | 19 (5) | 30 (1) | 16 (6) | 42 | 46 | 39 | 46 | 57 | 53 | 1 | 5/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Eire Katieb 2y 6 | V A Lea — 16% R182 W30 P80 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 20 (6) | 32 (1) | 19 (6) | 31 (1) | 19 (5) | 27 (3) | 24 (4) | 18 (6) | 20 (5) | 32 (1) | - | 28 | - | 28 | 56 | 46 | 4 | 2/1F | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Trapstyle Henrikd 5y 25 | J M Liles — 18% R422 W77 P219 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | - | 28 (6) | 20 (2) | 32 (3) | 24 (5) | 28 (1) | 18 (4) | 19 (4) | 27 (6) | - | - | 33 | 29 | 51 | 29 | 51 | 44 | 5 | 11/4 | - | |
Sitting in the dominant trap at D4 270m — T4 wins 28.21% from 358 runs, well above the 25% strong-bias threshold that makes it the headline factor in this race. Track suitability 46 is field-best, distance suitability 46 is field-best, and trap suitability 42 is field-best — she has the strongest condition-data profile of any runner. Dogs don't reach these suitability scores without consistently handling the break and bend dynamics at this venue, which is significant information in a field where no runner has explicit pace data. AvgPerf 57 is joint-second-best. The form is the concern: 36, 49, 65, 56, 72 shows a peak at 72 five runs back but a dramatic slide to 36 latest. That 36 is 21 points below her previous run and raises genuine questions about current fitness. However, at D4 level with the field's best suitability profile and a 28.21% trap advantage, the structural factors provide a floor that compensates for the form dip.
DANGER: Best perf (P59) and most consistent form (56-75 range) in the field. The reliable floor makes him the safe alternative if the condition-data pick falters. T1's below-average trap percentage is the only thing keeping him from pick status.
Best raw speed (53) trapped in T2 (20.35%) but very weak venue suitability (track 15, distance 15). The 76 peak shows ability but the 42 shows unreliability. Speed alone may not overcome the suitability deficit.
Second-best trap (22.33%) and second-best perf (P57) but declining form trajectory from 72 to 48. The data supports mid-field placement rather than a winning bid.
Capable of a 77-level performance but equally capable of 39. Zero trap and class suitability at D4 make her fundamentally unreliable here. The ceiling is high but the floor is the field's lowest.
Fastest speed (55) but lowest avgPerf (51), two sub-40 perfs, and the outside draw. The class suitability suggests he belongs at D4 but the form and trap combination work against him.
T4 dominates at 28.21% from 358 runs — well above the 25% strong-bias threshold. This is the headline factor at D4 270m. T1 underperforms at 17.06% from 340 runs. T3 is second-best at 22.33%. Composite R1 wins 24.54% — decent favourite advantage.
T1:17.06% T2:20.35% T3:22.33% T4:28.21% T5:21.18% T6:16.75%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 270m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 270m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.