| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Playing Niced 1y 13 | C M Dibb — 12% R310 W38 P154 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 42 | 51 | 30 (4) | 16 (5) | 40 (3) | 50 (3) | 13 (5) | 37 (5) | 39 (4) | 46 (4) | 37 (4) | 32 (6) | 18 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 38 | 29 | 4 | 7/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Caseys Gastond 2yN/R 13 | S Atkinson — 20% R248 W50 P169 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 36 | 44 | 47 (4) | 44 (5) | 63 (1) | 52 (3) | 23 (3) | 34 (6) | 44 (2) | 20 (3) | 40 (3) | 41 (3) | 18 | 6 | - | - | 24 | 20 | - | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Caseys Babsd 4y 15 | S Atkinson — 20% R248 W50 P169 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 63 | 43 | 58 (2) | 47 (2) | 57 (2) | 57 (3) | 61 (2) | 51 (3) | 55 (4) | 57 (3) | 68 (1) | 67 (1) | 43 | 20 | - | 15 | 51 | 42 | 1 | 10/11F | |
| 4 | ▶ Untold Kadenad 1yN/R 12 | G A Foot — 19% R295 W57 P171 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 46 | 41 (6) | 100 (1) | 68 (2) | 59 (2) | 76 (1) | - | - | - | - | - | 7 | - | - | - | - | 2 | - | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Society Scaryb 4y 110 | K A Kennedy — 24% R96 W23 P56 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 67 | 70 (1) | 57 (3) | 56 (2) | 46 (5) | 44 (5) | 54 (4) | 59 (2) | 63 (2) | 52 (3) | 46 (3) | 28 | 31 | 38 | 29 | 46 | 40 | 2 | 5/2 | |
| 6 | ▶ Crafty San Sirod 3y 7 | C M Dibb — 12% R310 W38 P154 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 73 | 58 (3) | 44 (5) | 37 (5) | 62 (2) | 25 (6) | 64 (1) | 33 (5) | 42 (5) | 32 (1) | 28 (2) | 36 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 37 | 31 | 3 | 11/4 | |
Caseys Babs has the best avgP (51), the best speed (63 — 12 points clear of the next best), and a Closer profile (EP 44, CS 77) that lets her stalk the Faders and pounce when they weaken. Her form reads 59→42→61→46→55 — the 59 and 61 show she can perform at a level well above this weak A7 field. Recent form from A6: 2nd (26.75s), 5th, 2nd (26.32s) — placing at the grade above. The step down from A6 to A7 gives her a class edge over the rest. Speed 63 is the standout metric in this race — at A7 conditions where SpeedR1 wins 32.7%, having the clear best speed is the single most important factor. The concern is T3, which is DEAD at 12.0% from 50 runs. This is a genuine structural headwind. But the class gap here is significant — her avgP 51 is 13 points above the field average of ~32. The skill guidelines specify that a performance gap of 6+ above field average triggers a class override. At 13 points above average with the best speed in the field by 12 points, the class gap is large enough to overcome the dead trap. Trap suit 43 shows she can handle T3 individually despite the aggregate disadvantage. Trainer Atkinson at 14% is weak but this selection is about raw class and speed superiority.
DANGER: Dominant trap (28.6%) + CD winning form + strong EP. The Fader fade (CS 33) at 435m is the key vulnerability — if Caseys Babs is close at bend 3, the speed difference (63 vs 52) will tell. But the trap advantage keeps her firmly in contention.
Good draw but very low suitability and poor recent form. The rail will help her place but she lacks the raw ability to win against dogs with better speed and form.
Outclassed on every metric. Worst speed, worst form, zero distance suitability. Extremely hard to see any path to involvement.
Good draw and mid-field speed but only 2 career runs at trial level. Too much uncertainty to factor in despite the T4 structural advantage.
Will blaze the first bend but CS 22 means the fade is guaranteed over 435m. Place at best — outgunned by Society Scary structurally and by Caseys Babs on speed and class.
LOW SEPARATION: R1 26.5% vs R3 25.4% = 1.1pp. BUT SpeedR1 wins 32.7% — speed is the dominant metric at A7 435m. T5 + speed = the combination to target.
T1:26.9% T2:17.0% T3:12.0% T4:23.7% T5:28.6% T6:20.3%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 435m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Playing Nice | 49 | 47 | All-Rounder |
2Caseys Gaston | 49 | 58 | Closer |
3Caseys Babs | 44 | 77 | Closer |
4Untold Kadena | 51 | 53 | All-Rounder |
5Society Scary | 71 | 33 | Fader |
6Crafty San Siro | 73 | 22 | Fader |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.