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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Bogger Dewieb 3y 13 | S Atkinson — 20% R248 W50 P169 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 48 | 57 (4) | 62 (3) | 59 (3) | 53 (3) | 58 (3) | 55 (4) | 73 (1) | 75 (1) | 59 (2) | 73 (1) | 10 | 20 | 29 | 24 | 59 | 45 | 2 | 10/3 | |
| 2 | ▶ Headford Astridb 2y 12 | S R Miller — 14% R220 W31 P100 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 8 | 48 | 20 (5) | 31 (4) | 44 (4) | 38 (5) | 24 (5) | 33 (5) | 32 (1) | 49 (5) | 38 (5) | 16 (3) | 35 | 33 | - | - | 36 | 35 | 5 | 10/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Krakatoa Lavad 2y 7 | C M Dibb — 12% R310 W38 P154 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 30 | 46 | 73 (1) | 39 (5) | 58 (2) | 35 (6) | 40 (4) | 57 (3) | 37 (4) | 38 (6) | 42 (5) | 46 (4) | 27 | - | - | - | 54 | 45 | 3 | 8/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Gurtnara Jaxd 3y 7 | K A Kennedy — 24% R97 W23 P56 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 52 | 65 (2) | 66 (3) | 82 (1) | 53 (4) | 49 (5) | 66 (3) | 69 (2) | 56 (2) | 56 (4) | 61 (2) | 34 | 40 | 22 | 36 | 59 | 51 | 1 | 5/2 | |
| 5 | ▶ Burgess Siunb 3y 25 | C M Dibb — 12% R310 W38 P154 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | 79 | 22 (6) | 41 (1) | 64 (2) | 38 (1) | 36 (1) | 33 (2) | 34 (2) | 50 (4) | 69 (1) | 49 (4) | 19 | 62 | 23 | - | 38 | 39 | 4 | 4/5F | |
Gurtnara Jax is drawn in the DOMINANT T4 at 24.0% from 75 runs — the strongest trap signal in this race — and has the best suitability profile in the field: track 40, distance 36, trap 34, class 22. All four suitability scores are positive, confirming she handles Star Pelaw 435m conditions across multiple dimensions. Her form reads 69→56→56→16→61 — the 69 and 61 show her ceiling, the 16 was likely a troubled run, and the 56s represent her solid baseline. Recent CD form is 2nd→2nd→4th at A5, all at 435m — she consistently places at this exact level. As a Closer (EP 17, CS 100), she'd normally face a tough ask at Star Pelaw, but this specific race has two sprint Faders (T2, T3) who will set false pace and fade dramatically. The race shape is perfect for her: sit behind the fading sprinters, save ground from T4, and close when they weaken through bends 3 and 4. Trainer Kennedy at 24% is moderate and experienced at Star Pelaw. Speed 56 is joint-best in the field.
DANGER: Most consistent dog in the field with a race shape that specifically favours closers — the T2 and T3 sprint Faders will fade and gift him late positions. Rail draw helps.
Sprint specialist with zero distance suitability trying 435m. Will lead early then fade dramatically. One to confidently oppose.
Triple-zero suitability with Fader profile. Some 435m experience but at much lower quality. Will fade and finish behind the genuine A5 dogs.
Fascinating profile with best bend (79) and track suit (62) but only one 435m run to assess. Could win easily on her OR form or struggle on her average. Too much uncertainty for a pick or danger tag.
5-runner race. Two sprint Faders (T2, T3) with zero distance suit will fade, leaving a 3-horse race between T1, T4, T5. T4 DOMINANT at 24.0%.
T1:19.1% T2:14.6% T3:19.6% T4:24.0% T5:18.2% T6:18.6%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 435m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Bogger Dewie | 0 | 100 | Closer |
2Headford Astrid | 100 | 0 | Fader |
3Krakatoa Lava | 100 | 0 | Fader |
4Gurtnara Jax | 17 | 100 | Closer |
5Burgess Siun | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.