| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Ballinabola Eveb 3yN/R 16 | G A Foot — 19% R294 W56 P170 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 30 | 90 (1) | 67 (3) | 69 (2) | 86 (1) | 85 (2) | 70 (3) | 78 (3) | 92 (1) | 73 (2) | 67 (4) | 49 | 63 | 18 | 53 | 74 | 67 | - | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Tickets Outlawd 2y 27 | G A Foot — 19% R294 W56 P170 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 68 | 100 (1) | 74 (4) | 87 (2) | 88 (2) | 69 (3) | 77 (4) | 55 (5) | 45 (6) | 68 (4) | 79 (3) | 63 | 86 | - | 76 | 70 | 72 | 1 | 5/6F | |
| 3 | ▶ Caseys Dyland 2y 33 | S Atkinson — 20% R245 W50 P167 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | - | 44 (5) | 60 (3) | 37 (5) | 68 (3) | 47 (1) | 47 (1) | 43 (1) | 35 (3) | 100 (1) | 86 (2) | 64 | 53 | 54 | 58 | 43 | 48 | 4 | 9/4 | |
| 4 | ▶ Trevors Starb 2y 18 | S G Tighe — 39% R62 W24 P43 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | - | 41 (2) | 70 (1) | 46 (1) | 34 (4) | 43 (1) | 35 (4) | 37 (1) | 31 (3) | 36 (1) | 26 (5) | 63 | 45 | 23 | 52 | 37 | 43 | 2 | 9/2 | |
| 5 | ▶ Blackstone Danid 3y 23 | C M Dibb — 12% R309 W38 P154 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | 49 | 70 (4) | 83 (1) | 80 (1) | 59 (3) | 46 (6) | 32 (5) | 34 (4) | 26 (6) | 57 (4) | 45 (1) | 60 | 63 | 41 | 64 | 54 | 57 | 3 | 11/2 | |
| 6 | ▶ Basherd 3y 7 | R Rotherham — 13% R16 W2 P8 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 42 | - | 31 (4) | 31 (3) | 37 (2) | 55 (6) | 38 (3) | 42 (1) | 37 (1) | 29 (4) | 23 (4) | 37 (1) | 45 | 67 | 15 | 52 | 39 | 44 | 5 | 10/1 | |
Tickets Outlaw has the standout profile for a 245m sprint: EP 69, bend 68, Fader with speed 50. At sprint distances, the Fader label is meaningless — there's no time for the fade to materialise in a 15-second race. What matters is early pace and bend ability, and she leads the field on both. Her suitability is elite: track 86, distance 76, trap 63 — the highest in every dimension by a significant margin. This dog knows this track, this distance, and this trap better than anyone in the field. Form reads 88→69→16→24→77 — erratic, but the 88 and 77 show a peak level that's competitive at OR. Her last run was 2nd at 245m OR (14.78s), beaten by an open-class dog — that's strong D1 form. The 16 and 24 runs look like troubled outings at 435m distance (different conditions entirely). At her preferred 245m, she's a different animal. Trainer Foot at 16% is average, but the individual profile here is so strong that trainer signal is a minor factor. T2 at 18.2% from just 11 runs is neutral — small sample.
DANGER: Dominant trap (43.8%) + elite trainer (54%) + CD winning form. The structural and trainer signals are very strong but the small sample and absence of pace data prevent full confidence.
Best raw ability in the field (avgP 74) but a Closer at 245m is like bringing a marathon runner to a 100m dash. Place at best.
Strong CD form with a 1st at D1 but declining trajectory and no pace data available. Place contender who could sneak into the frame but unlikely to beat the pick's superior pace profile.
Consistently places at D1 (2nd, 3rd from last 2 CD runs) with best speed and strong suitability. A place contender who could threaten on her best day but the form inconsistency is too wide for a pick.
Highest track suit but declining form and low avgP (39) make it hard to see a path to victory. The 3rd at D1 last month shows he can place but the recent trajectory is going the wrong direction.
Small sample (76 runs). T4 dominates at 43.8% but only 16 runs — treat with caution. CompR1 wins 37.5% — ratings work at D1. This is a higher-grade sprint where quality separates dogs.
T1:37.5% T2:18.2% T3:16.7% T4:43.8% T5:16.7% T6:18.2%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 245m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.